Gibson Energy Inc (GEI) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CA · Market cap C$5.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +3.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 67% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$18.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$15.48 – C$32.48 · fair‑value band C$10.33 – C$18.28 · the C$31.12 price screens above the C$10.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Gibson Energy Inc (GEI) currently trades at C$31.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$10.33, implying the stock looks roughly 66.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Gibson Energy Inc generated revenue of C$10.7B at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.1%. Net debt stands at C$2.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$10.33 (bear case) to C$18.28 (bull case); at C$31.12, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -67%, GEI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (C$23.95) versus Economic Profit (C$2.64). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gibson Energy Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the gathering, storing, optimizing, and processing of liquids and refined products in Canada and the United States. It operates through Infrastructure and Marketing segments.
Full company description
Gibson Energy Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the gathering, storing, optimizing, and processing of liquids and refined products in Canada and the United States. It operates through Infrastructure and Marketing segments. The company operates a network of infrastructure assets that include terminals, rail loading and unloading facilities, gathering pipelines, diluent recovery unit, and crude oil processing facility. It also purchases, sells, stores, and optimizes hydrocarbon products, including crude oil, natural gas liquids, road asphalt, roofing flux, frac oils, light and heavy straight run distillate. The company was formerly known as Gibson Energy Holdings ULC and changed its name to Gibson Energy Inc. in April 2011. Gibson Energy Inc. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gibson Energy Inc reported revenue of C$10.7B in FY2025 versus C$7.2B in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$198M in FY2025, compounding +8.0%/yr from FY2021.
GEI screens 67% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Gibson Energy (GEI) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- Gibson Energy Inc (GBNXF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record EBITDA and Strategic ...
- Gibson Energy Declares Dividend
- Gibson Energy Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results, Highlighted by Record Infrastructure Adjusted EBITDA and Strategic Growth Execution
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Midstream · 87 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enbridge Inc ENB | $56.46 | $47.20 | -16% |
| The Williams Companies, Inc WMB | $73.38 | $12.03 | -84% |
| Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD | $38.31 | $24.74 | -35% |
| TC Energy Corporation TRP | C$97.79 | C$42.00 | -57% |
| Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI | $32.54 | $11.12 | -66% |
| Energy Transfer LP, ET | $19.91 | $17.69 | -11% |
| ONEOK, Inc OKE | $93.52 | $64.05 | -32% |
| Targa Resources Corp TRGP | $273.35 | $79.61 | -71% |
| MPLX LP owns and MPLX | $57.17 | $37.05 | -35% |
| Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG | $255.83 | $211.18 | -17% |
Compare Gibson Energy Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Energy stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Gibson Energy Inc (GEI) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of GEI?
What is the quality score of GEI?
What is the revenue of Gibson Energy Inc (GEI)?
What is the net profit margin of GEI?
Does Gibson Energy Inc pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Gibson Energy Inc and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.