Grupo México, S.A. (GMEXICOB) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · MX · Market cap 1.6T MXN
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from 189.47 MXN to 187.72 MXN (−0.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.6% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (120.49 MXN to 245.69 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 108.96 MXN – 219.90 MXN · fair‑value band 120.49 MXN – 245.69 MXN · the 199.23 MXN price screens above the 187.72 MXN fair value. As of Jul 13, 2026.
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Grupo México, S.A. (GMEXICOB) currently trades at 199.23 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 187.72 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 5.8% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Grupo México, S.A. generated revenue of 19.5B MXN at a net margin of 29.0%. Revenue grew 32.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.7%. Net debt stands at 586M MXN. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 120.49 MXN (bear case) to 245.69 MXN (bull case); at 199.23 MXN, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 99% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -6%, GMEXICOB screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Grupo México, S.A.B. de C.V. produces copper worldwide. It operates through Mining, Transportation, and Infrastructure divisions. The Mining division is involved in the operation of underground and open pit mines, smelters, refineries, and other plants. This division also provides copper, silver, molybdenum, zinc, sulfuric acid, gold, and selenium products.
Full company description
Grupo México, S.A.B. de C.V. produces copper worldwide. It operates through Mining, Transportation, and Infrastructure divisions. The Mining division is involved in the operation of underground and open pit mines, smelters, refineries, and other plants. This division also provides copper, silver, molybdenum, zinc, sulfuric acid, gold, and selenium products. The Transportation division offers general and intermodal freight services by rail, passenger services, as well as auxiliary management services for terminals and intra-terminal hauls; and ground transportation and warehousing. The Infrastructure division engages in building infrastructure and industrial plants, and ocean and land drilling; provision of engineering services, drilling services for oil and water exploration, and energy production services; construction of infrastructure works, project engineering services; operation and highway conservation; real estate project development, and construction and administration of shopping centers. In addition, it is involved in operation of cycle plants and wind farm; generation of energy; and oil transportation. Grupo México, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Grupo México, S.A. reported revenue of 18.2B MXN in FY2025 versus 14.8B MXN in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was 4.9B MXN in FY2025, compounding +6.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Grupo México (BMV:GMEXICO B) Stock Sees Modest Fair Value Lift As Analysts Raise Targets
- Attention Grupo Mexico / Southern Copper Corporation's investors on the lack of remediation of the 2014 toxic spill in the Sonora and Bacanu
- SAAVI ENERGIA ANNOUNCES THE AGREEMENT SIGNED BY GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE PARTNERS, ("GIP"), TO COMBINE POWER GENERATION ASSETS WITH THOSE OF GR
- The 2 Signals EWW Investors Must Watch Before the USMCA Review Hits
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPLF | $44.00 | $23.74 | -46% |
| Rio Tinto Group RTNTF | $120.75 | $77.09 | -36% |
| CMOC Group CMCLY | $148.88 | $120.33 | -19% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $15.71 | $9.14 | -42% |
| Anglo American plc AAUKF | $47.89 | $20.30 | -58% |
| Fortescue Ltd FSUMF | $13.50 | $15.72 | +16% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥108.33 | ¥4.93 | -95% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹573.20 | ₹649.37 | +13% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥49.66 | ¥17.16 | -65% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 513.40 | kr 461.48 | -10% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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