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Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp stock VND 6,508, price VND 11,750, that is 44.6% below the price, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 7 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Real Estate VN · ISIN VN000000PDR0

PD Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp

PDR · VN
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 45% below what the stock costs today.

Highly profitable · 59.8% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +61.2 %/yr in VND)
Moderate moat 50/100 · thin data
Fair value 6,508 VND · Strongly overvalued (−44.6%)
Quality 38/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

65,621 VND 9,125 VND Fair Value 6,508 VND Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 9,125 VND – 65,621 VND · fair‑value band 5,502 VND – 6,893 VND · the 11,750 VND price screens above the 6,508 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the purchase, sale, construction, and leasing of real estate properties in Vietnam.

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The company undertakes civil and industrial, and transport infrastructure works; and provides real estate brokerage, trading, and valuation services, as well as floor and property management services. It also constructs and trades in residential properties.

Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corporation was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.

Stock analysis

Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR) currently trades at 11,750 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6,508 VND, 45% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 9,298 VND per share, and 1 of the 7 models we run sit above the 11,750 VND price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 4,943 VND, and 6 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 5,502 VND (bear) to 6,893 VND (bull), the price of 11,750 VND sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp reported revenue of 1.3T VND in FY2025 versus 3.6T VND in FY2021, a compound −22.2%/yr. Reported net income was 515B VND in FY2025, compounding −27.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 11.7T VND (≈ $458M) Small · P/E ratio 19.5 · P/S ratio 11.4 · EPS (TTM) 602.92 VND · Net margin 59.8% · Return on equity 5.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −436%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside, at −45%, PDR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 5,502 VND Fair Value 6,508 VND Bull 6,893 VND
Price 11,750 VND · Downside -44.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (515.37 VND per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income 7,635 VND 7,656 VND 8,110 VND 71
EV/EBIT 2,413 VND 4,943 VND 7,474 VND 62
EV/EBITDA 847.03 VND 2,856 VND 4,865 VND 61
All 7 models by family
Multiples
P/S Multiple 6,473 VND 8,631 VND 10,789 VND 58
P/B Multiple 17,998 VND 23,998 VND 29,997 VND 55
EV/EBIT 2,413 VND 4,943 VND 7,474 VND 62
EV/EBITDA 847.03 VND 2,856 VND 4,865 VND 61
EV/Revenue n/a 802.06 VND 2,597 VND 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6,137 VND 9,298 VND 11,622 VND 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 7,635 VND 7,656 VND 8,110 VND 71

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 32
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 84
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 39
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 73
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 79
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 17
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 3
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in VND ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in VND: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−28.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−28.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.40% → 35%

PDR screens overvalued: fair value 45% below the price. Compare with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 489 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −44.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 5.1% · Above median
Return on assets 1.9% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 59.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 168.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.36× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 19.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.95× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 11.44× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 67
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)20 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)82 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 61

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$32.02 HK$80.05 +150% vs PDR
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 62,100 VND 105,995 VND +71% vs PDR
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$13.18 HK$22.49 +71% vs PDR
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$49.12 HK$72.05 +47% vs PDR
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$117.70 HK$156.00 +33% vs PDR
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.84 ¥5.64 −28% vs PDR
Sino Land Company 0083 HK$10.48 HK$6.32 −40% vs PDR
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,179 ₹271.92 −77% vs PDR
DLF Limited DLF ₹752.90 ₹167.48 −78% vs PDR
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.28 $1.52 −82% vs PDR

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Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PDR

Frequently asked questions

Is Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 6,508 VND versus a price of 11,750 VND, about 45% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PDR?
Our model-based fair value for Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is 6,508 VND (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 11,750 VND.
What is the quality score of PDR?
Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 6,508 VND (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5,502 VND, optimistic scenario 6,893 VND. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 6,508 VND, about 45% lower versus a price of 11,750 VND (overvalued). Cautious scenario 5,502 VND, optimistic scenario 6,893 VND. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0T VND (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp it is 6,508 VND per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 11,750 VND. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models in 3 families (Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, PDR trades above its calculated fair value: price 11,750 VND, fair value 6,508 VND, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PDR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (11,750 VND); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (6,508 VND). For Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp the two are 5,242 VND per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp worth?
The market values Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp at about 11.7T VND (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 11,750 VND; our models calculate a fair value of 6,508 VND per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PDR?
Our models span a range for Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp: cautious scenario 5,502 VND, base 6,508 VND, optimistic 6,893 VND per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 11,750 VND). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PDR?
Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.5 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 6,508 VND is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 11.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 5.1%, debt of 0.36 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PDR from its 52-week high?
Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp trades at 11,750 VND, about 49% below its 52-week high of 23,050 VND and 6% above the low of 11,050 VND (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 6,508 VND is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 11,750 VND, calculated fair value 6,508 VND (−45%), Quality Score 38/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PDR calculated?
We run Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp through 7 models from 3 families: Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 6,508 VND builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 11,750 VND. Our model-based fair value is 6,508 VND, about 45% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (6,893 VND). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
The market capitalisation of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is 11.7T VND (≈ $458M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is 11.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
Earnings per share at Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp are 602.92 VND (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
The net margin of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is 59.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is 4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
The operating margin of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is −436% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
Revenue at Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is growing +169% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
Earnings per share at Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp are growing +22.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR) generate?
The free cash flow of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is −3.0T VND (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR) carry?
The net debt of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is 5.2T VND (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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