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Ganesha Ecosphere Limited (GANECOS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹24.6B

GE Ganesha Ecosphere Limited GANECOS · NSE
Price₹1,061
Fair Value₹313.11
Upside-70.5%
Quality30/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 2.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.38% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: High Range ₹235.60 – ₹380.22 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −10.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 70% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹380.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹2,393 ₹458.50 Fair Value ₹313.11 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹458.50 – ₹2,393 · fair‑value band ₹235.60 – ₹380.22 · the ₹1,061 price screens above the ₹313.11 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Ganesha Ecosphere Limited (GANECOS) currently trades at ₹1,061, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹313.11, implying the stock looks roughly 70.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ganesha Ecosphere Limited generated revenue of ₹14.8B at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue grew 23.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.2%. Net debt stands at ₹3.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹235.60 (bear case) to ₹380.22 (bull case); at ₹1,061, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -70%, GANECOS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (₹48.31 to ₹554.09). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹344.45 ₹332.76 ₹279.68 76
ROIC Compounder ₹136.33 ₹172.61 ₹204.35 72
Gordon GGM ₹27.55 ₹57.29 ₹90.88 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹97.09 ₹482.78 ₹666.02 54
Lynch FV ₹130.34 ₹186.19 ₹242.05 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹130.34 ₹186.19 ₹242.05 46
EPV ₹136.33 ₹172.61 ₹204.35 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹27.55 ₹57.29 ₹90.88 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹27.55 ₹48.31 ₹60.12 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹235.60 ₹314.13 ₹392.66 63
P/S Multiple ₹182.05 ₹242.74 ₹303.42 58
P/B Multiple ₹182.05 ₹242.74 ₹303.42 55
EV/EBIT ₹306.58 ₹435.88 ₹565.18 53
EV/EBITDA ₹395.24 ₹554.09 ₹712.94 54
EV/Revenue ₹180.16 ₹292.22 ₹404.28 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹238.33 ₹319.36 ₹476.66 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹344.45 ₹332.76 ₹279.68 76
ROIC Compounder ₹136.33 ₹172.61 ₹204.35 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹204.74 ₹292.48 ₹380.22 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (₹319.36) versus Dividend Discount (₹48.31). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹14.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.1%
Net margin 2.6%
Return on equity 3.2%
Free cash flow −₹332M FY2026
P/E ratio 73.1
More key figures
Operating margin 8.3%
EPS (TTM) ₹14.50
Dividend yield 0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -7.5%
Net debt ₹3.7B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 24
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 26
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ganesha Ecosphere Limited primarily manufactures and sells recycled polyester staple fiber in India. The company offers recycled PET (rPET) fibre comprising solid, hollow, conjugated, flame retardant, short-cut, micro, and trilobal fibers. It also provides yarns; rPET flakes; and rPET chips for bottle grade and textile/sheet grade.

Full company description

Ganesha Ecosphere Limited primarily manufactures and sells recycled polyester staple fiber in India. The company offers recycled PET (rPET) fibre comprising solid, hollow, conjugated, flame retardant, short-cut, micro, and trilobal fibers. It also provides yarns; rPET flakes; and rPET chips for bottle grade and textile/sheet grade. In addition, the company offers fiber filling, non-wovens, spun yarn and dyed texturized yarn. Its products are used in manufacturing of t-shirts, body warmers, non-woven air filter fabrics, geo textiles, carpets, car upholstery products, pillows, duvets, toys, etc.; and various applications, including curtains, furniture covering, table clothes/place mats, public contracts, liners, protective clothing, workwear, covering, filters, and netting. The company serves geo-textiles, medical and packaging, textiles, FMCG, automobile, spinning mills, and beverage industries. It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Ganesh Polytex Ltd. and changed its name to Ganesha Ecosphere Limited in September 2011. Ganesha Ecosphere Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Kanpur, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Ganesha Ecosphere Limited reported revenue of ₹14.8B in FY2026 versus ₹10.2B in FY2022, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹382M in FY2026, compounding −11.4%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹14.8B
Latest YoY
+1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.7%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.2%
Revenue +9.9%/yr
FY22 ₹10.2B
FY23 ₹11.8B
FY24 ₹11.2B
FY25 ₹14.7B
FY26 ₹14.8B
Net income −11.4%/yr
FY22 ₹620M
FY23 ₹695M
FY24 ₹406M
FY25 ₹1.0B
FY26 ₹382M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +6.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.5 pp

of which total revenue +8.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.0 pp

EBIT margin +9.9 pp
Tax rate +0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −8.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

GANECOS screens 70% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ganesha Ecosphere Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GANECOS

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 320 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 23% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.27× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 73.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.93× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.66× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 18.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 8
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 13 · sector 15
HEALTH 87 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 8 · sector 35

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$42.10 HK$68.24 +62%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥22.67 ¥14.53 -36%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.79 ¥14.35 +12%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 25.64 TWD -7%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,089 ₹467.49 -57%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥71.55 ¥11.85 -83%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹591.90 ₹437.53 -26%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 324.31 TRY +86%
Ruentex Industries Ltd 2915 54.10 TWD 133.24 TWD +146%
Welspun Living Limited WELSPUNLIV ₹165.23 ₹47.77 -71%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ganesha Ecosphere Limited (GANECOS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹313.11 versus a price of ₹1,061, about −70% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GANECOS?
Our model-based fair value for Ganesha Ecosphere Limited is ₹313.11 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹1,061.
What is the quality score of GANECOS?
Ganesha Ecosphere Limited has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ganesha Ecosphere Limited (GANECOS)?
Ganesha Ecosphere Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹14.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GANECOS?
The net profit margin of Ganesha Ecosphere Limited is about 2.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ganesha Ecosphere Limited pay a dividend?
Ganesha Ecosphere Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.38% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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