MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of MD Pictures Tbk PT stock IDR 55, price IDR 408, upside -86.6%, quality 22 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?No
Good quality?No
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
PT.MD Entertainment Tbk produces, trades in, and distributes films and videos in Indonesia. The company is involved in the studio rental and shooting equipment rental activities, as well as operates studio production house.
Show moreShow less
It also engages in printing and publishing of books, magazines and general trading and services business. In addition, the company is involved in television broadcasting activities.
PT.MD Entertainment Tbk was formerly known as PT MD Pictures Tbk and changed its name to PT.MD Entertainment Tbk in July 2024. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in South Jakarta, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM) currently trades at 408.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 54.58 IDR, 86.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 222.37 IDR per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the 408.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 15.49 IDR, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 37.26 IDR (bear) to 71.91 IDR (bull), the price of 408.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
MD Pictures Tbk PT reported revenue of 496B IDR in FY2025 versus 255B IDR in FY2021, a compound +18.1%/yr. Reported net income was −257B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 4.4T IDR (≈ $247M) Micro · P/S ratio 13.4 · EPS (TTM) −20.00 IDR · Dividend yield 3.7% · Net margin −42.7% · Return on equity −8.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9% · Operating margin −0.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 97% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −87%, FILM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear37.26 IDRFair Value 54.58 IDRBull71.91 IDR
Price 408.00 IDR · Upside -86.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +23.7% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.7%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−50.1% (2020) → −33.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 233 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−86.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−6.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−42.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−0.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−24.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)3.7% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.43× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)9.25× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 29
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 6
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)74· sector 48
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 54.58 IDR versus a price of 408.00 IDR, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FILM?
Our model-based fair value for MD Pictures Tbk PT is 54.58 IDR (as of Oct 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 408.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of FILM?
MD Pictures Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 54.58 IDR (as of Oct 26, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario 37.26 IDR, optimistic scenario 71.91 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MD Pictures Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 54.58 IDR, about −87% upside versus a price of 408.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 37.26 IDR, optimistic scenario 71.91 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM)?
MD Pictures Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 480B IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 26, 2026).
Does MD Pictures Tbk PT pay a dividend?
MD Pictures Tbk PT currently shows a dividend yield of 3.70% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 26, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MD Pictures Tbk PT it is 54.58 IDR per share (as of Oct 26, 2026), against a price of 408.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is MD Pictures Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 26, 2026, FILM trades above its calculated fair value: price 408.00 IDR, fair value 54.58 IDR, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FILM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (408.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (54.58 IDR). For MD Pictures Tbk PT the two are 353.42 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MD Pictures Tbk PT worth?
The market values MD Pictures Tbk PT at about 4.4T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 26, 2026). Per share that is 408.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 54.58 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FILM?
Our models span a range for MD Pictures Tbk PT: cautious scenario 37.26 IDR, base 54.58 IDR, optimistic 71.91 IDR per share (as of Oct 26, 2026, price 408.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM)?
Balance-sheet figures for MD Pictures Tbk PT (as of Oct 26, 2026): return on equity −8.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FILM from its 52-week high?
MD Pictures Tbk PT trades at 408.00 IDR, about 97% below its 52-week high of 14,500 IDR and 2% above the low of 400.00 IDR (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 54.58 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MD Pictures Tbk PT?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, TKO Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MD Pictures Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 26, 2026: price 408.00 IDR, calculated fair value 54.58 IDR (−87%), Quality Score 22/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FILM calculated?
We run MD Pictures Tbk PT through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 54.58 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.5 % above its aggregate fair value. MD Pictures Tbk PT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was 408.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 54.58 IDR, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MD Pictures Tbk PT right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (71.91 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (37.26 IDR to 71.91 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM) come from?
Earnings per share at MD Pictures Tbk PT grew +13.1 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +24.8 %, EBIT margin −7.0 %, tax rate −3.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of MD Pictures Tbk PT
How large is the market capitalisation of MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM)?
The market capitalisation of MD Pictures Tbk PT is 4.4T IDR (≈ $247M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MD Pictures Tbk PT is 13.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM)?
Earnings per share at MD Pictures Tbk PT are −20.00 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM)?
The dividend yield of MD Pictures Tbk PT is 3.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM)?
The net margin of MD Pictures Tbk PT is −42.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MD Pictures Tbk PT is −8.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MD Pictures Tbk PT is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM)?
The operating margin of MD Pictures Tbk PT is −0.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM)?
Revenue at MD Pictures Tbk PT is growing −24.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM)?
Earnings per share at MD Pictures Tbk PT are growing +5.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM) generate?
The free cash flow of MD Pictures Tbk PT is −225B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does MD Pictures Tbk PT (FILM) carry?
The net debt of MD Pictures Tbk PT is 160B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch MD Pictures Tbk PT in the live analysis
One click puts MD Pictures Tbk PT on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 28,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Oct 26, 2026