Global Indemnity Group (GBLI) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $370M

Below-average quality, and screening another 20% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
• For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $17.75 – $34.47 · fair‑value band $16.71 – $27.86 · the $27.97 price screens above the $22.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Global Indemnity Group (GBLI) currently trades at $27.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.28, implying the stock looks roughly 20.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Global Indemnity Group generated revenue of $451M at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue grew 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $57.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $16.71 (bear case) to $27.86 (bull case); at $27.97, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at -20%, GBLI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($34.03) versus Dividend Discount ($13.22). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Global Indemnity Group, LLC, through its subsidiaries, provides specialty property and casualty insurance, and reinsurance products in the United States. It operates through three segments: Agency and Insurance Services; Belmont Core; and Belmont Non-Core.

Full company description

Global Indemnity Group, LLC, through its subsidiaries, provides specialty property and casualty insurance, and reinsurance products in the United States. It operates through three segments: Agency and Insurance Services; Belmont Core; and Belmont Non-Core. The company engages in sourcing, underwriting, and servicing primary and assumed reinsurance business; and providing technology, AI-enabled marketplace, and claims services. It also distributes property and general liability products for small commercial businesses and for owners of properties under construction, under renovation, vacant, or rented through a select network of wholesale general agents with specific binding authority. In addition, the company offers property and general liability niche products; property coverage for owners of collectible items; and individual treaties with small-to-medium sized financially sound insurers in niche product lines, contracted through reinsurance brokers/intermediaries. Global Indemnity Group, LLC was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Bala Cynwyd, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Global Indemnity Group reported revenue of $450M in FY2025 versus $678M in FY2021, a compound −9.7%/yr. Reported net income was $25.3M in FY2025, compounding −3.6%/yr from FY2021.

GBLI screens 20% overvalued. Compare with The Progressive Corporation →

Peer Group

Insurance - Property & Casualty · 120 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Property & Casualty median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.