Enav SpA (ENAV) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Enav SpA €3.62, price €4.96, upside -27.0%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.35 – €5.33 · fair‑value band €2.71 – €4.52 · the €4.96 price screens above the €3.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 26, 2026.
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ENAV S.p.A. provides air traffic control and management, and other air navigation services in Italy, the rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Air Navigation Services, Maintenance Services, and Aeronautical Information Management (AIM) Software Solutions.
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ENAV S.p.A. provides air traffic control and management, and other air navigation services in Italy, the rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Air Navigation Services, Maintenance Services, and Aeronautical Information Management (AIM) Software Solutions. The company offers technical management and maintenance services for air traffic control equipment and systems, as well as for air infrastructure. It also develops software solutions for the management of aeronautical information and air traffic; and provides associated commercial and maintenance services. In addition, the company offers air traffic flow management, air traffic management and weather, communication navigation and surveillance, digital aeronautical information management, flight procedure design and validation, and unmanned aircraft system traffic management. Further, it provides consultancy for change management, aeronautical information, engineering and maintenance, education and training, meteorology, in flight control and validation, safety assessment and risk management; and evaluation of obstacle and electromagnetic interference services. It serves airport management and airlines companies, air navigation service providers, industries, civil aviation, and research and development industries. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Rome, Italy.
Stock analysis
Enav SpA (ENAV) currently trades at €4.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.62, implying the stock looks roughly 37.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €4.92 per share, and 7 of the 24 models we run sit above the €4.96 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €1.45, and 17 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €2.71 (bear) to €4.52 (bull), the price of €4.96 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Enav SpA reported revenue of €983M in FY2025 versus €800M in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was €93.1M in FY2025, compounding +4.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €2.7B · P/E ratio 24.8 · P/S ratio 2.35 · EPS (TTM) €0.2000 · Dividend yield 11.7% · Net margin 9.5% · Return on equity 10.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −27%, ENAV screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €2.71Fair Value €3.62Bull €4.52
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.9% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+15.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)11.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4% vs 9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 18%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.2% a year for the price and +2.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (12 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Airports & Air Services · 55 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Above median
Fair Value upside−27% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Below median
Return on assets4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)10% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)11.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)24.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.61× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)3.01× · Pricier than median
P/FCF13.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA10.5× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 49
FUTURE (revenue growth)36· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)40· sector 49
HEALTH (low debt)92· sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 54
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Enav SpA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ENAV
Frequently asked questions
Is Enav SpA (ENAV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €3.62 versus a price of €4.96, about −27% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ENAV?
Our model-based fair value for Enav SpA is €3.62 (as of Sep 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €4.96.
What is the quality score of ENAV?
Enav SpA has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Enav SpA (ENAV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €3.62 (as of Sep 26, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €2.71, optimistic scenario €4.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Enav SpA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €3.62, about −27% upside versus a price of €4.96 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €2.71, optimistic scenario €4.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Enav SpA (ENAV)?
Enav SpA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 26, 2026).
Does Enav SpA pay a dividend?
Enav SpA currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.69% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 26, 2026).
What growth is priced into Enav SpA (ENAV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Enav SpA would have to grow free cash flow by +4.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.9 % per year. As of Sep 26, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ENAV use?
Our models discount Enav SpA at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.60, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Enav SpA that is +4.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Enav SpA (ENAV) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Enav SpA grew +5.9 % a year. The price currently implies +4.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Enav SpA (ENAV) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Enav SpA (+4.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Enav SpA (ENAV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.49 %: that much free cash flow Enav SpA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Enav SpA (ENAV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Enav SpA it is €3.62 per share (as of Sep 26, 2026), against a price of €4.96. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Enav SpA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 26, 2026, ENAV trades above its calculated fair value: price €4.96, fair value €3.62, a gap of about −27% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ENAV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€4.96); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€3.62). For Enav SpA the two are €1.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Enav SpA worth?
The market values Enav SpA at about €2.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 26, 2026). Per share that is €4.96; our models calculate a fair value of €3.62 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ENAV?
Our models span a range for Enav SpA: cautious scenario €2.71, base €3.62, optimistic €4.52 per share (as of Sep 26, 2026, price €4.96). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ENAV?
Enav SpA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.8 (as of Sep 26, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €3.62 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.6, P/S 3.0, EV/EBITDA 10.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Enav SpA (ENAV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Enav SpA (as of Sep 26, 2026): return on equity 10.0%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ENAV from its 52-week high?
Enav SpA trades at €4.96, about 7% below its 52-week high of €5.33 and 30% above the low of €3.81 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €3.62 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Enav SpA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Aena S.M.E., S.A, Airports of Thailand Public Company, Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A., GMR Airports Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Enav SpA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 26, 2026: price €4.96, calculated fair value €3.62 (−27%), Quality Score 63/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ENAV calculated?
We run Enav SpA through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €3.62, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Enav SpA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Enav SpA (ENAV)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was €4.96. Our model-based fair value is €3.62, about −27% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Enav SpA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€4.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Enav SpA (ENAV) come from?
Earnings per share at Enav SpA grew +16.5 % a year from 2013 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.6 %, EBIT margin +4.8 %, tax rate +2.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Enav SpA
How large is the market capitalisation of Enav SpA (ENAV)?
The market capitalisation of Enav SpA is €2.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Enav SpA (ENAV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Enav SpA is 2.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Enav SpA (ENAV)?
Earnings per share at Enav SpA are €0.2000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Enav SpA (ENAV)?
The dividend yield of Enav SpA is 11.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Enav SpA (ENAV)?
The net margin of Enav SpA is 9.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Enav SpA (ENAV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Enav SpA is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Enav SpA (ENAV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Enav SpA is 6.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Enav SpA (ENAV)?
The operating margin of Enav SpA is 10.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Enav SpA (ENAV)?
Revenue at Enav SpA is growing +7.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Enav SpA (ENAV)?
Earnings per share at Enav SpA are growing +18.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Enav SpA (ENAV) carry?
The net debt of Enav SpA is €120M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 26, 2026