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GoGold Resources Inc (GGD) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$1.4B

GR GoGold Resources Inc GGD · TO
PriceC$3.73
Fair ValueC$0.6800
Upside-81.8%
Quality67/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 45.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: High Range C$0.5100 – C$0.8500 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +21.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 82% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.8500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$3.93 C$0.9700 Fair Value C$0.6800 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.9700 – C$3.93 · fair‑value band C$0.5100 – C$0.8500 · the C$3.73 price screens above the C$0.6800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

GoGold Resources Inc (GGD) currently trades at C$3.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.6800, implying the stock looks roughly 81.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, GoGold Resources Inc generated revenue of C$97.2M at a net margin of 45.1%. Revenue grew 72.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of C$140M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$0.5100 (bear case) to C$0.8500 (bull case); at C$3.73, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -82%, GGD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF C$1.38 C$2.07 C$3.34 80
Rev-Margin DCF C$0.8100 C$1.11 C$1.58 74
ROIC Compounder C$0.5300 C$0.5500 C$0.5800 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$1.45 C$1.96 C$3.50 38
Owner Earnings C$0.9600 C$1.65 C$2.93 31
5Y Revenue Exit C$0.8100 C$1.01 C$1.41 39
5Y EBITDA Exit C$0.9400 C$1.28 C$1.92 41
5Y P/E Exit C$1.02 C$1.66 C$2.49 38
10Y Revenue Exit C$1.01 C$1.43 C$1.67 36
10Y EBITDA Exit C$1.10 C$1.68 C$2.65 37
10Y P/E Exit C$1.16 C$1.84 C$2.97 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$0.2700 C$1.90 C$2.66 54
Lynch FV C$0.6600 C$0.9400 C$1.22 50
PEG = 1.0 C$0.6600 C$0.9400 C$1.22 46
EPV C$0.5300 C$0.5500 C$0.5800 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$0.5100 C$0.6800 C$0.8500 63
P/S Multiple C$0.1900 C$0.2500 C$0.3100 58
P/B Multiple C$0.5100 C$0.6800 C$0.8500 55
EV/EBIT C$0.7400 C$0.8800 C$1.02 53
EV/EBITDA C$0.7000 C$0.8300 C$0.9600 54
EV/Revenue C$0.5000 C$0.5700 C$0.6500 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.4200 C$0.5600 C$0.8300 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$1.38 C$2.07 C$3.34 80
Rev-Margin DCF C$0.8100 C$1.11 C$1.58 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$0.6000 C$0.5900 C$0.5100 61
ROIC Compounder C$0.5300 C$0.5500 C$0.5800 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$0.7900 C$1.13 C$1.47 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$1.65) versus Economic Profit (C$0.5500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$97.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) +72.3%
Net margin 45.1%
Return on equity 11.4%
Free cash flow C$35.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 21.0
More key figures
Operating margin 60.6%
EPS (TTM) C$0.1500
EPS growth (YoY) +275%
Net cash C$140M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 94
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 6
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 79
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 8
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

GoGold Resources Inc. engages in the exploration, development, and production of silver, gold, and copper primarily in Mexico It owns the Los Ricos property, which includes Los Ricos South and Los Ricos North projects, that covers 45 concessions with an area of approximately 24,000 hectares situated in the Jalisco State, Mexico; and the Parral Tailings …

Full company description

GoGold Resources Inc. engages in the exploration, development, and production of silver, gold, and copper primarily in Mexico It owns the Los Ricos property, which includes Los Ricos South and Los Ricos North projects, that covers 45 concessions with an area of approximately 24,000 hectares situated in the Jalisco State, Mexico; and the Parral Tailings project located in the city of Parral. The company was formerly known as Absolute Gold Holdings Incorporated. GoGold Resources Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Halifax, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GoGold Resources Inc reported revenue of C$72.5M in FY2025 versus C$53.2M in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was C$17.3M in FY2025, compounding +25.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$72.5M
Latest YoY
+98.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+26.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.9%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y)
+19.2%
Revenue +8.0%/yr
FY21 C$53.2M
FY22 C$36.1M
FY23 C$30.3M
FY24 C$36.5M
FY25 C$72.5M
Net income +25.1%/yr
FY21 C$7.1M
FY22 C$692K
FY23 −C$7.9M
FY24 C$1.6M
FY25 C$17.3M

GGD screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Fresnillo plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GoGold Resources Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GGD

Peer Group

Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −82% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 45% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 61% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 72% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.72× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 10.08× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 27.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 16.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 21
PAST 46 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fresnillo plc FRES 579.75 MXN 558.30 MXN -4%
Hecla Mining Company HL $14.52 $8.15 -44%
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $29.82 $29.96 +0%
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $8.12 $9.90 +22%
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$24.78 C$18.48 -25%
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$32.98 C$21.86 -34%
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $28.10 $16.03 -43%
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥21.01 ¥13.23 -37%
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA C$26.10 C$5.85 -78%
Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 ¥13.15 ¥2.84 -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is GoGold Resources Inc (GGD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.6800 versus a price of C$3.73, about −82% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GGD?
Our model-based fair value for GoGold Resources Inc is C$0.6800 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$3.73.
What is the quality score of GGD?
GoGold Resources Inc has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of GoGold Resources Inc (GGD)?
GoGold Resources Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$97.2M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GGD?
The net profit margin of GoGold Resources Inc is about 45.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 45.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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