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Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Gold Fields Limited $64.24, price $42.26, upside +52.0%, quality 75 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
Gold Fields Limited
GFIOF · USStrongly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside with high Quality.
✓Fair value $64.24 · Strongly undervalued (+52.0%)
✓Quality 75/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +19.2 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 40.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓3.6% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Wide moat 83/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.21 – $59.12 · fair‑value band $45.03 – $83.51 · the $42.26 price screens below the $64.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
Gold Fields Limited operates as a gold producer with reserves and resources in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Canada, and Chile. It also explores for gold, copper and silver deposits. Gold Fields Limited was founded in 1887 and is based in Sandton, South Africa.
Stock analysis
Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF) currently trades at $42.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $64.24, implying the stock looks roughly 34.2% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $72.89 per share, and 12 of the 26 models we run sit above the $42.26 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $13.66, and 14 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $45.03 (bear) to $83.51 (bull), the price of $42.26 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Gold Fields Limited reported revenue of $9.4B in FY2025 versus $4.2B in FY2021, a compound +22.3%/yr. Reported net income was $3.8B in FY2025, compounding +48.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $37.9B · P/E ratio 10.7 · P/S ratio 4.37 · EPS (TTM) $3.94 · Dividend yield 3.6% · Net margin 40.8% · Return on equity 51.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 21.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 52%, GFIOF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $45.03
Fair Value $64.24
Bull $83.51
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.81 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$45.48
$77.78
$130.96
78
Growth DCF
$45.63
$76.53
$126.78
76
Owner Earnings
$45.22
$77.36
$130.25
74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$45.48
$77.78
$130.96
78
Owner Earnings
$45.22
$77.36
$130.25
74
5Y Revenue Exit
$21.68
$31.11
$42.68
73
5Y EBITDA Exit
$42.80
$72.89
$109.32
74
5Y P/E Exit
$47.59
$82.37
$120.71
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$29.18
$40.39
$55.18
67
10Y EBITDA Exit
$43.31
$70.31
$108.79
67
10Y P/E Exit
$46.43
$77.10
$117.97
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$29.09
$115.85
$157.44
64
Lynch FV
$28.74
$41.06
$53.38
61
PEG = 1.0
$28.74
$41.06
$53.38
57
EPV
$28.66
$33.58
$37.89
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$7.79
$16.20
$25.70
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$7.79
$13.66
$17.00
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$54.54
$72.72
$90.90
63
P/S Multiple
$11.80
$15.74
$19.67
58
P/B Multiple
$21.09
$28.12
$35.15
55
EV/EBIT
$52.45
$70.23
$88.01
66
EV/EBITDA
$45.75
$61.30
$76.84
67
EV/Revenue
$10.13
$14.86
$19.58
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$4.69
$6.28
$9.37
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$45.63
$76.53
$126.78
76
Rev-Margin DCF
$21.68
$31.59
$44.00
73
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$24.33
$32.89
$67.05
71
ROIC Compounder
$31.66
$41.08
$52.38
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$44.97
$64.24
$83.51
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
75/100
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71
Profitability
80
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
7
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
78
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+80.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.4% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+19.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+16.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.39.3% vs 44.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.38% → 48%
2025 sits 436% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.4% a year for the price.
Watch GFIOF, get fair value alerts →
Recent news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
- $27 Billion Bid Fails To Create World's Second-Largest Gold Producer
- Update: Gold Fields' $27 Billion Takeover Bid for Northern Star Resources Rejected
- Gold Fields approaches Northern Star over potential takeover, Bloomberg reports
- Gold Miners Chase Recovery Gains as Prices Hold Above $4,300
Compare Gold Fields Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 200 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEM | $115.34 | $126.87 | +10% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥30.01 | ¥44.45 | +48% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | $185.83 | $219.71 | +18% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | $135.39 | $87.78 | −35% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | $245.81 | $270.39 | +10% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $99.03 | $88.60 | −11% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $24.06 | $51.30 | +113% |
| Royal Gold, Inc RGLD | $238.93 | $262.82 | +10% |
| Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 | ¥29.07 | ¥23.61 | −19% |
| Pan American Silver Corp PAAS | $46.14 | $59.13 | +28% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $64.24 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $42.26, about +52% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GFIOF?
Our model-based fair value for Gold Fields Limited is $64.24 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $42.26.
What is the quality score of GFIOF?
Gold Fields Limited has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $64.24 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $45.03, optimistic scenario $83.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gold Fields Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $64.24, about +52% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $42.26 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $45.03, optimistic scenario $83.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF)?
Gold Fields Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Gold Fields Limited pay a dividend?
Gold Fields Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.64% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Gold Fields Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -4.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +19.3 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GFIOF use?
Our models discount Gold Fields Limited at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.51, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Gold Fields Limited that is -4.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Gold Fields Limited grew +19.3 % a year. The price currently implies -4.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Gold Fields Limited (-4.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.80 %: that much free cash flow Gold Fields Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gold Fields Limited it is $64.24 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $42.26. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gold Fields Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, GFIOF trades below its calculated fair value: price $42.26, fair value $64.24, a gap of about +52% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GFIOF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($42.26); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($64.24). For Gold Fields Limited the two are $21.98 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gold Fields Limited worth?
The market values Gold Fields Limited at about $37.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $42.26; our models calculate a fair value of $64.24 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GFIOF?
Our models span a range for Gold Fields Limited: cautious scenario $45.03, base $64.24, optimistic $83.51 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $42.26). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GFIOF?
Gold Fields Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.7 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $64.24 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 11.6, P/B 3.8, P/S 3.7, EV/EBITDA 6.4.
What is the PEG ratio of GFIOF?
The PEG ratio of Gold Fields Limited is 11.59 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gold Fields Limited (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 51.9%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 75/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GFIOF from its 52-week high?
Gold Fields Limited trades at $42.26, about 29% below its 52-week high of $59.12 and 32% above the low of $32.10 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $64.24 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gold Fields Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gold Fields Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $42.26, calculated fair value $64.24 (+52%), Quality Score 75/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GFIOF calculated?
We run Gold Fields Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $64.24, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Gold Fields Limited currently trades 34 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $42.26. Our model-based fair value is $64.24, about +52% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gold Fields Limited right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (75/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($45.03). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range ($45.03 to $83.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Gold Fields Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF)?
The market capitalisation of Gold Fields Limited is $37.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gold Fields Limited is 4.37 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF)?
Earnings per share at Gold Fields Limited are $3.94 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF)?
The dividend yield of Gold Fields Limited is 3.6% (payout 39.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF)?
The net margin of Gold Fields Limited is 40.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gold Fields Limited is 51.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gold Fields Limited is 21.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF)?
The operating margin of Gold Fields Limited is 51.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF)?
Revenue at Gold Fields Limited is growing +71.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +29.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF)?
Earnings per share at Gold Fields Limited are growing +196% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Gold Fields Limited (GFIOF) carry?
The net debt of Gold Fields Limited is $1.4B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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