GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · SG · Market cap 2.5B SGD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +2.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 30% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (1.18 SGD to 2.29 SGD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.25 SGD – 2.88 SGD · fair‑value band 1.18 SGD – 2.29 SGD · the 2.27 SGD price screens above the 1.58 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17) currently trades at 2.27 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.58 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 30.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, GUOCOLAND LIMITED generated revenue of 1.7B SGD at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue declined 22.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.6%. Net debt stands at 4.7B SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.18 SGD (bear case) to 2.29 SGD (bull case); at 2.27 SGD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at -30%, F17 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (2.63 SGD) versus Growth DCF (0.1200 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GuocoLand Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property investment and development business. It operates through GuocoLand Singapore, GuocoLand China, and GuocoLand Malaysia segments.
Full company description
GuocoLand Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property investment and development business. It operates through GuocoLand Singapore, GuocoLand China, and GuocoLand Malaysia segments. The company owns, invests in, and manages a portfolio of commercial, mixed-used, residential, and integrated properties, as well as operates and manages hotels. It also offers planning and design, property management and development, and asset management services. The company was formerly known as First Capital Corporation Ltd. and changed its name to GuocoLand Limited in November 2002. GuocoLand Limited was incorporated in 1976 and is headquartered in Singapore. GuocoLand Limited is a subsidiary of GuocoLand Assets Pte. Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GUOCOLAND LIMITED reported revenue of 1.9B SGD in FY2025 versus 854M SGD in FY2021, a compound +22.4%/yr. Reported net income was 107M SGD in FY2025, compounding −10.8%/yr from FY2021.
F17 screens 30% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 590 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹661.75 | ₹146.13 | -78% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,209 | ₹583.43 | -52% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,050 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 595.00 IDR | 1,488 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 73.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +15% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 610.00 IDR | 1,525 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,300 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +45% |
| PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk DMAS | 147.00 IDR | 164.33 IDR | +12% |
| Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corporation PDR | 12,100 VND | 4,943 VND | -59% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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