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Finning International Inc (FINGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Finning International Inc $52.09, price $78.17, upside -33.4%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Finning International Inc
FINGF · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value $52.09 · Overvalued (−33.4%)
✓Quality 64/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +11.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.5% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 52/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.03 – $78.17 · fair‑value band $32.36 – $67.71 · the $78.17 price screens above the $52.09 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Finning International Inc. sells, services, and rents heavy equipment, engines, and related products in Canada, Chile, the United Kingdom, Argentina, and internationally.
Show more
Finning International Inc. sells, services, and rents heavy equipment, engines, and related products in Canada, Chile, the United Kingdom, Argentina, and internationally. The company offers articulated trucks, asphalt pavers, backhoe loaders, cold planers, compactors, dozers, drills, electric rope shovels, excavators, hydraulic mining shovels, log stackers, material handlers, motor graders, off-highway trucks, pipelayers, remixing transfer vehicle, road reclaimers, road wideners, skid steer and compact track loaders, track distributors, telehandlers, underground-hard rock, wheel loaders, window elevators, wheel tractor-scrapers, vibratory double drum asphalt and single drum pad, and mobile and stationary generator sets. It also provides feller bunchers track, quick coupler, winch, adapters, augers, backhoes, bale grabs and spears, blades, brooms, cold planers, compactors, excavator and loader couplers, electric power controls, flail mowers, forks, grapples, hammers, material handling, mulchers, nursery and snow products, pulverizes, rakers, rippers, saws, shears, stump grinders, trillers, tilt rotate systems, and trenchers; and backhoe front and rear, compact wheel loaders, excavators, loaders, mining shovels, skid steer loaders, and telehandler buckets. In addition, it offers power systems for electric power generation, oil and gas, industrial, and marine power systems; and fuel, fluid analysis, financing, maintenance, rebuilds, repair, warranty, and customer training services, as well as rents generators, battery energy storage systems, electrical distribution product, air compressor, and heavy equipment. It serves agriculture, construction, forestry, mining, paving, pipeline, power systems, and landscaping equipment industries, as well as government. The company was formerly known as Finning Ltd. and changed its name to Finning International Inc. in April 1997. The company was incorporated in 1933 and is headquartered in Surrey, Canada.
Stock analysis
Finning International Inc (FINGF) currently trades at $78.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $52.09, 33.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $56.49 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the $78.17 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $10.04, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $32.36 (bear) to $67.71 (bull), the price of $78.17 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Finning International Inc reported revenue of C$10.6B in FY2025 versus C$7.3B in FY2021, a compound +9.8%/yr. Reported net income was C$506M in FY2025, compounding +8.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $10.4B · P/E ratio 28.0 · P/S ratio 1.34 · EPS (TTM) $2.79 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 4.8% · Return on equity 18.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −33%, FINGF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $32.36
Fair Value $52.09
Bull $67.71
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.19 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$30.49
$50.21
$79.79
79
Growth DCF
$30.83
$47.91
$71.78
78
Owner Earnings
$42.92
$69.66
$109.76
75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$30.49
$50.21
$79.79
79
Owner Earnings
$42.92
$69.66
$109.76
75
5Y Revenue Exit
$33.90
$58.92
$91.25
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$45.72
$81.40
$123.72
74
5Y P/E Exit
$32.63
$56.49
$81.85
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$31.03
$53.37
$84.18
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
$39.69
$68.77
$108.80
67
10Y P/E Exit
$31.48
$51.70
$77.05
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$18.48
$62.52
$83.80
64
Lynch FV
$14.29
$20.41
$26.54
61
PEG = 1.0
$14.29
$20.41
$26.54
57
EPV
$28.99
$34.27
$38.82
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$42.81
$57.09
$71.36
63
P/S Multiple
$34.66
$46.21
$57.77
58
P/B Multiple
$34.66
$46.21
$57.77
55
EV/EBIT
$54.44
$74.07
$93.70
66
EV/EBITDA
$61.13
$82.99
$104.85
67
EV/Revenue
$37.58
$55.59
$73.61
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$7.50
$10.04
$14.99
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$30.83
$47.91
$71.78
78
Rev-Margin DCF
$33.90
$58.71
$87.81
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$16.75
$21.46
$33.37
74
ROIC Compounder
$31.50
$41.01
$52.22
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$36.46
$52.09
$67.71
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
64/100
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Profitability
60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
79
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.5% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+22.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.20.7% vs 13.0%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CAD, Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +19.4% a year for the price and +2.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+3.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.1%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.2%
FINGF screens overvalued: fair value 33% below the price. Compare with W.W. Grainger, Inc →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (95 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
- Finning Announces Pricing of $300 Million of 4.231% Senior Unsecured Notes
- Finning reports Q2 2026 results
- Finning releases 2025 sustainability report
- How Record EPS and Higher Dividend Will Impact Finning International (TSX:FTT) Investors
Compare Finning International Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW | $1,256 | $623.81 | −50% |
| Fastenal Company FAST | $50.23 | $41.28 | −18% |
| Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG | $222.74 | $32.49 | −85% |
| WESCO International, Inc WCC | $367.44 | $151.88 | −59% |
| Toromont Industries Ltd TIH | C$226.98 | C$127.90 | −44% |
| Watsco, Inc WSO | $317.23 | $250.18 | −21% |
| Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT | $332.29 | $205.13 | −38% |
| Indutrade AB INDT | kr 258.60 | kr 284.46 | +10% |
| Core & Main, Inc CNM | $42.64 | $50.21 | +18% |
