GDI Property Group (GDI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of GDI Property Group A$0.42, price A$0.64, upside -34.4%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.4040 – A$0.8197 · fair‑value band A$0.0840 – A$0.8200 · the A$0.6400 price screens above the A$0.4200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. is engaged in the business of acquiring, financing, and owning real estate property to be leased to gaming operators in triple-net lease arrangements, pursuant to which the tenant is responsible for all facility maintenance, insurance required in connection with the leased properties and the business conducted on the leased properties, taxes levied on or with respect to the leased properties and all utilities and other services necessary or appropriate for the leased properties and the business conducted on the leased properties. Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. was established on february 13 2013 and incorporated in Pennsylvania.
Stock analysis
GDI Property Group (GDI) currently trades at A$0.6400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.4200, implying the stock looks roughly 52.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$0.8300 per share, and 6 of the 13 models we run sit above the A$0.6400 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at A$0.2000, and 7 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.0840 (bear) to A$0.8200 (bull), the price of A$0.6400 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
GDI Property Group reported revenue of A$86.9M in FY2025 versus A$54.6M in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was A$3.1M in FY2025, compounding −33.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap A$347M (≈ $244M) · P/E ratio 9.1 · P/S ratio 0.32 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0700 · Dividend yield 7.8% · Net margin 3.5% · Return on equity 5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −34%, GDI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0840Fair Value A$0.4200Bull A$0.8200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0200 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+25.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.8% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−32.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−40.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−41% vs 24%, slowing
Profit margin 2016 to 2023 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.56% → 53%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 546 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−34% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)58% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)7.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity15.63× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)9.1× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF137.1× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)18· sector 12
PAST (return on equity)21· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 65
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GDI Property Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GDI
Frequently asked questions
Is GDI Property Group (GDI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.4200 versus a price of A$0.6400, about −34% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GDI?
Our model-based fair value for GDI Property Group is A$0.4200 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.6400.
What is the quality score of GDI?
GDI Property Group has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GDI Property Group (GDI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.4200 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0840, optimistic scenario A$0.8200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GDI Property Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.4200, about −34% upside versus a price of A$0.6400 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0840, optimistic scenario A$0.8200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
GDI Property Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$88.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does GDI Property Group pay a dividend?
GDI Property Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.81% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into GDI Property Group (GDI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GDI Property Group would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GDI use?
Our models discount GDI Property Group at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.79, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GDI Property Group that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has GDI Property Group (GDI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at GDI Property Group grew +4.5 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of GDI Property Group (GDI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GDI Property Group (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.51 %: that much free cash flow GDI Property Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GDI Property Group it is A$0.4200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.6400. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GDI Property Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GDI trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.6400, fair value A$0.4200, a gap of about −34% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GDI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.6400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.4200). For GDI Property Group the two are A$0.2200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GDI Property Group worth?
The market values GDI Property Group at about A$347M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.6400; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.4200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GDI?
Our models span a range for GDI Property Group: cautious scenario A$0.0840, base A$0.4200, optimistic A$0.8200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price A$0.6400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GDI?
GDI Property Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.4200 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
Balance-sheet figures for GDI Property Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.3%, debt of 15.63 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GDI from its 52-week high?
GDI Property Group trades at A$0.6400, about 4% below its 52-week high of A$0.6650 and 15% above the low of A$0.5570 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.4200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GDI Property Group?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GDI Property Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price A$0.6400, calculated fair value A$0.4200 (−34%), Quality Score 51/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GDI calculated?
We run GDI Property Group through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.4200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. GDI Property Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was A$0.6400. Our model-based fair value is A$0.4200, about −34% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GDI Property Group right now?
The model range is unusually wide (A$0.0840 to A$0.8200). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of GDI Property Group
How large is the market capitalisation of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
The market capitalisation of GDI Property Group is A$347M (≈ $244M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GDI Property Group is 0.32 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
Earnings per share at GDI Property Group are A$0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
The dividend yield of GDI Property Group is 7.8% (payout 71.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
The net margin of GDI Property Group is 3.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GDI Property Group is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GDI Property Group is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
The operating margin of GDI Property Group is 58.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GDI Property Group (GDI)?
Revenue at GDI Property Group is growing +3.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GDI Property Group (GDI)?
Earnings per share at GDI Property Group are growing −56.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does GDI Property Group (GDI) carry?
The net debt of GDI Property Group is A$382M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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