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Fabrinet (FN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Fabrinet is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · US · ISIN KYG3323L1005

F Fabrinet logo Broad data Sep 18, 2026

Fabrinet

FN · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $198.13 · Strongly overvalued (−49%)
!Quality 61/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +15.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Moderate moat 58/100
!Insider activity 30/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$746.47 $75.50 Fair Value $198.13 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $75.50 – $746.47 · fair‑value band $107.19 – $245.59 · the $388.55 price screens above the $198.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

Fabrinet provides optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services in North America, the Asia-Pacific, and Europe.

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Fabrinet provides optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services in North America, the Asia-Pacific, and Europe. The company offers a range of advanced optical and electro-mechanical capabilities in the manufacturing process, including process design and engineering, supply chain management, manufacturing, printed circuit board assembly, packaging, integration, final assembly, and testing. Its products include switching products, including reconfigurable optical add-drop multiplexers, optical amplifiers, modulators, and other optical components and modules that enable network managers to route voice, video, and data communications traffic through fiber optic cables at various wavelengths, speeds, and over various distances. The company's products also comprise transceivers, tunable lasers, and transponders; and active optical cables, which provide high-speed interconnect capabilities for data centers and computing clusters, as well as Infiniband, Ethernet, fiber channel, and optical backplane connectivity. In addition, it provides solid state, diode-pumped, gas, and fiber lasers used in semiconductor processing, biotechnology and medical device, metrology, and material processing industries; and differential pressure, micro-gyro, fuel, and other sensors used in automobiles, as well as non-contact temperature measurement sensors for the medical industry. Further, the company designs and fabricates application-specific crystals, lenses, prisms, mirrors, laser components, and substrates; and other custom and standard borosilicate, clear fused quartz, and synthetic fused silica glass products. It serves original equipment manufacturers of optical communication components, modules and sub-systems, industrial lasers, automotive components, medical devices, and sensors. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in George Town, the Cayman Islands.

Stock analysis

Fabrinet (FN) currently trades at $388.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $198.13, implying the stock looks roughly 96.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $228.18 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $388.55 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $37.06, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $107.19 (bear) to $245.59 (bull), the price of $388.55 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Fabrinet reported revenue of $3.4B in FY2025 versus $1.9B in FY2021, a compound +16.1%/yr. Reported net income was $333M in FY2025, compounding +22.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $17.3B · P/E ratio 32.8 · P/S ratio 3.19 · EPS (TTM) $11.83 · Net margin 9.7% · Return on equity 20.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.3% · Operating margin 9.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −63% fair-value upside, at −49%, FN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $107.19 Fair Value $198.13 Bull $245.59
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($11.65 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $87.13 $160.38 $295.01 77
Growth DCF $85.70 $150.49 $264.79 76
EPV $86.17 $99.10 $110.42 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $87.13 $160.38 $295.01 77
Owner Earnings $109.04 $202.71 $374.88 73
5Y Revenue Exit $90.04 $160.92 $260.39 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $125.09 $236.16 $381.21 73
5Y P/E Exit $159.11 $309.21 $488.90 69
10Y Revenue Exit $85.57 $153.81 $265.22 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $112.17 $210.25 $370.47 66
10Y P/E Exit $135.11 $265.05 $464.28 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $63.11 $334.49 $463.15 63
Lynch FV $92.12 $131.60 $171.08 61
PEG = 1.0 $92.12 $131.60 $171.08 57
EPV $86.17 $99.10 $110.42 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $194.90 $259.86 $324.83 63
P/S Multiple $118.33 $157.77 $197.22 58
P/B Multiple $118.33 $157.77 $197.22 55
EV/EBIT $171.55 $225.88 $280.21 66
EV/EBITDA $150.93 $198.39 $245.85 67
EV/Revenue $90.95 $126.27 $161.59 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $27.66 $37.06 $55.31 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $85.70 $150.49 $264.79 76
Rev-Margin DCF $90.04 $158.19 $250.16 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $61.22 $80.65 $256.90 64
ROIC Compounder $98.47 $133.84 $182.17 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $159.72 $228.18 $296.63 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 23
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+23.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+23.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.23% vs 19%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 10%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+31.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+24.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+28.6%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+28.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+25.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+22.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)+18.7%

