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Energisa S.A (ENGI11) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · BR · Market cap R$16.0B

ES Energisa S.A ENGI11 · SA
PriceR$46.88
Fair ValueR$87.20
Upside+86.0%
Quality25/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 5.3% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
3.40% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: High Range R$61.76 – R$108.99 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price −3.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 86% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (25/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$61.76). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$58.15 R$27.53 Fair Value R$87.20 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$27.53 – R$58.15 · fair‑value band R$61.76 – R$108.99 · the R$46.88 price screens below the R$87.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Energisa S.A (ENGI11) currently trades at R$46.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$87.20, implying the stock looks roughly 86.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Energisa S.A generated revenue of R$36.0B at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue grew 7.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.1%. Net debt stands at R$43.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$61.76 (bear case) to R$108.99 (bull case); at R$46.88, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 86%, ENGI11 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income R$38.68 R$44.23 R$70.83 76
ROIC Compounder R$57.46 R$117.71 R$171.50 72
Gordon GGM R$54.71 R$113.75 R$180.45 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$32.94 R$198.37 R$276.52 54
Lynch FV R$56.59 R$80.85 R$105.10 50
PEG = 1.0 R$56.59 R$80.85 R$105.10 46
EPV R$50.68 R$72.62 R$91.81 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$54.71 R$113.75 R$180.45 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$54.71 R$95.92 R$119.38 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$65.40 R$87.20 R$108.99 63
P/S Multiple R$61.76 R$82.35 R$102.94 58
P/B Multiple R$56.70 R$75.60 R$94.49 55
EV/EBIT R$91.81 R$149.38 R$206.94 53
EV/EBITDA R$69.05 R$119.03 R$169.02 54
EV/Revenue R$54.77 R$112.92 R$171.07 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$21.00 R$28.14 R$42.00 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$38.68 R$44.23 R$70.83 76
ROIC Compounder R$57.46 R$117.71 R$171.50 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$76.71 R$109.58 R$142.46 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (R$109.58) versus Asset-Based (R$28.14). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$36.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.0%
Net margin 5.3%
Return on equity 12.1%
Free cash flow −R$5.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 37.8
More key figures
Operating margin 18.1%
EPS (TTM) R$1.38
Dividend yield 3.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -40.0%
Net debt R$43.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 21
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 36
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Energisa S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in Brazil. The company generates electricity through hydraulic, solar, and wind projects. It also provides natural gas for businesses and vehicular natural gas, as well as value-added services.

Full company description

Energisa S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in Brazil. The company generates electricity through hydraulic, solar, and wind projects. It also provides natural gas for businesses and vehicular natural gas, as well as value-added services. In addition, the company engages in aerial thermographic inspection and insurance brokerage activities. The company was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Cataguases, Brazil. Energisa S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Gipar S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Energisa S.A reported revenue of R$35.4B in FY2025 versus R$26.5B in FY2021, a compound +7.6%/yr. Reported net income was R$2.2B in FY2025, compounding −3.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$35.4B
Latest YoY
+5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+11.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+19.5%
Revenue +7.6%/yr
FY21 R$26.5B
FY22 R$25.7B
FY23 R$28.5B
FY24 R$33.7B
FY25 R$35.4B
Net income −3.9%/yr
FY21 R$2.6B
FY22 R$2.1B
FY23 R$1.9B
FY24 R$3.8B
FY25 R$2.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Energisa S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ENGI11

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 154 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +86% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 2.00× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.83× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.44× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 7
FUTURE 35 · sector 32
PAST 48 · sector 39
HEALTH 0 · sector 54
DIVIDEND 68 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $88.80 $32.94 -63%
The Southern Company SO $95.61 $61.06 -36%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $126.11 $97.11 -23%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 44,377 ARS -27%
American Electric Power Company AEP $132.50 $79.33 -40%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $70.08 $46.92 -33%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹341.85 ₹377.16 +10%
CEZ, a. s. CEZ 232.40 PLN 159.33 PLN -31%
Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID ₹283.55 ₹252.77 -11%
China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 ¥8.91 ¥7.69 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Energisa S.A (ENGI11) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$87.20 versus a price of R$46.88, about +86% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ENGI11?
Our model-based fair value for Energisa S.A is R$87.20 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$46.88.
What is the quality score of ENGI11?
Energisa S.A has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Energisa S.A (ENGI11)?
Energisa S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$36.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ENGI11?
The net profit margin of Energisa S.A is about 5.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Energisa S.A pay a dividend?
Energisa S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.61% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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