Gopal Snacks Ltd (GOPAL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹34.6B
Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 15, 2026, revised from ₹100.44 to ₹99.78 (−0.7%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +4.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹124.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
29‑month range ₹250.81 – ₹511.23 · fair‑value band ₹72.44 – ₹124.73 · the ₹272.15 price screens above the ₹99.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.
Analysis
Gopal Snacks Ltd (GOPAL) currently trades at ₹272.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹99.78, implying the stock looks roughly 63.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Gopal Snacks Ltd generated revenue of ₹15.1B at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue grew 29.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. Net debt stands at ₹1.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹72.44 (bear case) to ₹124.73 (bull case); at ₹272.15, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -63%, GOPAL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹103.48) versus Dividend Discount (₹1.77). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gopal Snacks Limited engages in the manufacture and market namkeen, gathiya, papad, and western snacks in India and internationally. It offers a range of products, including snack pellets, wafers, extruded snacks, papad, besan, spices, chikki, noodles, rusk, soan papdi, washing bar, and flour, as well as jaggery.
Full company description
Gopal Snacks Limited engages in the manufacture and market namkeen, gathiya, papad, and western snacks in India and internationally. It offers a range of products, including snack pellets, wafers, extruded snacks, papad, besan, spices, chikki, noodles, rusk, soan papdi, washing bar, and flour, as well as jaggery. The company offers its products under the Gopal, Bonova, Cristos, Shot Go, and Cornigo brand names. It also offers its products online. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Rajkot, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gopal Snacks Ltd reported revenue of ₹15.1B in FY2025 versus ₹13.5B in FY2021, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹737M in FY2025, compounding +15.4%/yr from FY2021.
GOPAL screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 652 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,507 | ₹362.37 | -76% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,646 | ₹1,870 | -67% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,062 | ₹327.27 | -69% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 7,550 IDR | 12,864 IDR | +70% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,219,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -17% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹352.60 | ₹144.77 | -59% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 61,600 VND | 52,858 VND | -14% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,665 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +62% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,630 IDR | 4,350 IDR | -6% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 389,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +36% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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