GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of GUOCOLAND LIMITED S$2.97, price S$2.31, upside +28.6%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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GuocoLand Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property investment and development business. It operates through GuocoLand Singapore, GuocoLand China, and GuocoLand Malaysia segments.
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GuocoLand Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property investment and development business. It operates through GuocoLand Singapore, GuocoLand China, and GuocoLand Malaysia segments. The company owns, invests in, and manages a portfolio of commercial, mixed-used, residential, and integrated properties, as well as operates and manages hotels. It also offers planning and design, property management and development, and asset management services. The company was formerly known as First Capital Corporation Ltd. and changed its name to GuocoLand Limited in November 2002. GuocoLand Limited was incorporated in 1976 and is headquartered in Singapore. GuocoLand Limited is a subsidiary of GuocoLand Assets Pte. Ltd.
Stock analysis
GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17) currently trades at 2.31 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.97 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 22.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 14.11 SGD per share, and 8 of the 12 models we run sit above the 2.31 SGD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.9200 SGD, and 4 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 2.97 SGD (bear) to 2.98 SGD (bull), the price of 2.31 SGD sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
GUOCOLAND LIMITED reported revenue of 1.4B SGD in FY2026 versus 966M SGD in FY2022, a compound +10.4%/yr. Reported net income was 95.2M SGD in FY2026, compounding −29.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 2.6B SGD (≈ $2.0B) · P/E ratio 33.0 · P/S ratio 2.19 · EPS (TTM) 0.0700 SGD · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin 6.6% · Return on equity 1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 29%, F17 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 2.97 SGDFair Value 2.97 SGDBull 2.98 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−25.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.1% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−6.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−9.8% vs −15.0%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−17.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Singapore: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −19.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 566 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+28.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1.4% · Below median
Return on assets0.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)6.6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−8.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−28.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.78× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GUOCOLAND LIMITED Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/F17
Frequently asked questions
Is GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.97 SGD versus a price of 2.31 SGD, about +29% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of F17?
Our model-based fair value for GUOCOLAND LIMITED is 2.97 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.31 SGD.
What is the quality score of F17?
GUOCOLAND LIMITED has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.97 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.97 SGD, optimistic scenario 2.98 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GUOCOLAND LIMITED stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.97 SGD, about +29% upside versus a price of 2.31 SGD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 2.97 SGD, optimistic scenario 2.98 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17)?
GUOCOLAND LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does GUOCOLAND LIMITED pay a dividend?
GUOCOLAND LIMITED currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.03% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GUOCOLAND LIMITED would have to grow free cash flow by -17.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.9 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of F17 use?
Our models discount GUOCOLAND LIMITED at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.34, country premium for Singapore. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GUOCOLAND LIMITED that is -17.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at GUOCOLAND LIMITED grew +10.9 % a year. The price currently implies -17.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GUOCOLAND LIMITED (-17.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 46.53 %: that much free cash flow GUOCOLAND LIMITED produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GUOCOLAND LIMITED it is 2.97 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 2.31 SGD. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GUOCOLAND LIMITED stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, F17 trades below its calculated fair value: price 2.31 SGD, fair value 2.97 SGD, a gap of about +29% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of F17?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.31 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.97 SGD). For GUOCOLAND LIMITED the two are 0.6600 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GUOCOLAND LIMITED worth?
The market values GUOCOLAND LIMITED at about 2.6B SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 2.31 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 2.97 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about F17?
Our models span a range for GUOCOLAND LIMITED: cautious scenario 2.97 SGD, base 2.97 SGD, optimistic 2.98 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 2.31 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of F17?
GUOCOLAND LIMITED trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2.97 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.1, P/B 0.6, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 40.4.
What is the PEG ratio of F17?
The PEG ratio of GUOCOLAND LIMITED is 0.10 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17)?
Balance-sheet figures for GUOCOLAND LIMITED (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 1.4%, debt of 0.78 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is F17 from its 52-week high?
GUOCOLAND LIMITED trades at 2.31 SGD, about 20% below its 52-week high of 2.88 SGD and 18% above the low of 1.95 SGD (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.97 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GUOCOLAND LIMITED?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GUOCOLAND LIMITED stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 2.31 SGD, calculated fair value 2.97 SGD (+29%), Quality Score 59/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of F17 calculated?
We run GUOCOLAND LIMITED through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.97 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. GUOCOLAND LIMITED currently trades 22 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 2.31 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 2.97 SGD, about +29% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GUOCOLAND LIMITED right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (2.97 SGD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The models converge in a tight band (2.97 SGD to 2.98 SGD), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of GUOCOLAND LIMITED
How large is the market capitalisation of GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17)?
The market capitalisation of GUOCOLAND LIMITED is 2.6B SGD (≈ $2.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GUOCOLAND LIMITED is 2.19 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17)?
Earnings per share at GUOCOLAND LIMITED are 0.0700 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17)?
The dividend yield of GUOCOLAND LIMITED is 3.0% (payout 100%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17)?
The net margin of GUOCOLAND LIMITED is 6.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GUOCOLAND LIMITED is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GUOCOLAND LIMITED is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17)?
The operating margin of GUOCOLAND LIMITED is −8.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17)?
Revenue at GUOCOLAND LIMITED is growing −28.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17)?
Earnings per share at GUOCOLAND LIMITED are growing −89.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does GUOCOLAND LIMITED (F17) carry?
The net debt of GUOCOLAND LIMITED is 3.7B SGD (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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