Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A. (GCHEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A. $8.23, price $4.86, upside +69.3%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.
GCHEF · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.9931 – $8.48 · fair‑value band $6.17 – $10.28 · the $4.86 price screens below the $8.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Company profile
Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V. operates self"service and real estate stores in Mexico and the United States.
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Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V. operates self"service and real estate stores in Mexico and the United States. The company operates supermarkets for fruits, vegetables, meats, fish, seafood, pantry, sausage shop, diapers, dairy and eggs, bakery and tortilla shop, refrigerated and frozen, beverages, home cleaning, disposables, dairy and eggs, and cheese products; personal care and hygiene, including hair care, body care, oral hygiene, facial care, intimate hygiene, and hair dyes for women and men; pharmacy comprising drugs, incontinence, medical equipment and kit, vitamins and supplements, sexual health; beauty, which includes cosmetics, manicure and pedicure, fragrances, and shaving and waxing; pet products for dogs, cats, and other pets; baby products, including clothes, baby hygiene and care, infant formulas and foods, breastfeeding and feeding, diapers, and baby walk; and technological products comprising television, audio, computation, smart home, telephony, geek world. It also offers appliances, including refrigeration, stoves and grills, washing and drying, ironing, heating, vacuum cleaners and accessories, air conditioners, and water dispensers and purifiers; home and garden, automobiles and motorcycles; stationery and office, comprising arts and crafts, notebooks, writing, backpacks, and lunch boxes; toys which includes baby toys, dolls, teddies, action figures and collectibles, vehicles and tracks, blocks and construction, board games and puzzles, crafts and educational games, outdoor games, and imitations; sports, such as camping, swimming, cycling, team sports, racket sports, boxing, and luggage; home and garden, including bath, kitchen, home organization, bedroom, home decor, party items, seasons, patio and garden, and home maintenance; fashion comprising women's, girls, children's and men's clothing, and shoemaking; and automobiles and motorcycles related products. The company was founded in 1920 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.
Stock analysis
Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A. (GCHEF) currently trades at $4.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.23, implying the stock looks roughly 40.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $14.36 per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the $4.86 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $1.86, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $6.17 (bear) to $10.28 (bull), the price of $4.86 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A. reported revenue of 295B MXN in FY2025 versus 188B MXN in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was 6.5B MXN in FY2025, compounding +17.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $4.7B · P/E ratio 12.2 · P/S ratio 0.27 · EPS (TTM) $0.4000 · Net margin 2.2% · Return on equity 12.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.0% · Operating margin 5.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 69%, GCHEF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Earlier news
- Grupo Comercial Chedraui (BMV:CHDRAUI B) Stock Gets Fair Value Trim After Analyst Caution
- Grupo Comercial Chedraui SAB de CV (GCHEF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating ...
- GRUPO COMERCIAL CHEDRAUI, S.A.B. DE C.V. SECOND QUARTER 2026 RESULTS
- How The Story Is Shifting For Grupo Comercial Chedraui (BMV:CHDRAUI B) After Valuation Reset
Compare Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Grocery Stores · 72 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$62.71 | C$44.76 | −29% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $60.79 | $30.42 | −50% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$38.35 | A$19.56 | −49% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €31.50 | €53.98 | +71% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$101.21 | C$155.86 | +54% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$89.95 | C$96.77 | +8% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €15.33 | €20.64 | +35% |
| CP ALL Public Company CPALL | 43.00 THB | 58.21 THB | +35% |
| Kesko Oyj KESKOB | €22.94 | €12.99 | −43% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 424.75 TRY | 247.71 TRY | −42% |
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Key figures of Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.
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