Frontera Energy Corporation (FEC) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CA · Market cap C$620M
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from C$15.50 to C$21.57 (+39.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −8.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 166% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$15.23). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (C$15.23 to C$27.90) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$2.87 – C$10.67 · fair‑value band C$15.23 – C$27.90 · the C$8.10 price screens below the C$21.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Frontera Energy Corporation (FEC) currently trades at C$8.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$21.57, implying the stock looks roughly 166.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at C$1.0B. It earns a return on equity of -89.9%. Net debt stands at C$263M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$15.23 (bear case) to C$27.90 (bull case); at C$8.10, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 166%, FEC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (C$22.44) versus Dividend Discount (C$1.69). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Frontera Energy Corporation engages in the exploration, development, production, transportation, storage, and sale of oil and natural gas in South America. The company has a portfolio of assets, which consists of interests in 17 exploration and production blocks in Colombia, and Guyana; and pipeline transportation and port facilities in Colombia.
Full company description
Frontera Energy Corporation engages in the exploration, development, production, transportation, storage, and sale of oil and natural gas in South America. The company has a portfolio of assets, which consists of interests in 17 exploration and production blocks in Colombia, and Guyana; and pipeline transportation and port facilities in Colombia. It also engages in onshore, and colombian infrastructure business. The company was formerly known as Pacific Exploration & Production Corporation and changed its name to Frontera Energy Corporation in June 2017. Frontera Energy Corporation was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Frontera Energy Corporation reported revenue of C$1.0B in FY2025 versus C$927M in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was −C$1.1B in FY2025.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Parex Resources completes $500m acquisition of Frontera E&P assets
- FRONTERA BECOMES PURE-PLAY INFRASTRUCTURE COMPANY
- Parex Resources Provides Update on the Acquisition of Frontera E&P
- Frontera to sell Colombian operations to Parex in $750m deal
Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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