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W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of W.W. Grainger, Inc. BRL 57.23, price BRL 163, upside -64.8%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · BR · Home US

WW Some data Sep 29, 2026

W.W. Grainger, Inc.

G1WW34 · SA

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value R$57.23 · Strongly overvalued (−64.8%)
✓Quality 70/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +5.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓5.6% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Ranks above peers (7/11)
✓Wide moat 73/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$180.48 R$51.62 Fair Value R$57.23 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$51.62 – R$180.48 · fair‑value band R$35.91 – R$84.08 · the R$162.57 price screens above the R$57.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

W.W. Grainger, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes maintenance, repair, and operating products and services primarily in North America, Japan, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through two segments, High-Touch Solutions North America and Endless Assortment.

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W.W. Grainger, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes maintenance, repair, and operating products and services primarily in North America, Japan, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through two segments, High-Touch Solutions North America and Endless Assortment. It provides safety, security, material handling and storage equipment, pumps and plumbing equipment, cleaning and maintenance, and metalworking and hand tools. The company also offers technical support and inventory management services. It serves smaller businesses to large corporations, government entities, and other institutions, as well as commercial, healthcare, and manufacturing industries through sales and service representatives, and electronic and ecommerce channels. W.W. Grainger, Inc. was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.

Stock analysis

W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34) currently trades at R$162.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$57.23, 64.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of R$84.39 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the R$162.57 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$6.92, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: R$35.91 (bear) to R$84.08 (bull), the price of R$162.57 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

W.W. Grainger, Inc. reported revenue of $17.9B in FY2025 versus $15.2B in FY2022, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was $1.7B in FY2025, compounding +3.3%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap R$337B (≈ $64.6B) · P/E ratio 33.7 · P/S ratio 3.21 · EPS (TTM) R$4.82 · Dividend yield 5.6% · Net margin 9.5% · Return on equity 46.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 29.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at −65%, G1WW34 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$35.91 Fair Value R$57.23 Bull R$84.08
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF R$37.11 R$57.40 R$87.02 76
Growth DCF R$38.17 R$56.69 R$82.41 75
Owner Earnings R$35.46 R$54.94 R$83.39 73
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$37.11 R$57.40 R$87.02 76
Owner Earnings R$35.46 R$54.94 R$83.39 73
5Y Revenue Exit R$47.99 R$80.16 R$120.52 69
5Y EBITDA Exit R$52.03 R$87.46 R$127.75 71
5Y P/E Exit R$52.13 R$87.65 R$123.76 67
10Y Revenue Exit R$41.73 R$69.87 R$106.13 63
10Y EBITDA Exit R$46.11 R$74.86 R$111.49 65
10Y P/E Exit R$46.17 R$74.99 R$108.53 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$32.08 R$83.86 R$109.41 62
PEG = 1.0 R$15.98 R$22.83 R$29.68 55
EPV R$47.00 R$55.65 R$63.22 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$11.86 R$23.92 R$39.11 63
DDM Multi-Stage R$11.86 R$18.25 R$25.11 63
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$74.30 R$99.07 R$123.84 63
P/S Multiple R$60.15 R$80.20 R$100.25 58
P/B Multiple R$34.87 R$46.49 R$58.11 55
EV/EBIT R$83.05 R$112.38 R$141.70 66
EV/EBITDA R$69.20 R$93.91 R$118.61 67
EV/Revenue R$57.60 R$84.39 R$111.18 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$5.17 R$6.92 R$10.33 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$38.17 R$56.69 R$82.41 75
Rev-Margin DCF R$47.99 R$80.19 R$115.42 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$25.18 R$30.63 R$52.71 70
ROIC Compounder R$49.28 R$61.17 R$73.63 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$58.04 R$82.91 R$107.78 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 89
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+7.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.6%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 14%

G1WW34 screens overvalued: fair value 65% below the price. Compare with Fastenal Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Distribution · 105 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −51.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 46.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets 19.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 10.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.63× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 33.7× · Priciest 25%
PEG 2.16× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)51 · sector 27
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 36
HEALTH (low debt)68 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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W.W. Grainger, Inc. · Fair Value
R$57.23 −65%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "W.W. Grainger, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/G1WW34

Frequently asked questions

Is W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$57.23 versus a price of R$162.57, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of G1WW34?
Our model-based fair value for W.W. Grainger, Inc. is R$57.23 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$162.57.
What is the quality score of G1WW34?
W.W. Grainger, Inc. has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$57.23 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$35.91, optimistic scenario R$84.08. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the W.W. Grainger, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$57.23, about −65% upside versus a price of R$162.57 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$35.91, optimistic scenario R$84.08. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34)?
W.W. Grainger, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $18.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does W.W. Grainger, Inc. pay a dividend?
W.W. Grainger, Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.56% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For W.W. Grainger, Inc. it is R$57.23 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of R$162.57. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is W.W. Grainger, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, G1WW34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$162.57, fair value R$57.23, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of G1WW34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$162.57); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$57.23). For W.W. Grainger, Inc. the two are R$105.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is W.W. Grainger, Inc. worth?
The market values W.W. Grainger, Inc. at about R$337B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is R$162.57; our models calculate a fair value of R$57.23 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about G1WW34?
Our models span a range for W.W. Grainger, Inc.: cautious scenario R$35.91, base R$57.23, optimistic R$84.08 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price R$162.57). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of G1WW34?
W.W. Grainger, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.7 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$57.23 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.2.
What is the PEG ratio of G1WW34?
The PEG ratio of W.W. Grainger, Inc. is 2.16 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34)?
Balance-sheet figures for W.W. Grainger, Inc. (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 46.1%, debt of 0.63 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is G1WW34 from its 52-week high?
W.W. Grainger, Inc. trades at R$162.57, about 9% below its 52-week high of R$178.52 and 33% above the low of R$121.79 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$57.23 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to W.W. Grainger, Inc.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, Toromont Industries Ltd, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is W.W. Grainger, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price R$162.57, calculated fair value R$57.23 (−65%), Quality Score 70/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of G1WW34 calculated?
We run W.W. Grainger, Inc. through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$57.23, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. W.W. Grainger, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was R$162.57. Our model-based fair value is R$57.23, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with W.W. Grainger, Inc. right now?
A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$84.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in. A fairly wide model range (R$35.91 to R$84.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of W.W. Grainger, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34)?
The market capitalisation of W.W. Grainger, Inc. is R$337B (≈ $64.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of W.W. Grainger, Inc. is 3.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34)?
Earnings per share at W.W. Grainger, Inc. are R$4.82 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34)?
The dividend yield of W.W. Grainger, Inc. is 5.6% (payout 188%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34)?
The net margin of W.W. Grainger, Inc. is 9.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of W.W. Grainger, Inc. is 46.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of W.W. Grainger, Inc. is 29.6% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34)?
The operating margin of W.W. Grainger, Inc. is 16.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34)?
Revenue at W.W. Grainger, Inc. is growing +10.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34)?
Earnings per share at W.W. Grainger, Inc. are growing +18.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34) generate?
The free cash flow of W.W. Grainger, Inc. is $1.3B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does W.W. Grainger, Inc. (G1WW34) carry?
The net debt of W.W. Grainger, Inc. is $1.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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