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Standard Lithium Ltd (SLI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Standard Lithium Ltd stock $1.12, price $1.46, that is 23.2% below the price, quality 24 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 5 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials US · Home Canada · ISIN CA8536061010

SL Standard Lithium Ltd logo Thin data Nov 9, 2026

Standard Lithium Ltd

SLI · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 23% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +232.3 %/yr in USD)
Neutral coverage
Fair value $1.12 · Overvalued
Quality 24/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$12.37 $1.05 Fair Value $1.12 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.05 – $12.37 · fair‑value band $1.06 – $1.17 · the $1.46 price screens above the $1.12 fair value. As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

Standard Lithium Ltd. explores for and develops lithium brine properties in the United States.

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Its flagship projects comprise the South West Arkansas Project, which covers an area of approximately 30,000 net mineral acres of brine leases located on the Smackover Formation in Arkansas; and the East Texas Properties, which includes the Franklin project located in the East Texas region of the Smackover.

The company was formerly known as Patriot Petroleum Corp. and changed its name to Standard Lithium Ltd. in December 2016. Standard Lithium Ltd. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

Standard Lithium Ltd (SLI) currently trades at $1.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.12, 23% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $1.97 per share, and 2 of the 5 models we run sit above the $1.46 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.5100, and 3 of the 5 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $1.06 (bear) to $1.17 (bull), the price of $1.46 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Standard Lithium Ltd reported revenue of C$0 in FY2026 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$48.4M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $353M Small · EPS (TTM) $−0.2200 · Return on equity −15.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −13.2% (5-year average) · Free cash flow −$12.7M · Net cash $152M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −23%, SLI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.06 Fair Value $1.12 Bull $1.17
Price $1.46 · Downside -23.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV $1.25 $1.32 $1.38 74
EV/EBITDA $1.48 $1.76 $2.05 67
EV/EBIT $1.78 $2.17 $2.56 66
All 5 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV $1.25 $1.32 $1.38 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT $1.78 $2.17 $2.56 66
EV/EBITDA $1.48 $1.76 $2.05 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3300 $0.5100 $0.6300 55
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $1.25 $1.32 $1.38 63

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 0
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 1
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 26/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1,079.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+232.3%
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+99.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−37.0% (2011) → 0.0% (2016)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

SLI screens overvalued: fair value 23% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (91 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 372 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −23.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −12.5% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.00× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)2 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 92
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹261.75 ₹334.17 +28% vs SLI
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.25 SAR 64.96 SAR +12% vs SLI
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹568.10 ₹624.91 +10% vs SLI
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥27.56 ¥30.32 +10% vs SLI
Boliden AB BOL kr 503.40 kr 464.45 −8% vs SLI
BHP Group BHP A$59.20 A$47.85 −19% vs SLI
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥33.04 ¥25.57 −23% vs SLI
Korea Zinc Company 010130 960,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −32% vs SLI
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.29 ¥6.82 −49% vs SLI
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥38.65 ¥4.44 −89% vs SLI

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Standard Lithium Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Standard Lithium Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SLI

Frequently asked questions

Is Standard Lithium Ltd (SLI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.12 versus a price of $1.46, about 23% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SLI?
Our model-based fair value for Standard Lithium Ltd is $1.12 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.46.
What is the quality score of SLI?
Standard Lithium Ltd has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Standard Lithium Ltd (SLI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.12 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.06, optimistic scenario $1.17. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Standard Lithium Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.12, about 23% lower versus a price of $1.46 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.06, optimistic scenario $1.17. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Standard Lithium Ltd (SLI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Standard Lithium Ltd it is $1.12 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of $1.46. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models in 4 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Standard Lithium Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, SLI trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.46, fair value $1.12, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SLI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.46); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.12). For Standard Lithium Ltd the two are $0.3380 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Standard Lithium Ltd worth?
The market values Standard Lithium Ltd at about $353M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is $1.46; our models calculate a fair value of $1.12 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SLI?
Our models span a range for Standard Lithium Ltd: cautious scenario $1.06, base $1.12, optimistic $1.17 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price $1.46). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Standard Lithium Ltd (SLI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Standard Lithium Ltd (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −15.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SLI from its 52-week high?
Standard Lithium Ltd trades at $1.46, about 74% below its 52-week high of $5.65 and 7% above the low of $1.37 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.12 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Standard Lithium Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Standard Lithium Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price $1.46, calculated fair value $1.12 (−23%), Quality Score 24/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SLI calculated?
We run Standard Lithium Ltd through 5 models from 4 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $1.12 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Standard Lithium Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Standard Lithium Ltd (SLI)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $1.46. Our model-based fair value is $1.12, about 23% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Standard Lithium Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The models converge in a tight band ($1.06 to $1.17), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Standard Lithium Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Standard Lithium Ltd (SLI)?
The market capitalisation of Standard Lithium Ltd is $353M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Standard Lithium Ltd (SLI)?
Earnings per share at Standard Lithium Ltd are $−0.2200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Standard Lithium Ltd (SLI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Standard Lithium Ltd is −15.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Standard Lithium Ltd (SLI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Standard Lithium Ltd is −13.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Standard Lithium Ltd (SLI) generate?
The free cash flow of Standard Lithium Ltd is −$12.7M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Standard Lithium Ltd (SLI) hold?
Standard Lithium Ltd holds more cash than debt, $152M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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