GMIN.TO (GMIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of GMIN.TO C$29.05, price C$48.53, upside -40.2%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.0002 – C$58.08 · fair‑value band C$15.53 – C$37.30 · the C$48.53 price screens above the C$29.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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G Mining Ventures Corp., a mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, evaluation, development, and operation of mineral properties. Its flagship propertiy is the Tocantinzinho Gold Project located in State of Pará, Brazil. G Mining Ventures Corp. was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Québec, Canada.
Stock analysis
GMIN.TO (GMIN) currently trades at C$48.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$29.05, implying the stock looks roughly 67.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of C$82.84 per share, and 4 of the 24 models we run sit above the C$48.53 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$5.66, and 20 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: C$15.53 (bear) to C$37.30 (bull), the price of C$48.53 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
GMIN.TO reported revenue of $591M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2020. Reported net income was $293M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$15.0B (≈ $10.6B) · P/E ratio 23.1 · P/S ratio 11.5 · EPS (TTM) C$2.10 · Net margin 49.6% · Return on equity 23.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9% · Operating margin 60.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 91% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −40%, GMIN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$15.53Fair Value C$29.05Bull C$37.30
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$1.56 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+38.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+43.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +35.8% a year for the price and +40.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 233 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside−40.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)23.8% · Above median
Return on assets13.8% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)55.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)60.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth42.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)23.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B7.49× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)17.03× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF93.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA22.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 2
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)95· sector 2
HEALTH (low debt)96· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 21
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GMIN.TO Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GMIN
Frequently asked questions
Is GMIN.TO (GMIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$29.05 versus a price of C$48.53, about −40% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GMIN?
Our model-based fair value for GMIN.TO is C$29.05 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$48.53.
What is the quality score of GMIN?
GMIN.TO has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GMIN.TO (GMIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$29.05 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$15.53, optimistic scenario C$37.30. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GMIN.TO stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$29.05, about −40% upside versus a price of C$48.53 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$15.53, optimistic scenario C$37.30. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GMIN.TO (GMIN)?
GMIN.TO reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$623M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into GMIN.TO (GMIN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GMIN.TO would have to grow free cash flow by +38.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GMIN use?
Our models discount GMIN.TO at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.86, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GMIN.TO that is +38.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How fast is the sector of GMIN.TO (GMIN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GMIN.TO (+38.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GMIN.TO (GMIN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.02 %: that much free cash flow GMIN.TO produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GMIN.TO (GMIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GMIN.TO it is C$29.05 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of C$48.53. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GMIN.TO stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, GMIN trades above its calculated fair value: price C$48.53, fair value C$29.05, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GMIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$48.53); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$29.05). For GMIN.TO the two are C$19.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GMIN.TO worth?
The market values GMIN.TO at about C$15.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is C$48.53; our models calculate a fair value of C$29.05 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GMIN?
Our models span a range for GMIN.TO: cautious scenario C$15.53, base C$29.05, optimistic C$37.30 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price C$48.53). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GMIN?
GMIN.TO trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.1 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$29.05 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 7.5, P/S 17.0, EV/EBITDA 22.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of GMIN.TO (GMIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for GMIN.TO (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 23.8%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GMIN from its 52-week high?
GMIN.TO trades at C$48.53, about 16% below its 52-week high of C$58.08 and 91% above the low of C$25.45 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$29.05 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GMIN.TO?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GMIN.TO stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price C$48.53, calculated fair value C$29.05 (−40%), Quality Score 61/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GMIN calculated?
We run GMIN.TO through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$29.05, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. GMIN.TO itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GMIN.TO (GMIN)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was C$48.53. Our model-based fair value is C$29.05, about −40% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GMIN.TO right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$37.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (C$15.53 to C$37.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of GMIN.TO
How large is the market capitalisation of GMIN.TO (GMIN)?
The market capitalisation of GMIN.TO is C$15.0B (≈ $10.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GMIN.TO (GMIN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GMIN.TO is 11.5 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GMIN.TO (GMIN)?
Earnings per share at GMIN.TO are C$2.10 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of GMIN.TO (GMIN)?
The net margin of GMIN.TO is 49.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GMIN.TO (GMIN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GMIN.TO is 23.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GMIN.TO (GMIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GMIN.TO is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GMIN.TO (GMIN)?
The operating margin of GMIN.TO is 60.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GMIN.TO (GMIN)?
Revenue at GMIN.TO is growing +42.8% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GMIN.TO (GMIN)?
Earnings per share at GMIN.TO are growing +214% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does GMIN.TO (GMIN) carry?
The net debt of GMIN.TO is C$6.9M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 27, 2026