Exxon Mobil Corporation (EXXO34) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Exxon Mobil Corporation BRL 46.33, price BRL 107, upside -56.9%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Exxon Mobil Corporation
EXXO34 · SAStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$31.24 – R$111.60 · fair‑value band R$32.59 – R$61.91 · the R$107.42 price screens above the R$46.33 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
Exxon Mobil Corporation engages in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through Upstream, Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products segments. Its Upstream segment explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas.
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Exxon Mobil Corporation engages in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through Upstream, Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products segments. Its Upstream segment explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas. The Energy Products segment offers fuels, aromatics, and catalysts, as well as licensing services. Its Chemical Products segment manufactures and sells olefins, polyolefins, and intermediates. The Specialty Products segment offers finished lubricants, basestocks, waxes, synthetics, elastomers, and resins. It is also involved in the manufacture, trade, transport, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals, and other specialty products; and pursuit of lower-emission and business opportunities, including carbon capture and storage, hydrogen, lower-emission fuels, Proxxima resin systems, carbon materials, low-carbon data center, and lithium. In addition, the company offers aviation fuel. It sells its products under the Exxon, Esso, and Mobil brands. Exxon Mobil Corporation was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Spring, Texas.
Stock analysis
Exxon Mobil Corporation (EXXO34) currently trades at R$107.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$46.33, 56.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of R$57.88 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the R$107.42 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$27.37, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: R$32.59 (bear) to R$61.91 (bull), the price of R$107.42 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Exxon Mobil Corporation reported revenue of $324B in FY2025 versus $286B in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was $28.8B in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$3.4T (≈ $651B) · P/E ratio 27.9 · P/S ratio 2.48 · EPS (TTM) R$3.85 · Dividend yield 3.8% · Net margin 8.9% · Return on equity 9.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at −57%, EXXO34 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
EXXO34 screens overvalued: fair value 57% below the price. Compare with Saudi Arabian Oil Company →
Recent news
- ExxonMobil Taps SLB Venture for Giant African LNG Project
- ExxonMobil Upstream Veteran Joins TMC Board Ahead of Seabed Mining Push
- Are Current Oil Prices High Enough to Fuel ExxonMobil's Growth?
- TMC Announces Appointment of Liam Mallon, Former President of ExxonMobil Upstream, to its Board of Directors
Compare Exxon Mobil Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Context: sector, industry, market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabian Oil Company 2222 | 25.28 SAR | 20.14 SAR | −20% |
| Chevron Corporation CVX | $204.38 | $92.05 | −55% |
| PetroChina Company 601857 | ¥11.21 | ¥15.47 | +38% |
| TotalEnergies SE TTE | €74.51 | €70.97 | −5% |
| Petróleo Brasileiro S.A PBR | $20.37 | $28.71 | +41% |
| Equinor ASA EQNR | kr 398.40 | kr 345.87 | −13% |
| China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 | ¥5.28 | ¥3.74 | −29% |
| Suncor Energy Inc SU | $67.87 | $70.17 | +3% |
| Imperial Oil Limited IMO | $122.34 | $94.61 | −23% |
| Cenovus Energy Inc CVE | $31.10 | $33.39 | +7% |
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Key figures of Exxon Mobil Corporation
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