FG Merger II Corp. Unit (FGMCU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 17, 2026: fair value of FG Merger II Corp. Unit $2.56, price $8.97, upside -71.5%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
18‑month range $8.97 – $18.65 · fair‑value band $1.62 – $4.03 · the $8.97 price screens above the $2.56 fair value. 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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FG Merger II Corp. does not have significant operations. It focuses on businesses in the financial services industry. The company was incorporated in 2023 and is based in Itasca, Illinois.
Stock analysis
FG Merger II Corp. Unit (FGMCU) currently trades at $8.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.56, 71.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $5.37 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the $8.97 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $1.80, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $1.62 (bear) to $4.03 (bull), the price of $8.97 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
FG Merger II Corp. Unit reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $5.0M in FY2021. Reported net income was $1.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $111M · Return on equity 10.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3,038% · EPS growth (YoY) −32.5% · Free cash flow $1.5M · Net cash $487K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −71%, FGMCU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.62Fair Value $2.56Bull $4.03
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+31.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+60.3%
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.5%
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’15
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−333.3% (2019) → −144.3% (2024)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+34.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +31.6% a year for the price.
Compare FG Merger II Corp. Unit with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Shell Companies · 77 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−71.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets−0.9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.0% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Shell Companies median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.34× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF74.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)41· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 100
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 0
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "FG Merger II Corp. Unit Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FGMCU
Frequently asked questions
Is FG Merger II Corp. Unit (FGMCU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.56 versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $8.97, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FGMCU?
Our model-based fair value for FG Merger II Corp. Unit is $2.56 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 17, 2026): $8.97.
What is the quality score of FGMCU?
FG Merger II Corp. Unit has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for FG Merger II Corp. Unit (FGMCU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.56 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.62, optimistic scenario $4.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the FG Merger II Corp. Unit stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.56, about −71% upside versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $8.97 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.62, optimistic scenario $4.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into FG Merger II Corp. Unit (FGMCU)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, FG Merger II Corp. Unit would have to grow free cash flow by +34.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +60.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FGMCU use?
Our models discount FG Merger II Corp. Unit at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For FG Merger II Corp. Unit that is +34.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has FG Merger II Corp. Unit (FGMCU) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at FG Merger II Corp. Unit grew +60.3 % a year. The price currently implies +34.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of FG Merger II Corp. Unit (FGMCU) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +6.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into FG Merger II Corp. Unit (+34.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of FG Merger II Corp. Unit (FGMCU)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.05 %: that much free cash flow FG Merger II Corp. Unit produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of FG Merger II Corp. Unit (FGMCU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For FG Merger II Corp. Unit it is $2.56 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $8.97. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is FG Merger II Corp. Unit stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, FGMCU trades above its calculated fair value: price $8.97, fair value $2.56, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FGMCU?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.97); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.56). For FG Merger II Corp. Unit the two are $6.41 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is FG Merger II Corp. Unit worth?
The market values FG Merger II Corp. Unit at about $111M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $8.97; our models calculate a fair value of $2.56 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FGMCU?
Our models span a range for FG Merger II Corp. Unit: cautious scenario $1.62, base $2.56, optimistic $4.03 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $8.97). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of FG Merger II Corp. Unit (FGMCU)?
Balance-sheet figures for FG Merger II Corp. Unit (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FGMCU from its 52-week high?
FG Merger II Corp. Unit trades at $8.97, about 52% below its 52-week high of $18.65 and at the low of $8.97 (as of Jul 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.56 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to FG Merger II Corp. Unit?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Lionheart III Corp, AA Mission Acquisition Corp, Berto Acquisition Corp, Metals Acquisition Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is FG Merger II Corp. Unit stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $8.97, calculated fair value $2.56 (−71%), Quality Score 62/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FGMCU calculated?
We run FG Merger II Corp. Unit through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.56, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. FG Merger II Corp. Unit itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of FG Merger II Corp. Unit (FGMCU)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 17, 2026 and stands at $8.97. Our model-based fair value is $2.56, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with FG Merger II Corp. Unit right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($1.62 to $4.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of FG Merger II Corp. Unit
How large is the market capitalisation of FG Merger II Corp. Unit (FGMCU)?
The market capitalisation of FG Merger II Corp. Unit is $111M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of FG Merger II Corp. Unit (FGMCU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of FG Merger II Corp. Unit is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of FG Merger II Corp. Unit (FGMCU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of FG Merger II Corp. Unit is −3,038% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast are earnings growing at FG Merger II Corp. Unit (FGMCU)?
Earnings per share at FG Merger II Corp. Unit are growing −32.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does FG Merger II Corp. Unit (FGMCU) hold?
FG Merger II Corp. Unit holds more cash than debt, $487K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026