Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk IDR 63, price IDR 184, upside -65.5%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 106.00 IDR – 254.00 IDR · fair‑value band 47.62 IDR – 79.36 IDR · the 184.00 IDR price screens above the 63.49 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, develops real estate properties in Indonesia. It operates through Office, Apartments, and Hotel segments. The company owns and leases real estate, fee or contract basis real estate, activities of holding companies, other management consulting activities, star hotels and hotel apartments.
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PT Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, develops real estate properties in Indonesia. It operates through Office, Apartments, and Hotel segments. The company owns and leases real estate, fee or contract basis real estate, activities of holding companies, other management consulting activities, star hotels and hotel apartments. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. PT Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Prima Permata Sejahtera.
Stock analysis
Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA) currently trades at 184.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 63.49 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 189.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 620.07 IDR per share, and 3 of the 4 models we run sit above the 184.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 63.49 IDR, and 1 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 47.62 IDR (bear) to 79.36 IDR (bull), the price of 184.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk reported revenue of 76.2B IDR in FY2025 versus 47.8B IDR in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was 121B IDR in FY2025, compounding +53.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.4T IDR (≈ $80.2M) · P/E ratio 11.0 · P/S ratio 17.5 · EPS (TTM) 16.73 IDR · Net margin 179% · Return on equity 1.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.3% · Operating margin −145%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 72% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at −65%, GWSA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 47.62 IDRFair Value 63.49 IDRBull 79.36 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (12.28 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.9% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+52.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+52.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10% vs −5%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−149% → −81%
2025 sits 98% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.4%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 577 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−64% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)179% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−145% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−20% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)11.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.19× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)18.58× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 49
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)7· sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 56
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 63.49 IDR versus a price of 184.00 IDR, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GWSA?
Our model-based fair value for Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk is 63.49 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 184.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of GWSA?
Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 63.49 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario 47.62 IDR, optimistic scenario 79.36 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 63.49 IDR, about −65% upside versus a price of 184.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 47.62 IDR, optimistic scenario 79.36 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA)?
Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 73.1B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk it is 63.49 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 184.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GWSA trades above its calculated fair value: price 184.00 IDR, fair value 63.49 IDR, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GWSA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (184.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (63.49 IDR). For Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk the two are 120.51 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk worth?
The market values Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk at about 1.4T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 184.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 63.49 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GWSA?
Our models span a range for Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk: cautious scenario 47.62 IDR, base 63.49 IDR, optimistic 79.36 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 184.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GWSA?
Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 63.49 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 18.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.8%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GWSA from its 52-week high?
Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk trades at 184.00 IDR, about 28% below its 52-week high of 254.00 IDR and 72% above the low of 107.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 63.49 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 184.00 IDR, calculated fair value 63.49 IDR (−65%), Quality Score 55/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GWSA calculated?
We run Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 63.49 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 184.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 63.49 IDR, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (79.36 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA)?
The market capitalisation of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk is 1.4T IDR (≈ $80.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk is 17.5 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA)?
Earnings per share at Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk are 16.73 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA)?
The net margin of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk is 179% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk is −0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA)?
The operating margin of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk is −145% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA)?
Revenue at Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk is growing −20.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA)?
Earnings per share at Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk are growing +37.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA) generate?
The free cash flow of Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk is −15.0B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk (GWSA) hold?
Greenwood Sejahtera Tbk holds more cash than debt, 107B IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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