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Selectis Health, Inc (GBCS) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $10.0M

SH Selectis Health, Inc logo Selectis Health, Inc GBCS · US
Price$5.40
Fair Value$4.14
Upside-23.3%
Quality51/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.1% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.8500 – $9.13 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −0.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 23% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($0.8500 to $9.13). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$11.00 $1.00 Fair Value $4.14 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.00 – $11.00 · fair‑value band $0.8500 – $9.13 · the $5.40 price screens above the $4.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Selectis Health, Inc (GBCS) currently trades at $5.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.14, implying the stock looks roughly 23.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Selectis Health, Inc generated revenue of $38.2M at a net margin of 16.1%. Revenue declined 30.5% year over year. Net debt stands at $24.4M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 1.8. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.8500 (bear case) to $9.13 (bull case); at $5.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 260% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -23%, GBCS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.2600 $2.52 $5.56 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.2000 $3.09 $6.85 74
EV/Revenue $0.2300 $2.06 $3.88 43
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.3500 $2.99 $6.80 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.2000 $3.15 $7.12 39
10Y Revenue Exit $0.0800 $2.64 $6.49 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue $0.2300 $2.06 $3.88 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.2600 $2.52 $5.56 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.2000 $3.09 $6.85 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($2.99) versus Multiples ($2.06). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $38.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) -30.5%
Net margin 16.1%
Return on equity -1,873%
Free cash flow $1.4M FY2025
P/E ratio 1.8
More key figures
Operating margin -17.3%
EPS (TTM) $1.78
EPS growth (YoY) +1,779%
Net debt $24.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 76
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Selectis Health, Inc. owns and operates, through wholly-owned subsidiaries Assisted Living Facilities, Independent Living Facilities, and Skilled Nursing Facilities across the South and Southeastern portions of the US.

Full company description

Selectis Health, Inc. owns and operates, through wholly-owned subsidiaries Assisted Living Facilities, Independent Living Facilities, and Skilled Nursing Facilities across the South and Southeastern portions of the US. The Company acquires, develops, leases and manages healthcare real estate and provides healthcare operations through our wholly-owned subsidiaries. Our portfolio is comprised of investments in the following healthcare operations: (i) senior housing (including independent and assisted living) and (ii) post-acute/skilled nursing. We will make investments within our healthcare operations using the following six investment products: (i) direct ownership of properties, (ii) debt investments, (iii) developments and redevelopments, (iv) investment management, (v) the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 (RIDEA), which represents investments in senior housing operations utilizing the structure permitted by RIDEA and (vi) owning healthcare operations. Selectis Health, Inc. was established and incorporated on June 08, 1978 in Utah, USA.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Selectis Health, Inc reported revenue of $41.4M in FY2025 versus $27.8M in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$41.4M
Latest YoY
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.6%
Avg. growth/yr (39Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.9%
Revenue +10.5%/yr
FY21 $27.8M
FY22 $40.6M
FY23 $36.8M
FY24 $39.5M
FY25 $41.4M
Net income
FY21 −$2.3M
FY22 −$2.4M
FY23 −$4.0M
FY24 −$2.4M
FY25 −$1.0M

GBCS screens 23% overvalued. Compare with HCA Healthcare, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Selectis Health, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GBCS

Peer Group

Medical Care Facilities · 261 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −23% · Below median
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -17% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -31% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 1.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 6.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.11× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 2 · sector 23
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 0 · sector 30
HEALTH 100 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA $378.85 $554.93 +46%
Fresenius SE FRE €41.73 €32.15 -23%
Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 235.00 SAR 112.37 SAR -52%
IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F 2.58 SGD 1.44 SGD -44%
Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC $194.91 $338.05 +73%
Rede D'Or São Luiz S.A RDOR3 R$36.01 R$47.31 +31%
DaVita Inc DVA $231.61 $255.97 +11%
Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP ₹8,955 ₹2,955 -67%
Fresenius Medical Care AG FMS $24.68 $45.60 +85%
Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 ¥8.68 ¥7.67 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Selectis Health, Inc (GBCS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.14 versus a price of $5.40, about −23% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GBCS?
Our model-based fair value for Selectis Health, Inc is $4.14 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.40.
What is the quality score of GBCS?
Selectis Health, Inc has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Selectis Health, Inc (GBCS)?
Selectis Health, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $38.2M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GBCS?
The net profit margin of Selectis Health, Inc is about 16.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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