GDI Property Group (GDI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of GDI Property Group stock A$0.79, price A$0.64, upside +23.4%, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.4040 – A$0.8197 · fair‑value band A$0.6900 – A$0.9300 · the A$0.6400 price screens below the A$0.7900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. is engaged in the business of acquiring, financing, and owning real estate property to be leased to gaming operators in triple-net lease arrangements, pursuant to which the tenant is responsible for all facility maintenance, insurance required in connection with the leased properties and the business conducted on the leased properties, taxes levied on or with respect to the leased properties and all utilities and other services necessary or appropriate for the leased properties and the business conducted on the leased properties.
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Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. was established on february 13 2013 and incorporated in Pennsylvania.
Stock analysis
GDI Property Group (GDI) currently trades at A$0.6400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.7900, implying the stock looks roughly 19% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of A$1.17 per share, and 10 of the 16 models we run sit above the A$0.6400 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at A$0.2600, and 6 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.6900 (bear) to A$0.9300 (bull), the price of A$0.6400 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
GDI Property Group reported revenue of A$76.5M in FY2026 versus A$44.2M in FY2022, a compound +14.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$34.6M in FY2026, compounding −7.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$349M (≈ $241M) Micro · P/E ratio 10.7 · P/S ratio 4.82 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0600 · Dividend yield 7.8% · Net margin 45.2% · Return on equity 4.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 23%, GDI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.6900Fair Value A$0.7900BullA$0.9300
Price A$0.6400 · Upside +23.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0036 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.5% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +17.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: −6.5% / 57.6%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.47% → 53%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2026 sits 1,023% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+36.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +32.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 472 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Below median
Fair Value upside+23.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)4.8% · Below median
Return on assets3.2% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)1.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)57.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−7.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)7.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.51× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GDI Property Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GDI
Frequently asked questions
Is GDI Property Group (GDI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.7900 versus a price of A$0.6400, about +23% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GDI?
Our model-based fair value for GDI Property Group is A$0.7900 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.6400.
What is the quality score of GDI?
GDI Property Group has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GDI Property Group (GDI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.7900 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.6900, optimistic scenario A$0.9300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GDI Property Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.7900, about +23% upside versus a price of A$0.6400 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.6900, optimistic scenario A$0.9300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
GDI Property Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$84.9M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does GDI Property Group pay a dividend?
GDI Property Group currently shows a dividend yield of 7.81% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of GDI Property Group (GDI) and when is the ex-dividend date?
GDI Property Group pays a dividend of A$0.05 per share a year, a dividend yield of 7.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 29, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2014. The payout ratio is 83.3% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.43 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into GDI Property Group (GDI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GDI Property Group would have to grow free cash flow by +36.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.0 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GDI use?
Our models discount GDI Property Group at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.79, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GDI Property Group that is +36.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has GDI Property Group (GDI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at GDI Property Group grew +7.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +36.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of GDI Property Group (GDI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GDI Property Group (+36.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.31 %: that much free cash flow GDI Property Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GDI Property Group it is A$0.7900 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of A$0.6400. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is GDI Property Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, GDI trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.6400, fair value A$0.7900, a gap of about +23% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GDI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.6400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.7900). For GDI Property Group the two are A$0.1500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GDI Property Group worth?
The market values GDI Property Group at about A$349M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is A$0.6400; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.7900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GDI?
Our models span a range for GDI Property Group: cautious scenario A$0.6900, base A$0.7900, optimistic A$0.9300 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price A$0.6400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GDI?
GDI Property Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.7 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.7900 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2018 to 2026), reported earnings: 29.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
Balance-sheet figures for GDI Property Group (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 4.8%, debt of 0.51 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GDI from its 52-week high?
GDI Property Group trades at A$0.6400, about 4% below its 52-week high of A$0.6650 and 15% above the low of A$0.5570 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.7900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GDI Property Group?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GDI Property Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price A$0.6400, calculated fair value A$0.7900 (+23%), Quality Score 55/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GDI calculated?
We run GDI Property Group through 16 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.7900 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. GDI Property Group currently trades 19% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.6400. Our model-based fair value is A$0.7900, about +23% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GDI Property Group right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.6900). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of GDI Property Group
How large is the market capitalisation of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
The market capitalisation of GDI Property Group is A$349M (≈ $241M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GDI Property Group is 4.82 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
Earnings per share at GDI Property Group are A$0.0600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
The dividend yield of GDI Property Group is 7.8% (payout 83.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
The net margin of GDI Property Group is 45.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GDI Property Group is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GDI Property Group is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GDI Property Group (GDI)?
The operating margin of GDI Property Group is 57.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GDI Property Group (GDI)?
Revenue at GDI Property Group is growing −7.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GDI Property Group (GDI)?
Earnings per share at GDI Property Group are growing −48.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does GDI Property Group (GDI) carry?
The net debt of GDI Property Group is A$344M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 29.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 8, 2026