The Goldman Sachs Group (GS) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $340B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price −3.9% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($741.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $695.57 – $1,152 · fair‑value band $444.80 – $741.34 · the $980.75 price screens above the $593.07 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.
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The Goldman Sachs Group (GS) currently trades at $980.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $593.07, implying the stock looks roughly 39.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Goldman Sachs Group generated revenue of $61.5B at a net margin of 29.4%. Revenue grew 14.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.6%. Net debt stands at $445B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $444.80 (bear case) to $741.34 (bull case); at $980.75, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 22% fair-value upside, at -40%, GS screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., a financial institution, provides a range of financial services for corporations, financial institutions, governments, and individuals in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. It operates through three segments: Global Banking & Markets, Asset & Wealth Management, and Platform Solutions.
Full company description
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., a financial institution, provides a range of financial services for corporations, financial institutions, governments, and individuals in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. It operates through three segments: Global Banking & Markets, Asset & Wealth Management, and Platform Solutions. The Global Banking & Markets segment provides financial advisory services, including strategic advisory assignments related to mergers and acquisitions, divestitures, corporate defense activities, restructurings, and spin-offs; equity and debt underwriting of public offerings and private placements; relationship lending and acquisition financing; secured lending through structured credit and asset-backed lending, such as warehouse, residential and commercial mortgage, corporate, consumer, auto, and student loans; financing through securities purchased under agreements to resell; and commodity financing through structured transactions. This segment also offers client execution activities for cash and derivative instruments; credit and interest rate products; and provision of mortgages, currencies, commodities, and equities related products. Its Asset & Wealth Management segment manages assets across various classes, including equity, fixed income, hedge funds, credit funds, private equity, real estate, currencies, commodities, and asset allocation strategies; and provides customized investment advisory solutions, wealth advisory services, personalized financial planning, and private banking services, as well as invests in corporate equity, credit, real estate, and infrastructure assets. The Platform Solutions segment offers credit cards; and transaction banking and other services, such as deposit-taking, payment solutions, and other cash management services for corporate and institutional clients. The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Goldman Sachs Group reported revenue of $125B in FY2025 versus $65.0B in FY2021, a compound +17.8%/yr. Reported net income was $17.2B in FY2025, compounding −5.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- US Says Ex-Goldman Banker Berko Paid a ‘Holy Rain’ of Bribes
- Whitney Warns of Economic Reckoning This Year, Sees Fed on Hold
- Current stock market is in the early stages of a ‘generational trade’ – JPM’s Phil Camporeale
- Transparency Declaration Notification
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 51,200 KRW | 36,828 KRW | -28% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 102,400 KRW | 87,625 KRW | -14% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 246,500 KRW | 233,981 KRW | -5% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 30,800 KRW | 37,634 KRW | +22% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 114,000 KRW | 146,629 KRW | +29% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹948.80 | ₹767.34 | -19% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 342,500 KRW | 552,296 KRW | +61% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 26,500 VND | 28,021 VND | +6% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 627.50 ARS | +100% |
| Daishin Securities Co 003540 | 29,600 KRW | 59,200 KRW | +100% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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