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Formula One Group (FWONA) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $22.1B

FO Formula One Group logo Formula One Group FWONA · US
Price$91.26
Fair Value$37.44
Upside-59.0%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: Medium Range $25.89 – $46.80 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price −0.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($46.80). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($25.89 to $46.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$99.33 $36.76 Fair Value $37.44 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $36.76 – $99.33 · fair‑value band $25.89 – $46.80 · the $91.26 price screens above the $37.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Formula One Group (FWONA) currently trades at $91.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $37.44, implying the stock looks roughly 59.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Formula One Group generated revenue of $4.0B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue grew 18.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.7%. Net debt stands at $4.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $25.89 (bear case) to $46.80 (bull case); at $91.26, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -59%, FWONA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $22.24 $50.68 $98.79 80
Residual Income $25.06 $26.44 $28.55 76
Rev-Margin DCF $11.09 $28.68 $51.40 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $22.51 $53.43 $107.13 38
Owner Earnings $26.49 $60.63 $119.90 31
5Y Revenue Exit $11.09 $28.87 $52.56 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $20.61 $48.47 $83.24 41
5Y P/E Exit $17.15 $41.33 $68.77 38
10Y Revenue Exit $13.88 $32.05 $59.11 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $20.93 $46.40 $84.76 37
10Y P/E Exit $18.64 $41.17 $72.66 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $14.98 $69.13 $94.92 54
Lynch FV $18.19 $25.99 $33.78 50
PEG = 1.0 $18.19 $25.99 $33.78 46
EPV $1.80 $4.75 $7.32 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $33.04 $44.05 $55.06 63
P/S Multiple $28.08 $37.44 $46.80 58
P/B Multiple $28.08 $37.44 $46.80 55
EV/EBIT $16.51 $27.30 $38.08 53
EV/EBITDA $22.73 $35.59 $48.45 54
EV/Revenue $5.97 $15.31 $24.66 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.39 $20.62 $30.78 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $22.24 $50.68 $98.79 80
Rev-Margin DCF $11.09 $28.68 $51.40 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $25.06 $26.44 $28.55 76
ROIC Compounder $1.80 $4.75 $7.32 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $28.34 $40.49 $52.64 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($41.33) versus Economic Profit ($4.75). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.3%
Net margin 5.6%
Return on equity 2.7%
Free cash flow $751M FY2025
P/E ratio 35.4
More key figures
Operating margin 16.0%
EPS (TTM) $2.29
EPS growth (YoY) -49.7%
Net debt $4.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 58
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Formula One Group, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the motorsports business in the United States, the United Kingdom, Spain, and internationally.

Full company description

Formula One Group, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the motorsports business in the United States, the United Kingdom, Spain, and internationally. The company holds commercial rights for the Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile (FIA) Formula One World Championship, an annual nine-month long motor race-based competition in which teams compete for the Constructors' championship and drivers compete for the Drivers' championship. It is also involved in filming, television production and post-production, and digital and social media activities; provision of freight, logistical, and travel related services, as well as technical support at Formula 1 events; production of the international television feed; and operation of the Formula 1 Paddock Club hospitality program, F2 and F3 race series, and F1 Academy. The company was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado. Formula One Group operates as a subsidiary of Liberty Media Corporation.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Formula One Group reported revenue of $4.5B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound +20.4%/yr. Reported net income was $555M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.5B
Latest YoY
+22.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+20.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+31.4%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y)
+5.4%
Revenue +20.4%/yr
FY21 $2.1B
FY22 $2.6B
FY23 $3.2B
FY24 $3.7B
FY25 $4.5B
Net income
FY21 −$190M
FY22 $558M
FY23 $185M
FY24 −$30.0M
FY25 $555M

FWONA screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Formula One Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FWONA

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Entertainment · 268 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −59% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 18% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.65× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 38.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.85× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.54× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 29.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 30.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 3.59× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 10
FUTURE 92 · sector 10
PAST 11 · sector 0
HEALTH 67 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.77 C$2.96 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $96.30 $89.55 -7%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $26.87 $9.13 -66%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $178.44 $46.89 -74%
Universal Music Group UMG €18.91 €14.78 -22%
TKO Group TKO $184.40 $22.16 -88%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 60.49 MXN +10%
Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 ¥11.77 ¥10.97 -7%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 456.00 IDR 221.09 IDR -52%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹235.99 ₹61.98 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Formula One Group (FWONA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $37.44 versus a price of $91.26, about −59% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FWONA?
Our model-based fair value for Formula One Group is $37.44 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $91.26.
What is the quality score of FWONA?
Formula One Group has a Quality Score of 59/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Formula One Group (FWONA)?
Formula One Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FWONA?
The net profit margin of Formula One Group is about 5.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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