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Eastern Star Real Estate Public Company (ESTAR) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · TH · Market cap 1.3B THB

ES Eastern Star Real Estate Public Company ESTAR · BK
Price0.2500 THB
Fair Value0.6250 THB
Upside+150.0%
Quality59/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 7.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
8.00% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (13/14)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: High Range 0.4450 THB – 0.6250 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 0.4750 THB to 0.6250 THB (+31.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +19.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 150% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.4450 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

0.6133 THB 0.1490 THB Fair Value 0.6250 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.1490 THB – 0.6133 THB · fair‑value band 0.4450 THB – 0.6250 THB · the 0.2500 THB price screens below the 0.6250 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Eastern Star Real Estate Public Company (ESTAR) currently trades at 0.2500 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.6250 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 150.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Eastern Star Real Estate Public Company generated revenue of 2.1B THB at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue grew 64.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.6%. Net debt stands at 1.4B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.4450 THB (bear case) to 0.6250 THB (bull case); at 0.2500 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 150%, ESTAR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.4400 THB 0.7700 THB 1.27 THB 80
Residual Income 0.6700 THB 0.6300 THB 0.4700 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.3100 THB 0.5700 THB 0.9200 THB 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.4500 THB 0.8400 THB 1.47 THB 38
5Y Revenue Exit 0.3100 THB 0.5800 THB 0.9400 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.4400 THB 0.8600 THB 1.39 THB 41
10Y Revenue Exit 0.3500 THB 0.6100 THB 1.00 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.4400 THB 0.8000 THB 1.36 THB 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.0800 THB 0.1400 THB 0.1900 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0800 THB 0.1300 THB 0.1500 THB 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple 0.3200 THB 0.4300 THB 0.5300 THB 58
P/B Multiple 0.3200 THB 0.4300 THB 0.5300 THB 55
EV/EBIT 0.5000 THB 0.7000 THB 0.9000 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 0.4900 THB 0.6800 THB 0.8800 THB 54
EV/Revenue 0.2400 THB 0.3800 THB 0.5200 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.5000 THB 0.6600 THB 0.9900 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.4400 THB 0.7700 THB 1.27 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.3100 THB 0.5700 THB 0.9200 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.6700 THB 0.6300 THB 0.4700 THB 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (0.8000 THB) versus Dividend Discount (0.1300 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.1B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +64.2%
Net margin 6.2%
Return on equity 2.6%
Free cash flow 247M THB FY2025
P/E ratio 7.0
More key figures
Operating margin 15.9%
EPS (TTM) 0.0300 THB
EPS growth (YoY) +66.6%
Net debt 1.4B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Eastern Star Real Estate Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the property development business in Thailand. The company operates through three segments: Real Estate Business, Golf Course Business, and Rental Business.

Full company description

Eastern Star Real Estate Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the property development business in Thailand. The company operates through three segments: Real Estate Business, Golf Course Business, and Rental Business. It develops and sells houses, land, and residential condominium units; and rents single detached houses and apartment buildings. The company also operates a golf courses, as well as offers sports memberships. Further, it engages in the real estate management and administration business. Eastern Star Real Estate Public Company Limited was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Eastern Star Real Estate Public Company reported revenue of 2.1B THB in FY2025 versus 1.3B THB in FY2021, a compound +13.1%/yr. Reported net income was 126M THB in FY2025, compounding +55.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.1B THB
Latest YoY
+7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.6%
Revenue +13.1%/yr
FY21 1.3B THB
FY22 1.8B THB
FY23 1.3B THB
FY24 1.9B THB
FY25 2.1B THB
Net income +55.5%/yr
FY21 21.6M THB
FY22 51.1M THB
FY23 29.9M THB
FY24 34.1M THB
FY25 126M THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −12.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.0 pp

of which total revenue +1.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −6.7 pp
Tax rate −0.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −6.0 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eastern Star Real Estate Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ESTAR

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +152% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Revenue growth 79% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.14× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.25× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.55× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 48
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 14 · sector 10
HEALTH 93 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Eastern Star Real Estate Public Company (ESTAR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.6250 THB versus a price of 0.2500 THB, about +150% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ESTAR?
Our model-based fair value for Eastern Star Real Estate Public Company is 0.6250 THB (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.2500 THB.
What is the quality score of ESTAR?
Eastern Star Real Estate Public Company has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Eastern Star Real Estate Public Company (ESTAR)?
Eastern Star Real Estate Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ESTAR?
The net profit margin of Eastern Star Real Estate Public Company is about 6.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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