PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk IDR 27, price IDR 180, upside -85.0%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
38‑month range 78.00 IDR – 230.00 IDR · fair‑value band 21.63 IDR – 38.08 IDR · the 180.00 IDR price screens above the 27.08 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk engages in real estate and building construction business in Indonesia.
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PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk engages in real estate and building construction business in Indonesia. It is involved in the buying, selling, renting, and operating self-owned or leased real estate, such as apartment buildings, and residential buildings as well as non-residential buildings, such as storage/warehouse facilities, malls, shopping centers, and others; the provision of houses and apartments; and the construction, maintenance, and/or redevelopment of buildings used for residential purposes. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Tangerang Selatan, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA) currently trades at 180.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 27.08 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 564.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 36.16 IDR per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the 180.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 17.63 IDR, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 21.63 IDR (bear) to 38.08 IDR (bull), the price of 180.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk reported revenue of 69.1B IDR in FY2025 versus 31.0B IDR in FY2021, a compound +22.2%/yr. Reported net income was 7.7B IDR in FY2025, compounding +15.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.3T IDR (≈ $74.2M) · P/E ratio 191.5 · P/S ratio 21.2 · EPS (TTM) 0.9400 IDR · Net margin 11.1% · Return on equity 1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0% · Operating margin 9.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at −85%, GRIA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 21.63 IDRFair Value 27.08 IDRBull 38.08 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.6902 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.7%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+40.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+40.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 11%
2025 sits 123% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+50.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +46.2% a year for the price.
Compare PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 577 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−85% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−34% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)191.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.37× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)23.54× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF0.0× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 49
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)7· sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)96· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 56
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 27.08 IDR versus a price of 180.00 IDR, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GRIA?
Our model-based fair value for PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk is 27.08 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 180.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of GRIA?
PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 27.08 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario 21.63 IDR, optimistic scenario 38.08 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 27.08 IDR, about −85% upside versus a price of 180.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 21.63 IDR, optimistic scenario 38.08 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA)?
PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 57.0B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +50.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 17.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +22.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GRIA use?
Our models discount PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk at 17.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.68, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk that is +50.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (17.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk grew +22.2 % a year. The price currently implies +50.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (+50.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.76 %: that much free cash flow PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (17.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk it is 27.08 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 180.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GRIA trades above its calculated fair value: price 180.00 IDR, fair value 27.08 IDR, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GRIA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (180.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (27.08 IDR). For PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk the two are 152.92 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk worth?
The market values PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk at about 1.3T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 180.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 27.08 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GRIA?
Our models span a range for PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk: cautious scenario 21.63 IDR, base 27.08 IDR, optimistic 38.08 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 180.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GRIA?
PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 191.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 27.08 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.4, P/S 23.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.7%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GRIA from its 52-week high?
PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk trades at 180.00 IDR, about 20% below its 52-week high of 224.00 IDR and 100% above the low of 90.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 27.08 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 180.00 IDR, calculated fair value 27.08 IDR (−85%), Quality Score 63/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GRIA calculated?
We run PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 27.08 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 180.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 27.08 IDR, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (38.08 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA)?
The market capitalisation of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk is 1.3T IDR (≈ $74.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk is 21.2 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA)?
Earnings per share at PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk are 0.9400 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 191.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA)?
The net margin of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk is 11.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA)?
The operating margin of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA)?
Revenue at PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk is growing −34.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +33.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA)?
Earnings per share at PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk are growing −22.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA) carry?
The net debt of PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk is 17.1B IDR (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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