FN screens 96% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 646 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −51% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 39% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 32.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 8.73× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 4.09× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 83.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 35.4× · Priciest 25%
PEG 1.19× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 41
PAST (return on equity)80 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $77.65 $85.42 +10%
Corning Incorporated GLW CHF 136.42 CHF 28.71 −79%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,710 TWD 519.57 TWD −70%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥52.13 ¥19.37 −63%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,381,000 KRW 172,954 KRW −87%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥192.00 ¥21.19 −89%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $202.20 $138.66 −31%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥146.03 ¥66.42 −55%
Flex Ltd FLEX $107.90 $48.10 −55%
Celestica Inc CLS $316.81 $113.54 −64%

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Fabrinet · Fair Value
$198.13 −96%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fabrinet Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FN

Frequently asked questions

Is Fabrinet (FN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $198.13 versus a price of $388.55, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FN?
Our model-based fair value for Fabrinet is $198.13 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $388.55.
What is the quality score of FN?
Fabrinet has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Fabrinet (FN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $198.13 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $107.19, optimistic scenario $245.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Fabrinet stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $198.13, about −49% upside versus a price of $388.55 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $107.19, optimistic scenario $245.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Fabrinet (FN)?
Fabrinet reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into Fabrinet (FN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Fabrinet would have to grow free cash flow by +31.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.8 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FN use?
Our models discount Fabrinet at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.20, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Fabrinet that is +31.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Fabrinet (FN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Fabrinet grew +15.8 % a year. The price currently implies +31.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Fabrinet (FN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Fabrinet (+31.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Fabrinet (FN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.47 %: that much free cash flow Fabrinet produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Fabrinet (FN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Fabrinet it is $198.13 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $388.55. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Fabrinet stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, FN trades above its calculated fair value: price $388.55, fair value $198.13, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($388.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($198.13). For Fabrinet the two are $190.42 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Fabrinet worth?
The market values Fabrinet at about $17.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $388.55; our models calculate a fair value of $198.13 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FN?
Our models span a range for Fabrinet: cautious scenario $107.19, base $198.13, optimistic $245.59 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price $388.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FN?
Fabrinet trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.8 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $198.13 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.2, P/B 8.7, P/S 4.1, EV/EBITDA 35.4.
What is the PEG ratio of FN?
The PEG ratio of Fabrinet is 1.19 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Fabrinet (FN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Fabrinet (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 20.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FN from its 52-week high?
Fabrinet trades at $388.55, about 48% below its 52-week high of $748.89 and 68% above the low of $231.51 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $198.13 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Fabrinet?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Corning Incorporated, Delta Electronics, Inc, Luxshare Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Fabrinet stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $388.55, calculated fair value $198.13 (−49%), Quality Score 61/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FN calculated?
We run Fabrinet through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $198.13, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Fabrinet itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Fabrinet (FN)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $388.55. Our model-based fair value is $198.13, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Fabrinet right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($245.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($107.19 to $245.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Fabrinet (FN) come from?
Earnings per share at Fabrinet grew +17.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +15.4 %, EBIT margin +1.2 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Fabrinet

How large is the market capitalisation of Fabrinet (FN)?
The market capitalisation of Fabrinet is $17.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Fabrinet (FN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Fabrinet is 3.19 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Fabrinet (FN)?
Earnings per share at Fabrinet are $11.83 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Fabrinet (FN)?
The net margin of Fabrinet is 9.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Fabrinet (FN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Fabrinet is 20.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Fabrinet (FN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Fabrinet is 11.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Fabrinet (FN)?
The operating margin of Fabrinet is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Fabrinet (FN)?
Revenue at Fabrinet is growing +39.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Fabrinet (FN)?
Earnings per share at Fabrinet are growing +53.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Fabrinet (FN) hold?
Fabrinet holds more cash than debt, $297M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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