Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corporation (PDR) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · VN · Market cap 14.1T VND
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price −17.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 65% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (6,353 VND). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 9,125 VND – 65,621 VND · fair‑value band 4,202 VND – 6,353 VND · the 11,900 VND price screens above the 4,202 VND fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corporation (PDR) currently trades at 11,900 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4,202 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 64.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corporation generated revenue of 991B VND at a net margin of 60.2%. Revenue declined 76.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. Net debt stands at 5.2T VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 4,202 VND (bear case) to 6,353 VND (bull case); at 11,900 VND, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -65%, PDR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (9,287 VND) versus Dividend Discount (0.8900 VND). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the purchase, sale, construction, and leasing of real estate properties in Vietnam.
Full company description
Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the purchase, sale, construction, and leasing of real estate properties in Vietnam. The company undertakes civil and industrial, and transport infrastructure works; and provides real estate brokerage, trading, and valuation services, as well as floor and property management services. It also constructs and trades in residential properties. Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corporation was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corporation reported revenue of 1.3T VND in FY2025 versus 3.6T VND in FY2021, a compound −22.2%/yr. Reported net income was 515B VND in FY2025, compounding −27.5%/yr from FY2021.
PDR screens 65% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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