FLIGHT CENTRE (FLI) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · DE · Market cap €2.2B
What is FLIGHT CENTRE really worth?
A solid business, but trading 97% above our fair value of €3.71.
As of Aug 23, 2026, the fair value of FLIGHT CENTRE is €3.71 per share against a price of €7.30, so the fair value sits 49% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 23, 2026, revised from €3.40 to €3.71 (+9.1%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +9.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€4.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €6.05 – €14.21 · fair‑value band €2.79 – €4.64 · the €7.30 price screens above the €3.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
Analysis
FLIGHT CENTRE (FLI) currently trades at €7.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.71, implying the stock looks roughly 96.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €11.05 per share, and 5 of the 11 models we run sit above the €7.30 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €2.67, and 6 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Our scenario range runs from €2.79 (bear case) to €4.64 (bull case); at €7.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at −49%, FLI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€11.05) versus Asset-Based (€2.67). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
There is no Profile data available for FLI.BE.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
FLIGHT CENTRE reported revenue of A$2.8B in FY2025 versus A$396M in FY2021, a compound +62.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$109M in FY2025.
FLI screens 97% overvalued. Compare with SMPH →
Peer Group
Real Estate Operations · 37 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMPH SMPH | 17.80 PHP | 17.11 PHP | −4% |
| AC AC | 490.00 PHP | 735.41 PHP | +50% |
| ALI ALI | 15.62 PHP | 18.82 PHP | +20% |
| DDPR DDPR | 93.65 PHP | 113.05 PHP | +21% |
| ALLHC ALLHC | 1.18 PHP | 0.7300 PHP | −38% |
| DMW DMW | 4.90 PHP | 5.11 PHP | +4% |
| 505355 505355 | ₹1,039 | ₹1,996 | +92% |
| SLI SLI | 1.97 PHP | 4.93 PHP | +150% |
| SHNG SHNG | 3.25 PHP | 8.13 PHP | +150% |
| GERI GERI | 0.6200 PHP | 1.55 PHP | +150% |
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