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La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of La Française de l-Energie S.A. €10.82, price €21.05, upside -48.6%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · FR · ISIN FR0013030152

LF La Française de l-Energie S.A. logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

La Française de l-Energie S.A.

FDE · PA

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value €10.82 · Strongly overvalued (−49%)
!Quality 29/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY −3.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.3% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 10 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€67.90 €19.14 Fair Value €10.82 Aug 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €19.14 – €67.90 · fair‑value band €10.82 – €12.19 · the €21.05 price screens above the €10.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

La Française de l'Energie S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a carbon-negative energy production company in France and internationally.

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La Française de l'Energie S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a carbon-negative energy production company in France and internationally. It engages in the generation of electricity and heat though photovoltaic plants; purification and liquefaction of biogas, cold energy recovery and exchangers, landfill gas, flare gas, rare gases, etc.; and production of carbon dioxide and hydrogen. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Faulquemont, France.

Stock analysis

La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE) currently trades at €21.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €10.82, implying the stock looks roughly 94.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €19.22 per share, and 1 of the 12 models we run sit above the €21.05 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €5.73, and 11 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €10.82 (bear) to €12.19 (bull), the price of €21.05 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.

La Française de l-Energie S.A. reported revenue of €30.4M in FY2025 versus €10.2M in FY2021, a compound +31.2%/yr. Reported net income was €3.7M in FY2025, compounding +91.5%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap €211M · P/E ratio 10.9 · P/S ratio 1.31 · EPS (TTM) €1.94 · Net margin 12.1% · Return on equity 2.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9% · Operating margin 17.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −49%, FDE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €10.82 Fair Value €10.82 Bull €12.19
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (€1.94 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income €10.99 €10.50 €8.38 71
Growth-Adj P/E €13.45 €19.22 €24.98 67
EV/EBITDA €3.84 €5.73 €7.63 66
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €4.74 €33.03 €46.35 63
Lynch FV €12.02 €17.17 €22.33 61
PEG = 1.0 €12.02 €17.17 €22.33 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple €7.31 €9.75 €12.19 63
P/S Multiple €5.18 €6.90 €8.63 58
P/B Multiple €8.88 €11.84 €14.80 55
EV/EBIT €1.10 €2.08 €3.07 63
EV/EBITDA €3.84 €5.73 €7.63 66
EV/Revenue €1.73 €3.27 €4.80 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €8.15 €10.92 €16.31 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €10.99 €10.50 €8.38 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €13.45 €19.22 €24.98 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 23
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 15
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+67.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+67.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2% → 7%

FDE screens 95% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 307 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −48% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 17% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.84× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.79× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 7.42× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 18.7× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)83 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)10 · sector 9
HEALTH (low debt)58 · sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 74

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.34 HK$39.89 +71%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $125.27 $90.15 −28%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.77 $52.55 +10%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $139.52 $165.02 +18%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $56.31 $33.34 −41%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $184.50 $242.64 +32%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $46.93 $51.62 +10%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.13 A$23.59 −24%
EQT Corporation EQT $50.81 $55.89 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $355.24 $318.28 −10%

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La Française de l-Energie S.A. · Fair Value
€10.82 −95%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "La Française de l-Energie S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FDE

Frequently asked questions

Is La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €10.82 versus a price of €21.05, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FDE?
Our model-based fair value for La Française de l-Energie S.A. is €10.82 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €21.05.
What is the quality score of FDE?
La Française de l-Energie S.A. has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €10.82 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario €10.82, optimistic scenario €12.19. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the La Française de l-Energie S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €10.82, about −49% upside versus a price of €21.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €10.82, optimistic scenario €12.19. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE)?
La Française de l-Energie S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €32.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For La Française de l-Energie S.A. it is €10.82 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €21.05. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is La Française de l-Energie S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, FDE trades above its calculated fair value: price €21.05, fair value €10.82, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FDE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€21.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€10.82). For La Française de l-Energie S.A. the two are €10.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is La Française de l-Energie S.A. worth?
The market values La Française de l-Energie S.A. at about €211M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €21.05; our models calculate a fair value of €10.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FDE?
Our models span a range for La Française de l-Energie S.A.: cautious scenario €10.82, base €10.82, optimistic €12.19 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €21.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FDE?
La Française de l-Energie S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €10.82 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.8, P/S 7.4, EV/EBITDA 18.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE)?
Balance-sheet figures for La Française de l-Energie S.A. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 2.5%, debt of 0.84 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FDE from its 52-week high?
La Française de l-Energie S.A. trades at €21.05, about 54% below its 52-week high of €46.00 and 5% above the low of €20.05 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €10.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to La Française de l-Energie S.A.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is La Française de l-Energie S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €21.05, calculated fair value €10.82 (−49%), Quality Score 29/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FDE calculated?
We run La Française de l-Energie S.A. through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €10.82, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. La Française de l-Energie S.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €21.05. Our model-based fair value is €10.82, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with La Française de l-Energie S.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€12.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The models converge in a tight band (€10.82 to €12.19), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of La Française de l-Energie S.A.

How large is the market capitalisation of La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE)?
The market capitalisation of La Française de l-Energie S.A. is €211M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of La Française de l-Energie S.A. is 1.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE)?
Earnings per share at La Française de l-Energie S.A. are €1.94 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE)?
The net margin of La Française de l-Energie S.A. is 12.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of La Française de l-Energie S.A. is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of La Française de l-Energie S.A. is 5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE)?
The operating margin of La Française de l-Energie S.A. is 17.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE)?
Revenue at La Française de l-Energie S.A. is growing +16.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE)?
Earnings per share at La Française de l-Energie S.A. are growing −53.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE) generate?
The free cash flow of La Française de l-Energie S.A. is −€18.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does La Française de l-Energie S.A. (FDE) carry?
The net debt of La Française de l-Energie S.A. is €62.5M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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