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Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. (FMXB34) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · BR · Market cap R$45.0B

FE Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FMXB34 · SA
PriceR$622.20
Fair ValueR$1,969
Upside+216.4%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range R$1,476 – R$2,461 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from R$1,663 to R$1,969 (+18.4%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +1.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 216% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$1,476). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$660.00 R$240.17 Fair Value R$1,969 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$240.17 – R$660.00 · fair‑value band R$1,476 – R$2,461 · the R$622.20 price screens below the R$1,969 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. (FMXB34) currently trades at R$622.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$1,969, implying the stock looks roughly 216.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. generated revenue of R$853B at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. Net debt stands at R$39.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$1,476 (bear case) to R$2,461 (bull case); at R$622.20, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 216%, FMXB34 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF R$4,359 R$8,354 R$15,082 80
Rev-Margin DCF R$6,953 R$13,591 R$22,091 74
ROIC Compounder R$7,681 R$10,794 R$14,928 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$4,390 R$8,715 R$16,181 38
Owner Earnings R$2,258 R$4,891 R$9,436 31
5Y Revenue Exit R$6,953 R$13,841 R$23,304 39
5Y EBITDA Exit R$10,550 R$21,211 R$34,717 41
5Y P/E Exit R$3,497 R$6,758 R$10,441 38
10Y Revenue Exit R$5,721 R$11,977 R$21,738 36
10Y EBITDA Exit R$8,418 R$17,360 R$31,238 37
10Y P/E Exit R$3,754 R$6,805 R$11,032 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$1,939 R$8,811 R$12,087 54
Lynch FV R$2,306 R$3,294 R$4,282 50
PEG = 1.0 R$2,306 R$3,294 R$4,282 46
EPV R$6,681 R$7,971 R$9,100 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$4,492 R$5,989 R$7,486 63
P/S Multiple R$3,636 R$4,848 R$6,060 58
P/B Multiple R$3,636 R$4,848 R$6,060 55
EV/EBIT R$12,059 R$16,432 R$20,805 53
EV/EBITDA R$14,737 R$20,003 R$25,269 54
EV/Revenue R$8,303 R$12,316 R$16,329 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$1,798 R$2,409 R$3,595 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$4,359 R$8,354 R$15,082 80
Rev-Margin DCF R$6,953 R$13,591 R$22,091 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$2,990 R$3,201 R$3,608 61
ROIC Compounder R$7,681 R$10,794 R$14,928 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$3,724 R$5,320 R$6,917 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (R$8,715) versus Asset-Based (R$2,409). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$853B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.1%
Net margin 3.3%
Return on equity 12.4%
Free cash flow R$29.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 9.9
More key figures
Operating margin 12.6%
EPS (TTM) R$62.62
EPS growth (YoY) +168%
Net debt R$39.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, operates as a franchise bottler of Coca-Cola trademark beverages worldwide. The company operates through Coca-Cola FEMSA, Proximity Americas Division, Proximity Europe Division, Health Division, Fuel Division, and Others segments.

Full company description

Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, operates as a franchise bottler of Coca-Cola trademark beverages worldwide. The company operates through Coca-Cola FEMSA, Proximity Americas Division, Proximity Europe Division, Health Division, Fuel Division, and Others segments. It produces, markets, and distributes Coca-Cola trademark beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. The company also operates small-box retail chain stores in Mexico, Colombia, Peru, Chile, Brazil, and the United States under the OXXO name; retail service stations for fuels, motor oils, lubricants, and car care products under the OXXO GAS name in Mexico; and drugstores in Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, and Mexico under the Cruz Verde, Fybeca, Sana Sana, YZA, La Moderna, and Farmacon names. In addition, the company provides transport logistics and maintenance services in Mexico, Brazil, and Colombia; processes electronic transactions for small and medium-sized businesses under the Spin name; and engages in the proximity discount grocery business under the Bara name. Further, it operates small-box retail and foodvenience chain stores in Switzerland, Germany, Austria, Luxembourg, and the Netherlands under the k kiosk, Brezelkönig, BackWerk, Ditsch, Press & Books, avec, Caffè Spettacolo, and ok." brands. Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Monterrey, Mexico.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. reported revenue of R$841B in FY2025 versus R$505B in FY2021, a compound +13.6%/yr. Reported net income was R$19.4B in FY2025, compounding −9.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$841B
Latest YoY
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.1%
Revenue +13.6%/yr
FY21 R$505B
FY22 R$597B
FY23 R$703B
FY24 R$782B
FY25 R$841B
Net income −9.1%/yr
FY21 R$28.5B
FY22 R$23.9B
FY23 R$65.7B
FY24 R$26.7B
FY25 R$19.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FMXB34

Peer Group

Beverages - Brewers · 53 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.52× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 4.90× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 31
FUTURE 31 · sector 3
PAST 50 · sector 34
HEALTH 74 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA 1ABI €68.84 €41.60 -40%
Ambev S.A ABEV 14,120 ARS 3,535 ARS -75%
Heineken N.V HEIA €73.90 €65.06 -12%
Constellation Brands, Inc STZ $133.98 $173.19 +29%
Carlsberg A/S CARLA kr 1,090 kr 607.30 -44%
Heineken Holding HEIO €69.70 €99.95 +43%
Tsingtao Brewery Company 600600 ¥53.45 ¥63.65 +19%
Budweiser Brewing Company 1876 HK$6.35 HK$6.05 -5%
China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company 0291 HK$22.50 HK$25.37 +13%
Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co 000729 ¥12.85 ¥12.51 -3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. (FMXB34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$1,969 versus a price of R$622.20, about +216% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FMXB34?
Our model-based fair value for Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. is R$1,969 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$622.20.
What is the quality score of FMXB34?
Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. (FMXB34)?
Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$853B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FMXB34?
The net profit margin of Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. is about 3.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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