Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Enel Generación Chile S.A CLP 884, price CLP 589, upside +50.2%, quality 84 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 65.95 CLP – 595.44 CLP · fair‑value band 662.66 CLP – 1,285 CLP · the 588.97 CLP price screens below the 884.33 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Enel Generación Chile S.A. engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of energy in Chile. It generates electricity through hydro, thermal, and wind power sources. The company had 5,478 megawatts of installed capacity and 108 generation units. It supplies electricity to distribution and other generation companies.
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Enel Generación Chile S.A. engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of energy in Chile. It generates electricity through hydro, thermal, and wind power sources. The company had 5,478 megawatts of installed capacity and 108 generation units. It supplies electricity to distribution and other generation companies. The company was formerly known as Empresa Nacional de Electricidad S.A. and changed its name to Enel Generación Chile S.A. in November 2016. The company was incorporated in 1943 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile. Enel Generación Chile S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Enel Chile S.A.
Stock analysis
Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH) currently trades at 588.97 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 884.33 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 33.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 884.33 CLP per share, and 16 of the 22 models we run sit above the 588.97 CLP price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 214.10 CLP, and 6 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 662.66 CLP (bear) to 1,285 CLP (bull), the price of 588.97 CLP sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 84/100 (high quality), in the Utilities sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Enel Generación Chile S.A reported revenue of $3.1B in FY2025 versus $1.9T in FY2021, a compound −79.9%/yr. Reported net income was $542M in FY2025, compounding −73.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.8T CLP (≈ $4.8B) · P/E ratio 9.3 · P/S ratio 1.65 · EPS (TTM) 63.07 CLP · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin 17.6% · Return on equity 19.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 50%, ENELGXCH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 662.66 CLPFair Value 884.33 CLPBull 1,285 CLP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (46.07 CLP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−90.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−70.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−54.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−67.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−67.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 22%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 64.2%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−6.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −8.2% a year for the price.
Compare Enel Generación Chile S.A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 210 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score84 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+50% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Return on assets11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)17% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)29% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
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Is Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 884.33 CLP versus a price of 588.97 CLP, about +50% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ENELGXCH?
Our model-based fair value for Enel Generación Chile S.A is 884.33 CLP (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 588.97 CLP.
What is the quality score of ENELGXCH?
Enel Generación Chile S.A has a Quality Score of 84/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 884.33 CLP (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 662.66 CLP, optimistic scenario 1,285 CLP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Enel Generación Chile S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 884.33 CLP, about +50% upside versus a price of 588.97 CLP (undervalued). Cautious scenario 662.66 CLP, optimistic scenario 1,285 CLP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH)?
Enel Generación Chile S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Enel Generación Chile S.A pay a dividend?
Enel Generación Chile S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.02% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Enel Generación Chile S.A would have to grow free cash flow by -6.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -70.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ENELGXCH use?
Our models discount Enel Generación Chile S.A at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.71, country premium for Chile. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Enel Generación Chile S.A that is -6.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Enel Generación Chile S.A grew -70.8 % a year. The price currently implies -6.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Enel Generación Chile S.A (-6.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.58 %: that much free cash flow Enel Generación Chile S.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Enel Generación Chile S.A it is 884.33 CLP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 588.97 CLP. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Enel Generación Chile S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ENELGXCH trades below its calculated fair value: price 588.97 CLP, fair value 884.33 CLP, a gap of about +50% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ENELGXCH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (588.97 CLP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (884.33 CLP). For Enel Generación Chile S.A the two are 295.36 CLP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Enel Generación Chile S.A worth?
The market values Enel Generación Chile S.A at about 4.8T CLP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 588.97 CLP; our models calculate a fair value of 884.33 CLP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ENELGXCH?
Our models span a range for Enel Generación Chile S.A: cautious scenario 662.66 CLP, base 884.33 CLP, optimistic 1,285 CLP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 588.97 CLP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ENELGXCH?
Enel Generación Chile S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 884.33 CLP is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.5, P/B 1.7, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 5.4.
What is the PEG ratio of ENELGXCH?
The PEG ratio of Enel Generación Chile S.A is 3.52 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Enel Generación Chile S.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 19.3%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 84/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ENELGXCH from its 52-week high?
Enel Generación Chile S.A trades at 588.97 CLP, about 1% below its 52-week high of 595.44 CLP and 39% above the low of 423.75 CLP (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 884.33 CLP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Enel Generación Chile S.A?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Adani Green Energy Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Enel Generación Chile S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 588.97 CLP, calculated fair value 884.33 CLP (+50%), Quality Score 84/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ENELGXCH calculated?
We run Enel Generación Chile S.A through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 884.33 CLP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Enel Generación Chile S.A currently trades 50 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 588.97 CLP. Our model-based fair value is 884.33 CLP, about +50% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Enel Generación Chile S.A right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (84/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (662.66 CLP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (662.66 CLP to 1,285 CLP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Enel Generación Chile S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH)?
The market capitalisation of Enel Generación Chile S.A is 4.8T CLP (≈ $4.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Enel Generación Chile S.A is 1.65 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH)?
Earnings per share at Enel Generación Chile S.A are 63.07 CLP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH)?
The dividend yield of Enel Generación Chile S.A is 0.0% (payout 0.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH)?
The net margin of Enel Generación Chile S.A is 17.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Enel Generación Chile S.A is 19.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Enel Generación Chile S.A is 7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH)?
The operating margin of Enel Generación Chile S.A is 29.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH)?
Revenue at Enel Generación Chile S.A is growing +11.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −90.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH)?
Earnings per share at Enel Generación Chile S.A are growing +8.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Enel Generación Chile S.A (ENELGXCH) carry?
The net debt of Enel Generación Chile S.A is $238M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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