| Reece Limited REH | A$16.24 | A$10.52 | −35% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Finning International Inc (FINGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $52.09 versus a price of $78.17, about −33% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FINGF?
Our model-based fair value for Finning International Inc is $52.09 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $78.17.
What is the quality score of FINGF?
Finning International Inc has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Finning International Inc (FINGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $52.09 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $32.36, optimistic scenario $67.71. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Finning International Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $52.09, about −33% upside versus a price of $78.17 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $32.36, optimistic scenario $67.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Finning International Inc (FINGF)?
Finning International Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$10.6B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Finning International Inc pay a dividend?
Finning International Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.55% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Finning International Inc (FINGF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Finning International Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +21.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.3 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FINGF use?
Our models discount Finning International Inc at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.35, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Finning International Inc that is +21.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Finning International Inc (FINGF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Finning International Inc grew +11.3 % a year. The price currently implies +21.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Finning International Inc (FINGF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Finning International Inc (+21.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Finning International Inc (FINGF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.23 %: that much free cash flow Finning International Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Finning International Inc (FINGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Finning International Inc it is $52.09 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $78.17. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Finning International Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, FINGF trades above its calculated fair value: price $78.17, fair value $52.09, a gap of about −33% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FINGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($78.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($52.09). For Finning International Inc the two are $26.08 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Finning International Inc worth?
The market values Finning International Inc at about $10.4B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $78.17; our models calculate a fair value of $52.09 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FINGF?
Our models span a range for Finning International Inc: cautious scenario $32.36, base $52.09, optimistic $67.71 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $78.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is FINGF from its 52-week high?
Finning International Inc trades at $78.17, at its 52-week high of $78.17 and 69% above the low of $46.35 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $52.09 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Finning International Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value W.W. Grainger, Inc, Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Finning International Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $78.17, calculated fair value $52.09 (−33%), Quality Score 64/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FINGF calculated?
We run Finning International Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $52.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Finning International Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Finning International Inc (FINGF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $78.17. Our model-based fair value is $52.09, about −33% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Finning International Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($67.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($32.36 to $67.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Finning International Inc (FINGF) come from?
Earnings per share at Finning International Inc grew +14.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.5 %, EBIT margin +4.6 %, tax rate −0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Finning International Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Finning International Inc (FINGF)?
The market capitalisation of Finning International Inc is $10.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Finning International Inc (FINGF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Finning International Inc is 28.0. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Finning International Inc (FINGF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Finning International Inc is 1.34 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Finning International Inc (FINGF)?
Earnings per share at Finning International Inc are $2.79 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Finning International Inc (FINGF)?
The dividend yield of Finning International Inc is 1.5% (payout 43.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Finning International Inc (FINGF)?
The net margin of Finning International Inc is 4.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Finning International Inc (FINGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Finning International Inc is 18.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Finning International Inc (FINGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Finning International Inc is 10.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Finning International Inc (FINGF)?
The operating margin of Finning International Inc is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Finning International Inc (FINGF)?
Revenue at Finning International Inc is growing +2.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Finning International Inc (FINGF)?
Earnings per share at Finning International Inc are growing +19.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Finning International Inc (FINGF) carry?
The net debt of Finning International Inc is C$1.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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