Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Exxaro Tiles Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹5.62 – ₹16.27 · fair‑value band ₹2.13 – ₹2.81 · the ₹6.38 price screens above the ₹2.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Exxaro Tiles Limited manufactures and trades vitrified tiles used for flooring solutions in India and internationally. The company offers double charged, flat glazed, and full body vitrified tiles under the Exxaro brand.
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Exxaro Tiles Limited manufactures and trades vitrified tiles used for flooring solutions in India and internationally. The company offers double charged, flat glazed, and full body vitrified tiles under the Exxaro brand. It company supplies its products through dealer network for infrastructure related projects, including residential, commercial, educational institutions, hotels, hospitals, government, religious institutions, builders/developers, etc. The company was formerly known as Ricasil Ceramic Industries Private Limited and changed its name to Exxaro Tiles Limited in December 2020. Exxaro Tiles Limited was founded in 2007 and is based in Ahmedabad, India.
Stock analysis
Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO) currently trades at ₹6.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹2.78, implying the stock looks roughly 129.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of ₹21.37 per share, and 3 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹6.38 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹0.8200, and 21 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹2.13 (bear) to ₹2.81 (bull), the price of ₹6.38 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Exxaro Tiles Limited reported revenue of ₹3.0B in FY2026 versus ₹3.3B in FY2022, a compound −1.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹28.3M in FY2026, compounding −37.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹3.0B (≈ $31.6M) · P/E ratio 106.3 · P/S ratio 0.99 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.0600 · Net margin 0.9% · Return on equity 1.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1% · Operating margin 3.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −56%, EXXARO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹2.13Fair Value ₹2.78Bull ₹2.81
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 5 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.0275 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−17.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−17.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−33% vs −17%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 5%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 250 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−62% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)106.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.09× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.00× · Pricier than median
P/FCF0.3× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA12.8× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 5
FUTURE (revenue growth)26· sector 11
PAST (return on equity)4· sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)96· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹2.78 versus a price of ₹6.38, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EXXARO?
Our model-based fair value for Exxaro Tiles Limited is ₹2.78 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹6.38.
What is the quality score of EXXARO?
Exxaro Tiles Limited has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹2.78 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹2.13, optimistic scenario ₹2.81. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Exxaro Tiles Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹2.78, about −56% upside versus a price of ₹6.38 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹2.13, optimistic scenario ₹2.81. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO)?
Exxaro Tiles Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Exxaro Tiles Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +21.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.7 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EXXARO use?
Our models discount Exxaro Tiles Limited at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.30, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Exxaro Tiles Limited that is +21.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Exxaro Tiles Limited grew +3.7 % a year. The price currently implies +21.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Exxaro Tiles Limited (+21.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.06 %: that much free cash flow Exxaro Tiles Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Exxaro Tiles Limited it is ₹2.78 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹6.38. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Exxaro Tiles Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, EXXARO trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹6.38, fair value ₹2.78, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EXXARO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹6.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹2.78). For Exxaro Tiles Limited the two are ₹3.60 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Exxaro Tiles Limited worth?
The market values Exxaro Tiles Limited at about ₹3.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹6.38; our models calculate a fair value of ₹2.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EXXARO?
Our models span a range for Exxaro Tiles Limited: cautious scenario ₹2.13, base ₹2.78, optimistic ₹2.81 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹6.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EXXARO?
Exxaro Tiles Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 106.3 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹2.78 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 12.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Exxaro Tiles Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 1.0%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EXXARO from its 52-week high?
Exxaro Tiles Limited trades at ₹6.38, about 38% below its 52-week high of ₹10.33 and 6% above the low of ₹6.00 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹2.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Exxaro Tiles Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Exxaro Tiles Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹6.38, calculated fair value ₹2.78 (−56%), Quality Score 45/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EXXARO calculated?
We run Exxaro Tiles Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹2.78, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Exxaro Tiles Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Exxaro Tiles Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹2.81). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Exxaro Tiles Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO)?
The market capitalisation of Exxaro Tiles Limited is ₹3.0B (≈ $31.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Exxaro Tiles Limited is 0.99 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO)?
Earnings per share at Exxaro Tiles Limited are ₹0.0600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 106.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO)?
The net margin of Exxaro Tiles Limited is 0.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Exxaro Tiles Limited is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Exxaro Tiles Limited is 6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO)?
The operating margin of Exxaro Tiles Limited is 3.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO)?
Revenue at Exxaro Tiles Limited is growing +5.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO)?
Earnings per share at Exxaro Tiles Limited are growing −94.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Exxaro Tiles Limited (EXXARO) carry?
The net debt of Exxaro Tiles Limited is ₹874M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 7.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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