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Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · FR · ISIN FR001400AJ45

CG Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA logo Broad data Sep 18, 2026

Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA

ML · PA

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value €36.47 · Fairly valued (+9%)
!Quality 62/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +4.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.8% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
·13.49% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
!Moderate moat 50/100
!Insider activity 45/100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€35.27 €18.90 Fair Value €36.47 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €18.90 – €35.27 · fair‑value band €24.62 – €50.42 · the €33.35 price screens below the €36.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Société en commandite par actions manufactures and sells tires worldwide.

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Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Société en commandite par actions manufactures and sells tires worldwide. The company offers tires for private use covering cars, racing, biking, motorcycles, scooters, and mopeds; and professional use, such as freight and people transport, agriculture, construction and industrial, mining and quarries, corporate fleets, tradesmen and professionals, civil and military operations, light rail, and aircraft. It is also involved in the provision of tire-related services, including development of mobility solutions for fleet managers, vehicle manufacturers, farmers, distributors, and individuals; mobility services, such as road maps, mobile apps, itineraries, and travel guides; lifestyle products comprising car and bike accessories, shoe soles, and sports and leisure gears; and high-tech materials that include 3D metal printing, specialty, rubber, biosourced, and recycled materials. Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Société en commandite par actions was incorporated in 1863 and is based in Clermont-Ferrand, France.

Stock analysis

Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML) currently trades at €33.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €36.47, implying the stock looks roughly 8.6% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €41.23 per share, and 15 of the 24 models we run sit above the €33.35 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €15.96, and 9 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €24.62 (bear) to €50.42 (bull), the price of €33.35 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA reported revenue of €26.0B in FY2025 versus €23.8B in FY2021, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was €1.7B in FY2025, compounding −2.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €23.8B · P/E ratio 3.4 · P/S ratio 0.22 · EPS (TTM) €10.24 · Dividend yield 13.5% · Net margin 6.4% · Return on equity 13.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades near its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 72% fair-value upside, at 9%, ML screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €24.62 Fair Value €36.47 Bull €50.42
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€4.17 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €23.55 €32.71 €49.81 80
Growth DCF €24.53 €33.45 €48.82 79
Owner Earnings €21.87 €30.43 €46.40 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €23.55 €32.71 €49.81 80
Owner Earnings €21.87 €30.43 €46.40 76
5Y Revenue Exit €25.12 €38.05 €56.65 72
5Y EBITDA Exit €37.66 €59.45 €87.90 74
5Y P/E Exit €28.46 €43.75 €61.69 70
10Y Revenue Exit €23.47 €34.70 €47.69 67
10Y EBITDA Exit €32.01 €48.86 €68.37 68
10Y P/E Exit €26.35 €38.47 €51.02 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €15.87 €27.57 €33.77 66
EPV €21.77 €25.72 €29.17 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €12.54 €15.96 €19.48 69
DDM Multi-Stage €12.54 €16.98 €22.38 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple €38.51 €51.35 €64.19 63
P/S Multiple €29.76 €39.68 €49.60 58
P/B Multiple €29.76 €39.68 €49.60 55
EV/EBIT €42.89 €57.82 €72.74 66
EV/EBITDA €53.65 €72.17 €90.68 67
EV/Revenue €28.30 €41.23 €54.17 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €12.67 €16.97 €25.34 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €24.53 €33.45 €48.82 79
Rev-Margin DCF €25.12 €38.47 €54.83 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income €21.92 €24.02 €31.85 76
ROIC Compounder €21.77 €25.78 €30.39 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €27.15 €38.79 €50.42 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.4%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.1%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Revenue growth 23 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+12.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)13.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1% vs 4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 9%

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect Analysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+1.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.7%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.0%

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Automobiles & Auto Parts” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Discretionary · 3825 stocks

Beats the sector median on 10/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 13% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 13.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.28× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.47× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.12× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 14.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 6.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 6.99× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)46 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)67 · sector 13
PAST (return on equity)53 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €36.47 versus a price of €33.35, about +9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ML?
Our model-based fair value for Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA is €36.47 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €33.35.
What is the quality score of ML?
Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €36.47 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €24.62, optimistic scenario €50.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €36.47, about +9% upside versus a price of €33.35 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €24.62, optimistic scenario €50.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML)?
Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €23.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA pay a dividend?
Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA currently shows a dividend yield of about 13.49% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA would have to grow free cash flow by +4.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.9 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ML use?
Our models discount Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.09, country premium for France. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA that is +4.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA grew +4.9 % a year. The price currently implies +4.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (+4.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.53 %: that much free cash flow Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA it is €36.47 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of €33.35. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, ML trades below its calculated fair value: price €33.35, fair value €36.47, a gap of about +9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ML?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€33.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€36.47). For Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA the two are €3.12 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA worth?
The market values Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA at about €23.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is €33.35; our models calculate a fair value of €36.47 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ML?
Our models span a range for Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA: cautious scenario €24.62, base €36.47, optimistic €50.42 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price €33.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ML?
Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.4 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €36.47 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 7.0, P/B 1.5, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 6.3.
What is the PEG ratio of ML?
The PEG ratio of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA is 6.99 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML)?
Balance-sheet figures for Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 13.4%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ML from its 52-week high?
Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA trades at €33.35, about 0% below its 52-week high of €33.19 and 37% above the low of €24.40 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €36.47 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value GTPPB, GTCAP, 515030, Hwashin Precision Engineering Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price €33.35, calculated fair value €36.47 (+9%), Quality Score 62/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ML calculated?
We run Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €36.47, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was €33.35. Our model-based fair value is €36.47, about +9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (€24.62 to €50.42) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML) come from?
Earnings per share at Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA grew +4.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.9 %, EBIT margin −2.2 %, tax rate +2.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA

How large is the market capitalisation of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML)?
The market capitalisation of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA is €23.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA is 0.22 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML)?
Earnings per share at Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA are €10.24 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 3.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML)?
The dividend yield of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA is 13.5% (payout 43.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML)?
The net margin of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA is 6.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA is 13.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA is 7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML)?
The operating margin of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA is 12.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML)?
Revenue at Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA is growing +13.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML)?
Earnings per share at Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA are growing +7.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA (ML) carry?
The net debt of Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA is €2.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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