Global Education Communities Corp (GECSF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $15.1M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $3.76 to $0.2194 (−94.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $0.1879 – $0.3400 · fair‑value band $0.1538 – $0.2810 · the $0.2000 price screens below the $0.2194 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.
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Global Education Communities Corp (GECSF) currently trades at $0.2000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2194, implying the stock looks roughly 9.7% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Global Education Communities Corp generated revenue of $29.8M at a net margin of 84.2%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.4%. Net debt stands at $180M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.1538 (bear case) to $0.2810 (bull case); at $0.2000, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 10%, GECSF screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Global Education Communities Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an education and student housing investment company in Canada and internationally. It engages in education and real estate development businesses. The company offers English as a second language accredited programs, such as general English, college preparation/pathway, business English, medical English, English language test preparation, vacation English, and online English, as well as career training college accredited programs in the fields of business management, customer service, TESOL teacher training, interpreting and translation for Koreans, and online English teacher training. It also recruits international students and provides on-ground concierge services for kindergarten, primary, and secondary schools, as well as universities in North America. In addition, the company offers web design and advertising services to the real estate industry. Further, it invests in, develops, and manages …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Global Education Communities Corp reported revenue of $29.0M in FY2025 versus $60.9M in FY2021, a compound −16.9%/yr. Reported net income was $22.1M in FY2025, compounding +47.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 894.16 MXN | -7% |
| TAL Education Group T1AL34 | R$4.86 | R$0.9200 | -81% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $33.82 | $33.05 | -2% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $119.28 | $137.46 | +15% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $142.06 | $152.01 | +7% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹130.16 | ₹14.81 | -89% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $97.91 | $139.18 | +42% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $40.02 | $21.26 | -47% |
| McGraw Hill, Inc MH | $12.80 | $27.91 | +118% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $34.27 | $61.71 | +80% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.