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Figure Technology Solutions, Inc (FIGR) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $6.8B

FT Figure Technology Solutions, Inc logo Figure Technology Solutions, Inc FIGR · US
Price$28.62
Fair Value$10.59
Upside-63.0%
Quality53/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 35.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: Medium Range $7.95 – $13.24 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −6.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($13.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (11 months)

$73.91 $24.91 Fair Value $10.59 Sep 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

11‑month range $24.91 – $73.91 · fair‑value band $7.95 – $13.24 · the $28.62 price screens above the $10.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Figure Technology Solutions, Inc (FIGR) currently trades at $28.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.59, implying the stock looks roughly 63.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Figure Technology Solutions, Inc generated revenue of $510M at a net margin of 35.2%. Revenue grew 119.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.95 (bear case) to $13.24 (bull case); at $28.62, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -63%, FIGR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $6.71 $9.69 $14.48 80
Residual Income $3.84 $4.31 $7.55 76
Rev-Margin DCF $6.99 $9.92 $16.05 74
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $9.39 $16.67 $31.38 31
5Y P/E Exit $9.64 $18.21 $30.04 38
10Y P/E Exit $8.92 $17.03 $30.69 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.21 $22.38 $31.41 54
Lynch FV $11.56 $16.52 $21.48 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple $7.08 $9.44 $11.80 63
P/B Multiple $6.02 $8.02 $10.03 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.17 $2.90 $4.33 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.71 $9.69 $14.48 80
Rev-Margin DCF $6.99 $9.92 $16.05 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.84 $4.31 $7.55 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($17.03) versus Asset-Based ($2.90). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $510M
Revenue growth (YoY) +119%
Net margin 35.2%
Return on equity 21.7%
Free cash flow $62.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 37.6
More key figures
Operating margin 24.9%
EPS (TTM) $0.8200
EPS growth (YoY) +278%
Net cash $1.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 9

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Figure Technology Solutions, Inc., a financial technology company, provides blockchain-based products and solutions in the United States. The company offers a suite of blockchain-based solutions for its marketplaces, including lending, trading, and investing activities in areas, such as consumer credit and digital assets.

Full company description

Figure Technology Solutions, Inc., a financial technology company, provides blockchain-based products and solutions in the United States. The company offers a suite of blockchain-based solutions for its marketplaces, including lending, trading, and investing activities in areas, such as consumer credit and digital assets. It also provides technology-enabled loan origination system and pairs this system with a distribution marketplace; Figure Connect that provides access to a deep and broad pool of capital markets partners; and develops an exchange for digital assets and credit, which offers interest-bearing stablecoin deposits. The company was formerly known as FT Intermediate, Inc. and changed its name to Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. in August 2025. Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. was founded in 2018 and is based in Reno, Nevada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Figure Technology Solutions, Inc reported revenue of $457M in FY2025 versus $167M in FY2023, a compound +65.5%/yr. Reported net income was $134M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 91/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$457M
Latest YoY
+63.7%
Revenue +65.5%/yr
FY23 $167M
FY24 $279M
FY25 $457M
Net income
FY23 −$47.9M
FY24 $17.2M
FY25 $134M

FIGR screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Figure Technology Solutions, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FIGR

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 425 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −63% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Above median
Revenue growth 119% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.19× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 13.37× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 109.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 54.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 100 · sector 96
PAST 87 · sector 30
HEALTH 91 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Huatai Securities Co HTSC $0.2700 $0.0400 -85%
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,750 KRW 31,645 KRW -18%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 117,000 KRW 87,706 KRW -25%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 239,000 KRW 318,825 KRW +33%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 31,000 KRW 37,133 KRW +20%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 107,700 KRW 126,487 KRW +17%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS ₹967.00 ₹299.65 -69%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 322,000 KRW 358,091 KRW +11%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 24,250 VND 28,021 VND +16%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 120.22 ARS -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Figure Technology Solutions, Inc (FIGR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.59 versus a price of $28.62, about −63% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FIGR?
Our model-based fair value for Figure Technology Solutions, Inc is $10.59 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $28.62.
What is the quality score of FIGR?
Figure Technology Solutions, Inc has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Figure Technology Solutions, Inc (FIGR)?
Figure Technology Solutions, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $510M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FIGR?
The net profit margin of Figure Technology Solutions, Inc is about 35.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 35.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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