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Emera Incorporated (EMA) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $16.3B

EI Emera Incorporated logo Emera Incorporated EMA · US
Price$51.59
Fair Value$35.86
Upside-30.5%
Quality49/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.0% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
5.48% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range $26.89 – $46.62 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from $50.75 to $35.86 (−29.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 30% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($46.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$55.11 $27.79 Fair Value $35.86 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $27.79 – $55.11 · fair‑value band $26.89 – $46.62 · the $51.59 price screens above the $35.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Emera Incorporated (EMA) currently trades at $51.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $35.86, implying the stock looks roughly 30.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Emera Incorporated generated revenue of $8.9B at a net margin of 12.0%. Revenue grew 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. Net debt stands at $21.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $26.89 (bear case) to $46.62 (bull case); at $51.59, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -30%, EMA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $36.77 $39.59 $45.62 76
Gordon GGM $19.52 $40.60 $64.40 70
Growth-Adj P/E $37.84 $54.06 $70.28 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $24.19 $86.46 $116.48 54
Lynch FV $20.37 $29.10 $37.83 50
PEG = 1.0 $20.37 $29.10 $37.83 46
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $19.52 $40.60 $64.40 70
DDM Multi-Stage $19.52 $34.23 $42.61 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $53.36 $71.14 $88.93 63
P/S Multiple $45.35 $60.47 $75.59 58
P/B Multiple $45.35 $60.47 $75.59 55
EV/EBIT $9.48 $32.35 $55.22 53
EV/EBITDA $31.76 $62.06 $92.36 54
EV/Revenue $6.94 $26.76 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $21.86 $29.29 $43.71 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $36.77 $39.59 $45.62 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $37.84 $54.06 $70.28 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($60.47) versus Earnings-Based ($29.10). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $8.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.1%
Net margin 12.0%
Return on equity 7.7%
Free cash flow −$1.7B FY2025
P/E ratio 23.2
More key figures
Operating margin 33.5%
EPS (TTM) $2.30
Dividend yield 5.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -5.6%
Net debt $21.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Emera Incorporated, an energy and services company, invests in generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in the United States, Canada, Barbados, and the Bahamas. The company operates through Florida Electric Utility, Canadian Electric Utilities, Gas Utilities and Infrastructure, Other Electric Utilities, and Other segments.

Full company description

Emera Incorporated, an energy and services company, invests in generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in the United States, Canada, Barbados, and the Bahamas. The company operates through Florida Electric Utility, Canadian Electric Utilities, Gas Utilities and Infrastructure, Other Electric Utilities, and Other segments. It is involved in the purchase, transmission, distribution, and sale of natural gas; and physical energy marketing, trading, and other energy asset management activities. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Halifax, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Emera Incorporated reported revenue of $8.3B in FY2025 versus $5.8B in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2025, compounding +18.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$8.3B
Latest YoY
+15.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.6%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+8.0%
Revenue +9.5%/yr
FY21 $5.8B
FY22 $7.6B
FY23 $7.6B
FY24 $7.2B
FY25 $8.3B
Net income +18.1%/yr
FY21 $560M
FY22 $1.0B
FY23 $1.0B
FY24 $567M
FY25 $1.1B

EMA screens 30% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Emera Incorporated Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EMA

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 155 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −31% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.5% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.38× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.22× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.83× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 3.08× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 26 · sector 32
PAST 31 · sector 39
HEALTH 31 · sector 53
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $88.80 $32.94 -63%
The Southern Company SO $95.61 $61.06 -36%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $126.11 $97.11 -23%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 44,377 ARS -27%
American Electric Power Company AEP $132.50 $79.33 -40%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $70.08 $46.92 -33%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹341.85 ₹377.16 +10%
CEZ, a. s. CEZ 232.40 PLN 159.33 PLN -31%
Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID ₹283.55 ₹252.77 -11%
China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 ¥8.91 ¥7.69 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Emera Incorporated (EMA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $35.86 versus a price of $51.59, about −30% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EMA?
Our model-based fair value for Emera Incorporated is $35.86 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $51.59.
What is the quality score of EMA?
Emera Incorporated has a Quality Score of 49/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Emera Incorporated (EMA)?
Emera Incorporated reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EMA?
The net profit margin of Emera Incorporated is about 12.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Emera Incorporated pay a dividend?
Emera Incorporated currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.73% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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