Gulshan Polyols Limited (GULPOLY) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹11.8B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹292.92 to ₹128.46 (−56.1%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +3.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 32% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹180.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range (₹96.34 to ₹180.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹119.64 – ₹347.99 · fair‑value band ₹96.34 – ₹180.06 · the ₹188.08 price screens above the ₹128.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Gulshan Polyols Limited (GULPOLY) currently trades at ₹188.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹128.46, implying the stock looks roughly 31.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Gulshan Polyols Limited generated revenue of ₹23.1B at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue grew 7.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.1%. Net debt stands at ₹2.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹96.34 (bear case) to ₹180.06 (bull case); at ₹188.08, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -32%, GULPOLY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹588.20) versus Dividend Discount (₹4.84). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gulshan Polyols Limited engages in the mineral and grain processing, and ethanol distillery businesses in India and internationally.
Full company description
Gulshan Polyols Limited engages in the mineral and grain processing, and ethanol distillery businesses in India and internationally. The company provides starch sugar products, such as sorbitol 70% solution, dextrose monohydrate, malto dextrine powder, and liquid glucose, rice fructose syrups, brown rice syrups, and rice syrup solids; organic sweeteners; native and maize starches; and animal nutrition products comprising dried distillers grain solids, corn/maize gluten feed, corn germ, cattle feed/enriched fiber, rice protein/gluten, and corn steep liquor products. It also offers activated, precipitated, and ground calcium carbonate products. In addition, the company provides grain based extra neutral alcohol, ethanol from damaged food grain, country liquor, and sanitizers, as well as alcoholic beverages under the Tiger Gold and Golden Deer brands. It serves pharmaceutical, personal care, footwear, tyres, rubber and plastic, paint, alcohol, ethanol, paper, agrochemical, and food and agro industries. The company was founded in 1981 and is based in Delhi, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Gulshan Polyols Limited reported revenue of ₹23.1B in FY2026 versus ₹10.9B in FY2022, a compound +20.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.1B in FY2026, compounding +5.9%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +17.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
GULPOLY screens 32% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 331 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 467.04 MXN | -55% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,950 IDR | 1,608 IDR | -18% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 275,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +113% |
| SRF Limited 503806 | ₹2,609 | ₹749.17 | -71% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,709 | ₹791.05 | -83% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,357 | ₹2,146 | -74% |
| 506285 506285 | ₹4,048 | ₹1,589 | -61% |
| Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited 500165 | ₹209.25 | ₹80.51 | -62% |
| Deepak Nitrite Limited DEEPAKNTR | ₹1,718 | ₹679.17 | -60% |
| KCC Corporation 002380 | 454,000 KRW | 1,763,304 KRW | +288% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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