Equnico SE (EQU) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · PL · Market cap 394M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 0.6400 PLN to 0.1500 PLN (−76.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +24.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 90% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.2400 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (0.1200 PLN to 0.2400 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.3960 PLN – 1.57 PLN · fair‑value band 0.1200 PLN – 0.2400 PLN · the 1.57 PLN price screens above the 0.1500 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Equnico SE (EQU) currently trades at 1.57 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1500 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 90.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Equnico SE generated revenue of 79.7M PLN at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue declined 31.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 6.8M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.1200 PLN (bear case) to 0.2400 PLN (bull case); at 1.57 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 123% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -90%, EQU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (1.24 PLN) versus Dividend Discount (0.0600 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Equnico SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the construction business in Estonia, Poland, Uzbekistan, and Central and Eastern Europe.
Full company description
Equnico SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the construction business in Estonia, Poland, Uzbekistan, and Central and Eastern Europe. It is involved in the construction of civil engineering structures; erection of reinforced concrete structures; production of mineral-asphalt mixtures for use in road subgrade layers; production of steel structures for power, industrial, and civil networks; construction and modernization of power line installations; power stations; and supply of materials and equipment for infrastructure investments. The company also offers office operation, telecommunication, financial, consulting, couriers, and marketing services. It serves construction, energy, transport, and storage and disposal of waste companies, as well as individual and business customers. The company was formerly known as Resbud SE and changed its name to Equnico SE in September 2024. Equnico SE was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Modlniczka, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Equnico SE reported revenue of 98.5M PLN in FY2025 versus 279M PLN in FY2021, a compound −23.0%/yr. Reported net income was 23.3M PLN in FY2025.
EQU screens 90% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 841 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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