Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp VND 4,202, price VND 11,650, upside -63.9%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 9,125 VND – 65,621 VND · fair‑value band 4,202 VND – 6,353 VND · the 11,650 VND price screens above the 4,202 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the purchase, sale, construction, and leasing of real estate properties in Vietnam.
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Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the purchase, sale, construction, and leasing of real estate properties in Vietnam. The company undertakes civil and industrial, and transport infrastructure works; and provides real estate brokerage, trading, and valuation services, as well as floor and property management services. It also constructs and trades in residential properties. Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corporation was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
Stock analysis
Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR) currently trades at 11,650 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4,202 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 177.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 8,460 VND per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 11,650 VND price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 6,052 VND, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 4,202 VND (bear) to 6,353 VND (bull), the price of 11,650 VND sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp reported revenue of 1.3T VND in FY2025 versus 3.6T VND in FY2021, a compound −22.2%/yr. Reported net income was 515B VND in FY2025, compounding −27.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 14.1T VND · P/E ratio 19.1 · P/S ratio 7.44 · EPS (TTM) 608.37 VND · Net margin 38.9% · Return on equity 5.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1% · Operating margin −6.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at −64%, PDR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 4,202 VNDFair Value 4,202 VNDBull 6,353 VND
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (445.03 VND per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+61.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in VND ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in VND: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−28.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−28.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.40% → 35%
Compare Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 578 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−64% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Above median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)60% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−76% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.36× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)19.1× · Pricier than median
P/B1.14× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)14.24× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA54.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)20· sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)82· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 56
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PDR
Frequently asked questions
Is Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4,202 VND versus a price of 11,650 VND, about −64% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PDR?
Our model-based fair value for Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is 4,202 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 11,650 VND.
What is the quality score of PDR?
Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 4,202 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4,202 VND, optimistic scenario 6,353 VND. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 4,202 VND, about −64% upside versus a price of 11,650 VND (overvalued). Cautious scenario 4,202 VND, optimistic scenario 6,353 VND. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 991B VND (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp it is 4,202 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 11,650 VND. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PDR trades above its calculated fair value: price 11,650 VND, fair value 4,202 VND, a gap of about −64% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PDR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (11,650 VND); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (4,202 VND). For Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp the two are 7,448 VND per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp worth?
The market values Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp at about 14.1T VND (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 11,650 VND; our models calculate a fair value of 4,202 VND per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PDR?
Our models span a range for Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp: cautious scenario 4,202 VND, base 4,202 VND, optimistic 6,353 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 11,650 VND). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PDR?
Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 4,202 VND is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 14.2, EV/EBITDA 54.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.1%, debt of 0.36 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PDR from its 52-week high?
Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp trades at 11,650 VND, about 56% below its 52-week high of 26,300 VND and 4% above the low of 11,150 VND (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 4,202 VND is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 11,650 VND, calculated fair value 4,202 VND (−64%), Quality Score 31/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PDR calculated?
We run Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 4,202 VND, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 11,650 VND. Our model-based fair value is 4,202 VND, about −64% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (6,353 VND). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
The market capitalisation of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is 14.1T VND. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is 7.44 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
Earnings per share at Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp are 608.37 VND (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
The net margin of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is 38.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is 4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
The operating margin of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is −6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
Revenue at Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is growing −76.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR)?
Earnings per share at Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp are growing +153% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR) generate?
The free cash flow of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is −3.0T VND (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp (PDR) carry?
The net debt of Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corp is 5.2T VND (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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