Genesis Resources Ltd (GES) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Genesis Resources Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Jun 24, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
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Genesis Resources Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral properties in Australia and Macedonia. The company explores for copper, iron, gold, manganese, silver, and other base metals. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Kew, Australia.
Stock analysis
Genesis Resources Ltd (GES) currently trades at A$0.0130, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0100, implying the stock looks roughly 30.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Genesis Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$36.4K in FY2025 versus A$102K in FY2021, a compound −22.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.3M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$10.2M (≈ $7.2M) · Return on equity −105% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.5% · Operating margin −16,524,450% · Free cash flow −A$1.3M · Net debt A$14.3M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 160% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −23%, GES screens richer than that median.
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Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.29/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+74.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+99.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+50.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−103,856.4% (2020) → −6,256.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 456 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/4 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−23% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−3% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Is Genesis Resources Ltd (GES) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0100 versus a price of A$0.0130, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GES?
Our model-based fair value for Genesis Resources Ltd is A$0.0100 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0130.
What is the quality score of GES?
Genesis Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Genesis Resources Ltd (GES)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0100 (as of Jun 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Genesis Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0100, about −23% upside versus a price of A$0.0130 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Genesis Resources Ltd (GES)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Genesis Resources Ltd it is A$0.0100 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.0130. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Genesis Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 24, 2026, GES trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0130, fair value A$0.0100, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GES?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0130); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0100). For Genesis Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0030 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Genesis Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Genesis Resources Ltd at about A$10.2M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0130; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0100 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Genesis Resources Ltd (GES)?
Balance-sheet figures for Genesis Resources Ltd (as of Jun 24, 2026): return on equity −104.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GES from its 52-week high?
Genesis Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0130, about 19% below its 52-week high of A$0.0160 and 160% above the low of A$0.0050 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Genesis Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Genesis Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 24, 2026: price A$0.0130, calculated fair value A$0.0100 (−23%), Quality Score 27/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GES calculated?
We run Genesis Resources Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Genesis Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Genesis Resources Ltd (GES)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was A$0.0130. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0100, about −23% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Genesis Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0100). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Genesis Resources Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Genesis Resources Ltd (GES)?
The market capitalisation of Genesis Resources Ltd is A$10.2M (≈ $7.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Genesis Resources Ltd (GES)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Genesis Resources Ltd is −105% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Genesis Resources Ltd (GES)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Genesis Resources Ltd is −6.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Genesis Resources Ltd (GES)?
The operating margin of Genesis Resources Ltd is −16,524,450% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does Genesis Resources Ltd (GES) generate?
The free cash flow of Genesis Resources Ltd is −A$1.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Genesis Resources Ltd (GES) carry?
The net debt of Genesis Resources Ltd is A$14.3M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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