PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · ID · Market cap 826B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 34.30 IDR to 34.09 IDR (−0.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +30.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 76% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (34.09 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
36‑month range 78.00 IDR – 230.00 IDR · fair‑value band 24.76 IDR – 34.09 IDR · the 145.00 IDR price screens above the 34.09 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk (GRIA) currently trades at 145.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 34.09 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 76.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk generated revenue of 65.5B IDR at a net margin of 11.2%. Revenue declined 43.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.9%. Net debt stands at 17.1B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 24.76 IDR (bear case) to 34.09 IDR (bull case); at 145.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 86% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -76%, GRIA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (44.60 IDR) versus Multiples (17.63 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk engages in real estate and building construction business in Indonesia. It is involved in the buying, selling, renting, and operating self-owned or leased real estate, such as apartment buildings, and residential buildings as well as non-residential buildings, such as storage/warehouse facilities, malls, shopping centers, …
Full company description
PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk engages in real estate and building construction business in Indonesia. It is involved in the buying, selling, renting, and operating self-owned or leased real estate, such as apartment buildings, and residential buildings as well as non-residential buildings, such as storage/warehouse facilities, malls, shopping centers, and others; the provision of houses and apartments; and the construction, maintenance, and/or redevelopment of buildings used for residential purposes. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Tangerang Selatan, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Ingria Pratama Capitalindo Tbk reported revenue of 69.1B IDR in FY2025 versus 31.0B IDR in FY2021, a compound +22.2%/yr. Reported net income was 7.7B IDR in FY2025, compounding +15.7%/yr from FY2021.
GRIA screens 76% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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