Energy Recovery, Inc (ERII) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $486M

A strong business, but screening 10% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• A fairly wide model range ($4.79 to $9.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
• Our model range runs from $4.79 (bear) to $9.57 (bull), base $7.79. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 75/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.92 – $30.61 · fair‑value band $4.79 – $9.57 · the $8.68 price screens above the $7.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Energy Recovery, Inc (ERII) currently trades at $8.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.79, implying the stock looks roughly 10.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Energy Recovery, Inc generated revenue of $137M at a net margin of 15.1%. Revenue grew 20.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $38.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.79 (bear case) to $9.57 (bull case); at $8.68, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -10%, ERII screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($8.66) versus Asset-Based ($2.68). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Energy Recovery, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells energy efficiency technology solutions in the United States, North, South and Latin America, the Middle East, Northern Africa, Asia, and Europe. It operates through Water and Emerging Technologies segments.

Full company description

Energy Recovery, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells energy efficiency technology solutions in the United States, North, South and Latin America, the Middle East, Northern Africa, Asia, and Europe. It operates through Water and Emerging Technologies segments. The company offers high and low pressure, and ultra high-pressure exchangers; AT and LPT hydraulic turbochargers; and high-pressure feed and circulation pumps for use in water treatment industries, including seawater and brackish desalination, and wastewater treatment. It also provides PX G1300, which reduces energy consumption and operating costs of carbon dioxide-based refrigeration systems; and spare parts, as well as repair, field, and commissioning services. The company sells its products under the ERI, PX, PX Pressure Exchanger, Pressure Exchanger, Ultra High-Pressure PX, PX G1300, PX PowerTrain, PX G, AT, and Aquabold brands to supermarket chains, cold storage facilities, refrigeration system installers or OEMs, and other industrial users; and aftermarket customers consisting of desalination plant owners and operators. Energy Recovery, Inc. was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in San Leandro, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Energy Recovery, Inc reported revenue of $135M in FY2025 versus $104M in FY2021, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was $23.0M in FY2025, compounding +12.6%/yr from FY2021.

ERII screens 10% overvalued. Compare with Veralto Corporation →

Peer Group

Pollution & Treatment Controls · 91 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Pollution & Treatment Controls median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Pollution & Treatment Controls stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Industrials stocks →

Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.