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Emmi AG (EMMN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CH · Market cap CHF 4.8B

EA Emmi AG EMMN · SW
PriceCHF 879.00
Fair ValueCHF 685.03
Upside-22.1%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.8% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.95% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: Medium Range CHF 411.32 – CHF 1,040 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price −1.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 22% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (CHF 411.32 to CHF 1,040) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

CHF 1,040 CHF 665.63 Fair Value CHF 685.03 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 665.63 – CHF 1,040 · fair‑value band CHF 411.32 – CHF 1,040 · the CHF 879.00 price screens above the CHF 685.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Emmi AG (EMMN) currently trades at CHF 879.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 685.03, implying the stock looks roughly 22.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Emmi AG generated revenue of CHF 4.7B at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.0%. Net debt stands at CHF 931M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 411.32 (bear case) to CHF 1,040 (bull case); at CHF 879.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -22%, EMMN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF CHF 341.00 CHF 517.57 CHF 748.03 80
Residual Income CHF 263.56 CHF 342.93 CHF 1,214 76
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 373.16 CHF 650.17 CHF 945.99 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF CHF 329.07 CHF 520.15 CHF 780.77 38
Owner Earnings CHF 297.83 CHF 475.99 CHF 719.00 31
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 373.16 CHF 645.92 CHF 982.12 39
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 528.61 CHF 922.06 CHF 1,362 41
5Y P/E Exit CHF 405.18 CHF 702.81 CHF 998.66 38
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 336.05 CHF 572.43 CHF 865.08 36
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 446.62 CHF 754.77 CHF 1,136 37
10Y P/E Exit CHF 371.23 CHF 609.99 CHF 876.85 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd CHF 288.66 CHF 673.24 CHF 865.54 54
PEG = 1.0 CHF 114.70 CHF 163.86 CHF 213.01 46
EPV CHF 352.66 CHF 429.40 CHF 495.61 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 144.91 CHF 240.01 CHF 347.81 70
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 144.91 CHF 210.58 CHF 280.33 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple CHF 668.59 CHF 891.45 CHF 1,114 63
P/S Multiple CHF 541.24 CHF 721.65 CHF 902.06 58
P/B Multiple CHF 541.24 CHF 721.65 CHF 902.06 55
EV/EBIT CHF 664.10 CHF 929.91 CHF 1,196 53
EV/EBITDA CHF 761.81 CHF 1,060 CHF 1,359 54
EV/Revenue CHF 435.81 CHF 679.74 CHF 923.66 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 101.08 CHF 135.45 CHF 202.16 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 341.00 CHF 517.57 CHF 748.03 80
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 373.16 CHF 650.17 CHF 945.99 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 263.56 CHF 342.93 CHF 1,214 76
ROIC Compounder CHF 369.18 CHF 477.96 CHF 596.31 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E CHF 504.94 CHF 721.35 CHF 937.75 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (CHF 721.65) versus Asset-Based (CHF 135.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) CHF 4.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.1%
Net margin 4.8%
Return on equity 21.0%
Free cash flow CHF 244M FY2025
P/E ratio 21.0
More key figures
Operating margin 7.7%
EPS (TTM) CHF 42.46
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +12.0%
Net debt CHF 931M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 61
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 96
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Emmi AG, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells dairy products in Switzerland, North and South America, the rest of Europe, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.

Full company description

Emmi AG, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells dairy products in Switzerland, North and South America, the rest of Europe, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers dairy products comprising milk, cream, and butter; cheese, including raclette and fondue; fresh products consisting of yogurts, yogurt drinks, kefir products, and desserts; fresh cheese, which consists of mozzarella, protein-rich cottage cheese, goat's milk fresh cheese, and goat's cheese curds; powders and concentrates, including milk powder; and other products and services, such as ready-to-drink coffee and trading business. It sells its products under the Emmi Caffè Latte, Gerber, Emmi Energy Milk High Protein, Kaltbach, Emmi Jogurt Pur, Emmi High Protein Water, Aktifit, Luzerner, Emmi Benecol, Emmi Good Day, Le petit chevrier, Emmi Raclette, Tonis mozzarella, Pierrot Ice Cream, and beleaf brands. The company also exports its products. The company was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Lucerne, Switzerland. Emmi AG is a subsidiary of ZMP Invest AG.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Emmi AG reported revenue of CHF 4.7B in FY2025 versus CHF 3.9B in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 227M in FY2025, compounding +1.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
CHF 4.7B
Latest YoY
+9.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
+5.4%
Revenue +5.0%/yr
FY21 CHF 3.9B
FY22 CHF 4.2B
FY23 CHF 4.2B
FY24 CHF 4.3B
FY25 CHF 4.7B
Net income +1.2%/yr
FY21 CHF 217M
FY22 CHF 183M
FY23 CHF 186M
FY24 CHF 220M
FY25 CHF 227M

EMMN screens 22% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Emmi AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EMMN

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −22% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.01× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.46× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.24× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 24.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 7.40× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 4 · sector 29
FUTURE 31 · sector 19
PAST 84 · sector 27
HEALTH 50 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 39 · sector 47

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Emmi AG (EMMN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 685.03 versus a price of CHF 879.00, about −22% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EMMN?
Our model-based fair value for Emmi AG is CHF 685.03 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is CHF 879.00.
What is the quality score of EMMN?
Emmi AG has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Emmi AG (EMMN)?
Emmi AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 4.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EMMN?
The net profit margin of Emmi AG is about 4.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Emmi AG pay a dividend?
Emmi AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.06% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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