Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Four Seasons Education Cayman $1.79, price $9.35, upside -80.9%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $1.79 · Strongly overvalued (−80.9%)
!Quality 53/100
!Weak Growth(revenue 5y −8.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers(2/9)
!Narrow moat27/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.44 – $36.53 · fair‑value band $1.26 – $2.33 · the $9.35 price screens above the $1.79 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. provides after-school education services for kindergarten, elementary, and middle school students in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It offers learning technology and content solutions; and tourism services, including travel agency services and educational travel programs.
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Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. provides after-school education services for kindergarten, elementary, and middle school students in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It offers learning technology and content solutions; and tourism services, including travel agency services and educational travel programs. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU) currently trades at $9.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.79, 80.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $17.79 per share, and 2 of the 9 models we run sit above the $9.35 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $0.9000, and 7 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $1.26 (bear) to $2.33 (bull), the price of $9.35 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Four Seasons Education Cayman reported revenue of 251M CNY in FY2025 versus 280M CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was 801K CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $23.5M · P/E ratio 16.1 · P/S ratio 0.05 · EPS (TTM) $0.5800 · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.6% · Operating margin 6.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at −81%, FEDU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.9000 to $20.12). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $1.26Fair Value $1.79Bull $2.33
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.5800 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+100.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.9% (2020) → −6.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 120 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Below median
Fair Value upside−80.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1.7% · Below median
Return on assets−0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)3.4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.18× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)16.1× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)40· sector 29
PAST (return on equity)7· sector 33
HEALTH (low debt)91· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 50
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.79 versus a price of $9.35, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FEDU?
Our model-based fair value for Four Seasons Education Cayman is $1.79 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $9.35.
What is the quality score of FEDU?
Four Seasons Education Cayman has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.79 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.26, optimistic scenario $2.33. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Four Seasons Education Cayman stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.79, about −81% upside versus a price of $9.35 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.26, optimistic scenario $2.33. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU)?
Four Seasons Education Cayman reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 262M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Four Seasons Education Cayman it is $1.79 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $9.35. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Four Seasons Education Cayman stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, FEDU trades above its calculated fair value: price $9.35, fair value $1.79, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FEDU?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($9.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.79). For Four Seasons Education Cayman the two are $7.56 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Four Seasons Education Cayman worth?
The market values Four Seasons Education Cayman at about $23.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $9.35; our models calculate a fair value of $1.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FEDU?
Our models span a range for Four Seasons Education Cayman: cautious scenario $1.26, base $1.79, optimistic $2.33 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $9.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FEDU?
Four Seasons Education Cayman trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.1 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.79 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Four Seasons Education Cayman (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 1.7%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FEDU from its 52-week high?
Four Seasons Education Cayman trades at $9.35, about 37% below its 52-week high of $14.73 and 35% above the low of $6.91 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Four Seasons Education Cayman?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, TAL Education Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Covista Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Four Seasons Education Cayman stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $9.35, calculated fair value $1.79 (−81%), Quality Score 53/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FEDU calculated?
We run Four Seasons Education Cayman through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.79, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Four Seasons Education Cayman itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $9.35. Our model-based fair value is $1.79, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Four Seasons Education Cayman right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($1.26 to $2.33) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Four Seasons Education Cayman
How large is the market capitalisation of Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU)?
The market capitalisation of Four Seasons Education Cayman is $23.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Four Seasons Education Cayman is 0.05 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU)?
Earnings per share at Four Seasons Education Cayman are $0.5800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU)?
The net margin of Four Seasons Education Cayman is 0.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Four Seasons Education Cayman is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Four Seasons Education Cayman is −4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU)?
The operating margin of Four Seasons Education Cayman is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU)?
Revenue at Four Seasons Education Cayman is growing +7.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU)?
Earnings per share at Four Seasons Education Cayman are growing +359% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU) generate?
The free cash flow of Four Seasons Education Cayman is −37.2M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Four Seasons Education Cayman (FEDU) hold?
Four Seasons Education Cayman holds more cash than debt, 112M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026