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PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 59.0B IDR

PG PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk GRPH · JK
Price64.00 IDR
Fair Value62.84 IDR
Upside-1.8%
Quality41/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 9.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/9)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: Medium Range 47.13 IDR – 78.55 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price +8.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 47.13 IDR (bear) to 78.55 IDR (bull), base 62.84 IDR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 41/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

118.00 IDR 50.00 IDR Fair Value 62.84 IDR Jan 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

31‑month range 50.00 IDR – 118.00 IDR · fair‑value band 47.13 IDR – 78.55 IDR · the 64.00 IDR price screens above the 62.84 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH) currently trades at 64.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 62.84 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 1.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk generated revenue of 34.5B IDR at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue grew 53.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. Net debt stands at 17.0B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 47.13 IDR (bear case) to 78.55 IDR (bull case); at 64.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -2%, GRPH screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder 31.58 IDR 39.14 IDR 45.76 IDR 72
Growth-Adj P/E 60.52 IDR 86.45 IDR 112.39 IDR 68
P/E Multiple 47.13 IDR 62.84 IDR 78.55 IDR 63
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 21.37 IDR 149.01 IDR 209.11 IDR 54
Lynch FV 45.66 IDR 65.23 IDR 84.80 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 45.66 IDR 65.23 IDR 84.80 IDR 46
EPV 31.58 IDR 39.14 IDR 45.76 IDR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 47.13 IDR 62.84 IDR 78.55 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 40.06 IDR 53.42 IDR 66.77 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 40.06 IDR 53.42 IDR 66.77 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 63.20 IDR 88.86 IDR 114.52 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 78.17 IDR 108.82 IDR 139.46 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 38.11 IDR 60.35 IDR 82.59 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 38.77 IDR 51.95 IDR 77.53 IDR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 57.86 IDR 57.36 IDR 51.82 IDR 61
ROIC Compounder 31.58 IDR 39.14 IDR 45.76 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 60.52 IDR 86.45 IDR 112.39 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (86.45 IDR) versus Economic Profit (39.14 IDR). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 34.6B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.3%
Net margin 9.2%
Return on equity 4.2%
Free cash flow −4.6B IDR FY2025
Operating margin 12.3%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -21.6%
Net debt 17.0B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 36
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk operates a hotel under the Hotel Griptha name in Indonesia. Its hotel facilities include various type of rooms, such as deluxe, business class, and suite; and swimming pool, fitness center, restaurant, and cafe. The company also provides meeting, incentive, conference, and exhibition facilities.

Full company description

PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk operates a hotel under the Hotel Griptha name in Indonesia. Its hotel facilities include various type of rooms, such as deluxe, business class, and suite; and swimming pool, fitness center, restaurant, and cafe. The company also provides meeting, incentive, conference, and exhibition facilities. PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk was founded in 2010 and is based in Kudus, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk reported revenue of 34.5B IDR in FY2025 versus 14.7B IDR in FY2021, a compound +23.8%/yr. Reported net income was 3.1B IDR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
34.5B IDR
Latest YoY
+18.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.0%
Revenue +23.8%/yr
FY21 14.7B IDR
FY22 22.6B IDR
FY23 26.2B IDR
FY24 29.1B IDR
FY25 34.5B IDR
Net income
FY21 −346M IDR
FY22 1.4B IDR
FY23 1.3B IDR
FY24 3.2B IDR
FY25 3.1B IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GRPH

Peer Group

Lodging · 168 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −2% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Below median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.18× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 1.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 31 · sector 1
FUTURE 7 · sector 18
PAST 17 · sector 11
HEALTH 91 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $369.05 $135.64 -63%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $328.48 $123.67 -62%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $159.87 $85.18 -47%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $191.00 $47.69 -75%
H World Group HTHT $42.67 $47.55 +11%
Accor SA AC €47.25 €39.26 -17%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹743.20 ₹260.68 -65%
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH $78.54 $24.02 -69%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 113,500 KRW 36,890 KRW -67%
Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 16.00 SAR 11.64 SAR -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 62.84 IDR versus a price of 64.00 IDR, about −2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GRPH?
Our model-based fair value for PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk is 62.84 IDR (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 64.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of GRPH?
PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH)?
PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 34.5B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GRPH?
The net profit margin of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk is about 9.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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