Erbud S.A (ERB) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · PL · Market cap 277M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 20, 2026, revised from 32.79 PLN to 24.13 PLN (−26.4%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −10.2% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (16.53 PLN to 32.59 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 21.59 PLN – 88.33 PLN · fair‑value band 16.53 PLN – 32.59 PLN · the 22.10 PLN price screens below the 24.13 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Erbud S.A (ERB) currently trades at 22.10 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 24.13 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 9.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Erbud S.A generated revenue of 3.1B PLN at a net margin of -1.3%. Revenue declined 20.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.7%. Net debt stands at 116M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 16.53 PLN (bear case) to 32.59 PLN (bull case); at 22.10 PLN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 9%, ERB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (44.63 PLN) versus Earnings-Based (18.73 PLN). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Erbud S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the construction business in Poland and internationally. It constructs hotels, office buildings, schools, housing, shopping centers, hospitals, apartments, public utility facilities, and industrial facilities.
Full company description
Erbud S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the construction business in Poland and internationally. It constructs hotels, office buildings, schools, housing, shopping centers, hospitals, apartments, public utility facilities, and industrial facilities. The company engages in designing and construction of renewable energy, including solar and wind farm; and offers operation and maintenance services. In addition, it offers road engineering and renewable energy sources, engineering services, and support services; management services; modular timber construction; design services; and maintenance services in industrial construction. Additionally, the company engages in the development contracting activities in the renewable energy source business. The company was founded in 1990 and is based in Warsaw, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Erbud S.A reported revenue of 3.3B PLN in FY2025 versus 3.1B PLN in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was −35.8M PLN in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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