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Gesco AG (GSC1) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Gesco AG €15.78, price €14.25, upside +10.7%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · DE · ISIN DE000A1K0201

GA Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Gesco AG

GSC1 · XETRA

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value €15.78 · Fairly valued (+11%)
!Quality 54/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +4.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·1.40% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (8/13)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Weak on past: 16 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 28 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€25.77 €12.79 Fair Value €15.78 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €12.79 – €25.77 · fair‑value band €11.05 – €15.78 · the €14.25 price screens below the €15.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Gesco SE operates in the process, resource, healthcare, and infrastructure technology sectors in Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through Materials Refinement & Distribution, Lifescience & Health Care, and Industrial Assets & Infrastructure segments.

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Gesco SE operates in the process, resource, healthcare, and infrastructure technology sectors in Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through Materials Refinement & Distribution, Lifescience & Health Care, and Industrial Assets & Infrastructure segments. The company engages in the development and manufacture of suspension systems and control box technologies; supply of high-precision hydraulic rotary actuators and rotary-linear combinations; machining-based manufacture of parts made of brass, aluminium, red brass, and Cuphin; manufacture of stainless steel solutions for the healthcare, semiconductor, food and beverage, and energy and environmental industries; manufacture of machine tools for linear gears, saw band profiles, and a range of clamping technology solutions; and automatic straightening machines and wheel presses for rolling stock. It is also involved in the processing of strip steel; manufacture of paper sticks used in lollipops, cake pops, cotton buds, and medical products; and development and manufacture of technological machinery and sophisticated safety equipment for loading and unloading liquid and gaseous materials on and off ships and tankers. In addition, it provides consultancy services primarily for the machine and plant construction, tool manufacture, and automotive industries. Gesco SE was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Wuppertal, Germany.

Stock analysis

Gesco AG (GSC1) currently trades at €14.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €15.78, implying the stock looks roughly 9.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €20.51 per share, and 12 of the 15 models we run sit above the €14.25 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €13.51, and 3 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €11.05 (bear) to €15.78 (bull), the price of €14.25 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Gesco AG reported revenue of €495M in FY2025 versus €488M in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was €9.9M in FY2025, compounding −22.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €148M · P/E ratio 13.7 · P/S ratio 0.27 · EPS (TTM) €1.04 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 2.0% · Return on equity 4.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at 11%, GSC1 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €11.05 Fair Value €15.78 Bull €15.78
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.6168 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings €16.53 €20.51 €25.06 78
Residual Income €17.04 €15.88 €12.01 76
EPV €20.14 €22.35 €24.15 74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €16.53 €20.51 €25.06 78
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €6.52 €13.51 €17.06 66
EPV €20.14 €22.35 €24.15 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.7000 €0.9300 €1.13 69
DDM Multi-Stage €0.7000 €0.9100 €1.10 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple €15.11 €20.15 €25.18 63
P/S Multiple €12.23 €16.31 €20.39 58
P/B Multiple €12.23 €16.31 €20.39 55
EV/EBIT €38.24 €50.41 €62.58 66
EV/EBITDA €46.88 €61.93 €76.98 67
EV/Revenue €27.79 €38.96 €50.12 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €12.92 €17.32 €25.85 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €17.04 €15.88 €12.01 76
ROIC Compounder €20.14 €22.35 €24.15 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €11.05 €15.78 €20.52 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.0% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−0.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−9% vs −3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 828 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside +10% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.7× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.63× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.34× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 5.5× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)48 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)16 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)28 · sector 25

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.28 $194.25 −80%
SIE SIE €273.85 €150.21 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $442.49 $172.75 −61%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $964.85 $418.76 −57%
Cummins Inc CMI $526.13 $359.38 −32%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $270.47 $151.39 −44%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $154.19 $62.15 −60%
AMETEK, Inc AME $245.41 $125.80 −49%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $427.19 $138.24 −68%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 383.50 kr 193.39 −50%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gesco AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GSC1

Frequently asked questions

Is Gesco AG (GSC1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €15.78 versus a price of €14.25, about +11% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GSC1?
Our model-based fair value for Gesco AG is €15.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €14.25.
What is the quality score of GSC1?
Gesco AG has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gesco AG (GSC1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €15.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario €11.05, optimistic scenario €15.78. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gesco AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €15.78, about +11% upside versus a price of €14.25 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €11.05, optimistic scenario €15.78. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gesco AG (GSC1)?
Gesco AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €494M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Gesco AG pay a dividend?
Gesco AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.40% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Gesco AG (GSC1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gesco AG it is €15.78 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €14.25. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gesco AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, GSC1 trades below its calculated fair value: price €14.25, fair value €15.78, a gap of about +11% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GSC1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€14.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€15.78). For Gesco AG the two are €1.53 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gesco AG worth?
The market values Gesco AG at about €148M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €14.25; our models calculate a fair value of €15.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GSC1?
Our models span a range for Gesco AG: cautious scenario €11.05, base €15.78, optimistic €15.78 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €14.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GSC1?
Gesco AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.7 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €15.78 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 5.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gesco AG (GSC1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gesco AG (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 4.0%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GSC1 from its 52-week high?
Gesco AG trades at €14.25, about 14% below its 52-week high of €16.56 and 10% above the low of €13.01 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €15.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gesco AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gesco AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €14.25, calculated fair value €15.78 (+11%), Quality Score 54/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GSC1 calculated?
We run Gesco AG through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €15.78, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Gesco AG currently trades 11 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gesco AG (GSC1)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €14.25. Our model-based fair value is €15.78, about +11% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gesco AG right now?
The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Gesco AG (GSC1) come from?
Earnings per share at Gesco AG grew −1.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.4 %, EBIT margin −7.4 %, tax rate +2.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Gesco AG

How large is the market capitalisation of Gesco AG (GSC1)?
The market capitalisation of Gesco AG is €148M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gesco AG (GSC1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gesco AG is 0.27 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gesco AG (GSC1)?
Earnings per share at Gesco AG are €1.04 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Gesco AG (GSC1)?
The dividend yield of Gesco AG is 1.4% (payout 19.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Gesco AG (GSC1)?
The net margin of Gesco AG is 2.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gesco AG (GSC1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gesco AG is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gesco AG (GSC1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gesco AG is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gesco AG (GSC1)?
The operating margin of Gesco AG is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gesco AG (GSC1)?
Revenue at Gesco AG is growing −0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gesco AG (GSC1)?
Earnings per share at Gesco AG are growing +42.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Gesco AG (GSC1) generate?
The free cash flow of Gesco AG is −€5.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Gesco AG (GSC1) carry?
The net debt of Gesco AG is €61.7M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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