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Thessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co (EYAPS) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · GR · Market cap €157M

TW Thessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co EYAPS · AT
Price€4.59
Fair Value€3.48
Upside-24.1%
Quality53/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 8.8% net margin
negative free cash flow
1.75% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: Medium Range €2.87 – €3.88 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −10.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 24% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€3.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€5.21 €2.90 Fair Value €3.48 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €2.90 – €5.21 · fair‑value band €2.87 – €3.88 · the €4.59 price screens above the €3.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Thessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co (EYAPS) currently trades at €4.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.48, implying the stock looks roughly 24.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Thessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co generated revenue of €87.5M at a net margin of 8.8%. Revenue declined 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 20.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €2.87 (bear case) to €3.88 (bull case); at €4.59, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at -24%, EYAPS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €3.45 €3.29 €2.60 76
Growth-Adj P/E €2.09 €2.98 €3.88 68
ROIC Compounder €2.93 €3.12 €3.27 67
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €1.44 €2.86 €3.58 54
EPV €2.93 €3.12 €3.27 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €2.87 €3.82 €4.78 63
P/S Multiple €2.71 €3.61 €4.51 58
P/B Multiple €2.71 €3.61 €4.51 55
EV/EBIT €4.12 €5.04 €5.96 53
EV/EBITDA €4.56 €5.63 €6.70 54
EV/Revenue €3.59 €4.55 €5.51 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.57 €3.44 €5.14 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €3.45 €3.29 €2.60 76
ROIC Compounder €2.93 €3.12 €3.27 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €2.09 €2.98 €3.88 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (€3.82) versus Earnings-Based (€2.86). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €87.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.3%
Net margin 8.8%
Return on equity 4.1%
Free cash flow −€11.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 20.6
More key figures
Operating margin 9.0%
EPS (TTM) €0.2100
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +55.8%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 24
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Thessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co S.A., doing business as EYATH S.A., provides water supply and sewerage services in Greece. The company engages in the design, construction, installation, operation, utilization, management, maintenance, extension, and renewal of water supply and sewerage systems.

Full company description

Thessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co S.A., doing business as EYATH S.A., provides water supply and sewerage services in Greece. The company engages in the design, construction, installation, operation, utilization, management, maintenance, extension, and renewal of water supply and sewerage systems. Its activities include projects, such as desalination, pumping, treatment, storage, transport, distribution, and management of various types of water, as well as the collection, transport, treatment, storage, and management of waste. The company also offers telecom services; and generates and sells electricity by utilizing water from springs, dams, aqueducts, and pipelines. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Thessaloniki, Greece. Thessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co S.A. is a subsidiary of Hellenic Corporation of Assets and Participations S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Thessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co reported revenue of €87.5M in FY2025 versus €73.6M in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was €7.7M in FY2025, compounding −9.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 28/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€87.5M
Latest YoY
+2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.6%
Revenue +4.4%/yr
FY21 €73.6M
FY22 €70.9M
FY23 €81.8M
FY24 €85.5M
FY25 €87.5M
Net income −9.2%/yr
FY21 €11.3M
FY22 −€4.0M
FY23 €1.4M
FY24 €5.9M
FY25 €7.7M

EYAPS screens 24% overvalued. Compare with American Water Works Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EYAPS

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Water · 67 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −24% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.97× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.07× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 1 · sector 1
FUTURE 0 · sector 28
PAST 17 · sector 29
HEALTH 0 · sector 66
DIVIDEND 35 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
American Water Works Company AWK $134.33 $65.80 -51%
SBSP3 SBSP3 R$29.22 R$31.23 +7%
SBS SBS $5.79 $5.21 -10%
Essential Utilities, Inc WTRG $38.59 $21.81 -43%
CSMG3 CSMG3 R$66.10 R$60.17 -9%
Grandblue Environment Co 600323 ¥29.42 ¥33.29 +13%
American States Water Company AWR $85.01 $48.02 -44%
Chengdu Xingrong Environment Co 000598 ¥6.97 ¥10.74 +54%
California Water Service Group CWT $49.73 $33.56 -33%
Chongqing Water Group 601158 ¥4.12 ¥2.77 -33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co (EYAPS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €3.48 versus a price of €4.59, about −24% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EYAPS?
Our model-based fair value for Thessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co is €3.48 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €4.59.
What is the quality score of EYAPS?
Thessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Thessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co (EYAPS)?
Thessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €87.5M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EYAPS?
The net profit margin of Thessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co is about 8.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Thessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co pay a dividend?
Thessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.75% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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