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Gold Resource Corporation (GORO) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $215M

GR Gold Resource Corporation logo Gold Resource Corporation GORO · US
Price$2.53
Fair Value$0.8585
Upside-66.1%
Quality39/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 5.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.5270 – $1.26 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +100.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 66% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.26). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.5270 to $1.26) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$3.29 $0.1240 Fair Value $0.8585 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1240 – $3.29 · fair‑value band $0.5270 – $1.26 · the $2.53 price screens above the $0.8585 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Gold Resource Corporation (GORO) currently trades at $2.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8585, implying the stock looks roughly 66.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Gold Resource Corporation generated revenue of $131M at a net margin of 5.0%. Revenue declined 28.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $25.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.5270 (bear case) to $1.26 (bull case); at $2.53, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -66%, GORO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.1900 $0.2200 $0.2600 80
ROIC Compounder $0.6200 $0.7900 $0.9900 72
Gordon GGM $0.0400 $0.0600 $0.0800 70
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.2000 $0.2200 $0.2700 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.5900 $1.01 $1.92 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.9000 $1.64 $3.12 41
10Y Revenue Exit $0.4200 $0.9600 $1.37 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.6300 $1.53 $3.19 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.5400 $0.5900 $0.6200 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0400 $0.0600 $0.0800 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0400 $0.0600 $0.0700 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.9400 $1.21 $1.47 53
EV/EBITDA $1.28 $1.66 $2.04 54
EV/Revenue $0.7500 $1.01 $1.27 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1400 $0.1800 $0.2700 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.1900 $0.2200 $0.2600 80
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.6200 $0.7900 $0.9900 72

Widest divergence: Multiples ($1.21) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $131M
Revenue growth (YoY) -28.2%
Net margin 5.0%
Return on equity 18.0%
Free cash flow $644K FY2025
P/E ratio 26.6
More key figures
Operating margin -20.5%
EPS (TTM) $0.0500
EPS growth (YoY) +74.2%
Net cash $25.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 96
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 30
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gold Resource Corporation engages in the exploration, development, and production of gold and silver projects in the United States. The company also explores copper, lead, and zinc deposits.

Full company description

Gold Resource Corporation engages in the exploration, development, and production of gold and silver projects in the United States. The company also explores copper, lead, and zinc deposits. The company holds 100% interest in the Don David gold mine, including two production stage and four exploration stage properties located in Oaxaca, Mexico that cover approximately 55,119 hectares. It also holds 100% interest in the Back Forty project covering approximately 1,304 hectares located in Menominee County, Michigan. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gold Resource Corporation reported revenue of $93.3M in FY2025 versus $124M in FY2021, a compound −6.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 35/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$93.3M
Latest YoY
+44.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+91.3%
Revenue −6.9%/yr
FY21 $124M
FY22 $139M
FY23 $97.8M
FY24 $64.8M
FY25 $93.3M
Net income
FY21 $8.0M
FY22 −$6.3M
FY23 −$24.1M
FY24 −$56.5M
FY25 −$6.5M

GORO screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Fresnillo plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gold Resource Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GORO

Peer Group

Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Above median
Fair Value upside −66% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -21% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -28% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.89× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.64× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 334.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 21
PAST 72 · sector 0
HEALTH 99 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fresnillo plc FRES 579.75 MXN 558.30 MXN -4%
Hecla Mining Company HL $14.52 $8.15 -44%
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $29.82 $29.96 +0%
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $8.12 $9.90 +22%
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$24.78 C$18.48 -25%
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$32.98 C$21.86 -34%
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $28.10 $16.03 -43%
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥21.01 ¥13.23 -37%
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA C$26.10 C$5.85 -78%
Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 ¥13.15 ¥2.84 -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gold Resource Corporation (GORO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8585 versus a price of $2.53, about −66% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GORO?
Our model-based fair value for Gold Resource Corporation is $0.8585 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.53.
What is the quality score of GORO?
Gold Resource Corporation has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Gold Resource Corporation (GORO)?
Gold Resource Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $131M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GORO?
The net profit margin of Gold Resource Corporation is about 5.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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