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Guardian Metal Resources PLC (GMET) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 15, 2026: fair value of Guardian Metal Resources PLC £0.17, price £1.00, upside -82.9%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · GB · ISIN GB00BPQY8R36

GM Guardian Metal Resources PLC logo Thin data Oct 4, 2026

Guardian Metal Resources PLC

GMET · LSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 83% below what the stock costs today.

Fair value £0.1700 · Strongly overvalued (−82.9%)
Quality 31/100
Weak Growth
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/7)
Narrow moat 11/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

£3.09 £0.0663 Fair Value £0.1700 May 2023 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

41‑month range £0.0663 – £3.09 · fair‑value band £0.1105 – £0.2125 · the £0.9960 price screens above the £0.1700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Guardian Metal Resources PLC engages in the exploration and exploitation of mineral resources in the United States. It primarily explores tungsten, copper, gold, silver, lithium, gallium, and zinc deposits.

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The company's flagship project is the 100% owned Pilot Mountain Project that located in Nevada. It also holds an option to acquire up to 100% interest in the Tempiute Project, co-flagship property, located in Nevada.

The company was formerly known as Golden Metal Resources PLC and changed its name to Guardian Metal Resources PLC in June 2024. Guardian Metal Resources PLC was incorporated in 2021 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

Guardian Metal Resources PLC (GMET) currently trades at £0.9960, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.1700, 82.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: £0.1105 (bear) to £0.2125 (bull), the price of £0.9960 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Guardian Metal Resources PLC reported revenue of $0 in FY2026 versus $30.0K in FY2023. Reported net income was −$10.1M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap 263M GBX · EPS (TTM) £−0.0200 · Return on equity −18.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −11.3% · Revenue (TTM) −2.0K GBX · Free cash flow −$6.0M · Net cash $52.7M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 11 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −83%, GMET screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear £0.1105 Fair Value £0.1700 Bull £0.2125
Price £0.9960 · Upside -82.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) £0.1800 £0.2400 £0.3500 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.1800 £0.2400 £0.3500 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 6
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 33
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 19
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

GMET screens overvalued: fair value 83% below the price. Compare with PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 99 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Below median
Fair Value upside −82.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −10.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.72× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $9.89 $14.81 +50% vs GMET
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$39.91 C$43.90 +10% vs GMET
Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company 1322 70.50 SAR 77.55 SAR +10% vs GMET
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $31.21 $32.48 +4% vs GMET
Hecla Mining Company HL $16.73 $16.30 −3% vs GMET
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $32.46 $26.98 −17% vs GMET
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥18.02 ¥13.23 −27% vs GMET
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$38.54 C$15.82 −59% vs GMET
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA $21.82 $6.07 −72% vs GMET
PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN 4,240 IDR 878.20 IDR −79% vs GMET

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Guardian Metal Resources PLC · Fair Value
£0.1700 −83%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guardian Metal Resources PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GMET

Frequently asked questions

Is Guardian Metal Resources PLC (GMET) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.1700 versus a price of £0.9960, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GMET?
Our model-based fair value for Guardian Metal Resources PLC is £0.1700 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.9960.
What is the quality score of GMET?
Guardian Metal Resources PLC has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guardian Metal Resources PLC (GMET)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.1700 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.1105, optimistic scenario £0.2125. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guardian Metal Resources PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.1700, about −83% upside versus a price of £0.9960 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £0.1105, optimistic scenario £0.2125. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Guardian Metal Resources PLC (GMET)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guardian Metal Resources PLC it is £0.1700 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of £0.9960. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guardian Metal Resources PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, GMET trades above its calculated fair value: price £0.9960, fair value £0.1700, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GMET?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.9960); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.1700). For Guardian Metal Resources PLC the two are £0.8260 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guardian Metal Resources PLC worth?
The market values Guardian Metal Resources PLC at about 263M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is £0.9960; our models calculate a fair value of £0.1700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GMET?
Our models span a range for Guardian Metal Resources PLC: cautious scenario £0.1105, base £0.1700, optimistic £0.2125 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price £0.9960). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guardian Metal Resources PLC (GMET)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guardian Metal Resources PLC (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −18.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GMET from its 52-week high?
Guardian Metal Resources PLC trades at £0.9960, about 68% below its 52-week high of £3.09 and 2% above the low of £0.9800 (as of Oct 15, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.1700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guardian Metal Resources PLC?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, China Gold International Resources Corp, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guardian Metal Resources PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price £0.9960, calculated fair value £0.1700 (−83%), Quality Score 31/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GMET calculated?
We run Guardian Metal Resources PLC through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.1700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Guardian Metal Resources PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guardian Metal Resources PLC (GMET)?
The closing price on Oct 15, 2026 was £0.9960. Our model-based fair value is £0.1700, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guardian Metal Resources PLC right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.2125). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (£0.1105 to £0.2125) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Guardian Metal Resources PLC

How large is the market capitalisation of Guardian Metal Resources PLC (GMET)?
The market capitalisation of Guardian Metal Resources PLC is 263M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Guardian Metal Resources PLC (GMET)?
Earnings per share at Guardian Metal Resources PLC are £−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Guardian Metal Resources PLC (GMET)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guardian Metal Resources PLC is −18.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guardian Metal Resources PLC (GMET)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guardian Metal Resources PLC is −11.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much revenue does Guardian Metal Resources PLC (GMET) generate?
Guardian Metal Resources PLC generates revenue of −2.0K GBX (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How much free cash flow does Guardian Metal Resources PLC (GMET) generate?
The free cash flow of Guardian Metal Resources PLC is −$6.0M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Guardian Metal Resources PLC (GMET) hold?
Guardian Metal Resources PLC holds more cash than debt, $52.7M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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