PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk IDR 69, price IDR 135, upside -48.8%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
32‑month range 50.00 IDR – 137.00 IDR · fair‑value band 51.85 IDR – 86.41 IDR · the 135.00 IDR price screens above the 69.13 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk operates a hotel under the Hotel Griptha name in Indonesia. Its hotel facilities include various type of rooms, such as deluxe, business class, and suite; and swimming pool, fitness center, restaurant, and cafe. The company also provides meeting, incentive, conference, and exhibition facilities.
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PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk operates a hotel under the Hotel Griptha name in Indonesia. Its hotel facilities include various type of rooms, such as deluxe, business class, and suite; and swimming pool, fitness center, restaurant, and cafe. The company also provides meeting, incentive, conference, and exhibition facilities. PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk was founded in 2010 and is based in Kudus, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH) currently trades at 135.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 69.13 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 95.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 90.01 IDR per share, and 1 of the 14 models we run sit above the 135.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 36.36 IDR, and 13 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 51.85 IDR (bear) to 86.41 IDR (bull), the price of 135.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk reported revenue of 34.5B IDR in FY2025 versus 14.7B IDR in FY2021, a compound +23.8%/yr. Reported net income was 3.1B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 135B IDR (≈ $7.5M) · P/S ratio 2.26 · Net margin 9.1% · Return on equity 4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% · Operating margin 18.1% · Revenue (TTM) 35.5B IDR · Revenue growth (YoY) +12.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 165% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −49%, GRPH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 51.85 IDRFair Value 69.13 IDRBull 86.41 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−57.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−57.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−4% → 17%
Compare PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 168 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Below median
Fair Value upside−50% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)18% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth12% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.18× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
EV/EBITDA1.4× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)61· sector 24
PAST (return on equity)17· sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)91· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GRPH
Frequently asked questions
Is PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 69.13 IDR versus a price of 135.00 IDR, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GRPH?
Our model-based fair value for PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk is 69.13 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 135.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of GRPH?
PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 69.13 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 51.85 IDR, optimistic scenario 86.41 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 69.13 IDR, about −49% upside versus a price of 135.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 51.85 IDR, optimistic scenario 86.41 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH)?
PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 35.5B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk it is 69.13 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 135.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GRPH trades above its calculated fair value: price 135.00 IDR, fair value 69.13 IDR, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GRPH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (135.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (69.13 IDR). For PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk the two are 65.87 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk worth?
The market values PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk at about 135B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 135.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 69.13 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GRPH?
Our models span a range for PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk: cautious scenario 51.85 IDR, base 69.13 IDR, optimistic 86.41 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 135.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.1%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GRPH from its 52-week high?
PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk trades at 135.00 IDR, about 1% below its 52-week high of 137.00 IDR and 165% above the low of 51.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 69.13 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, InterContinental Hotels Group, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 135.00 IDR, calculated fair value 69.13 IDR (−49%), Quality Score 43/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GRPH calculated?
We run PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 69.13 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 135.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 69.13 IDR, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (86.41 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH)?
The market capitalisation of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk is 135B IDR (≈ $7.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk is 2.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH)?
The net margin of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk is 9.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH)?
The operating margin of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk is 18.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH)?
Revenue at PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk is growing +12.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH)?
Earnings per share at PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk are growing −2.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH) generate?
The free cash flow of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk is −4.6B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk (GRPH) carry?
The net debt of PT Griptha Putra Persada Tbk is 17.0B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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