Gesco SE (GSC1) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · DE · Market cap €138M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +2.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 25% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€15.11). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €12.79 – €25.77 · fair‑value band €15.11 – €20.52 · the €13.55 price screens below the €16.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Gesco SE (GSC1) currently trades at €13.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €16.98, implying the stock looks roughly 25.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Gesco SE generated revenue of €495M at a net margin of 2.2%. Revenue grew 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. Net debt stands at €61.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €15.11 (bear case) to €20.52 (bull case); at €13.55, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 25%, GSC1 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€20.15) versus Dividend Discount (€0.9100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gesco SE operates in the process, resource, healthcare, and infrastructure technology sectors in Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through Materials Refinement & Distribution, Lifescience & Health Care, and Industrial Assets & Infrastructure segments.
Full company description
Gesco SE operates in the process, resource, healthcare, and infrastructure technology sectors in Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through Materials Refinement & Distribution, Lifescience & Health Care, and Industrial Assets & Infrastructure segments. The company engages in the development and manufacture of suspension systems and control box technologies; supply of high-precision hydraulic rotary actuators and rotary-linear combinations; machining-based manufacture of parts made of brass, aluminium, red brass, and Cuphin; manufacture of stainless steel solutions for the healthcare, semiconductor, food and beverage, and energy and environmental industries; manufacture of machine tools for linear gears, saw band profiles, and a range of clamping technology solutions; and automatic straightening machines and wheel presses for rolling stock. It is also involved in the processing of strip steel; manufacture of paper sticks used in lollipops, cake pops, cotton buds, and medical products; and development and manufacture of technological machinery and sophisticated safety equipment for loading and unloading liquid and gaseous materials on and off ships and tankers. In addition, it provides consultancy services primarily for the machine and plant construction, tool manufacture, and automotive industries. Gesco SE was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Wuppertal, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gesco SE reported revenue of €495M in FY2025 versus €488M in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was €9.9M in FY2025, compounding −22.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +1.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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