Firebird Metals Limited (FRB) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$29.6M
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +8.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 90% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0255). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (15/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (A$0.0085 to A$0.0255). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0700 – A$0.7000 · fair‑value band A$0.0085 – A$0.0255 · the A$0.1750 price screens above the A$0.0170 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Firebird Metals Limited (FRB) currently trades at A$0.1750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0170, implying the stock looks roughly 90.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 15/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$11.5K. Revenue declined 41.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -28.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$1.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0085 (bear case) to A$0.0255 (bull case); at A$0.1750, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 154% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -90%, FRB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (A$0.0400) versus Dividend Discount (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Notify me when FRB reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Firebird Metals Limited engages in the exploration, development, and evaluation of mineral resources in Australia and China. The company primarily explores for manganese deposits. Its flagship project is the 100% owned Oakover project located east of Newman in the East Pilbara Manganese province of Western Australia.
Full company description
Firebird Metals Limited engages in the exploration, development, and evaluation of mineral resources in Australia and China. The company primarily explores for manganese deposits. Its flagship project is the 100% owned Oakover project located east of Newman in the East Pilbara Manganese province of Western Australia. Firebird Metals Limited was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Peppermint Grove, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Firebird Metals Limited reported revenue of A$36.3K in FY2024 versus A$0 in FY2020. Reported net income was −A$2.3M in FY2024.
FRB screens 90% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 474 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.89 | $8.95 | -40% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
Compare Firebird Metals Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Firebird Metals Limited (FRB) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of FRB?
What is the quality score of FRB?
What is the revenue of Firebird Metals Limited (FRB)?
What is the net profit margin of FRB?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Firebird Metals Limited and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.